Eric Ceres

287 posts

Eric Ceres

Eric Ceres

@EricCeres

Software Engineer and Rutgers Football fan

Paramus, NJ Katılım Aralık 2015
212 Takip Edilen52 Takipçiler
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JS@JSX423·
The biggest issue I have with the disengagement reason menu probably is the average person paying $100/mth just wants FSD to work. Not be a mandatory tester otherwise having UI elements blocked if FSD does something wrong. My 77 year old mom ain't your tester, @tesla_ai. 4 categories don't even come close to being enough to work. Actual capable testers, interested in these things, should sign up and get a full screen with 50+ categories.. @ChuckCook @DevinOlsenn @DirtyTesLa @AIDRIVR Potential categories - 1.Speed Issues Wrong speed (S) Ignored speed limit (S) Too fast (S) Too slow (C) 2. Highway / Freeway Phantom braking (S) Inconsistent traffic speed (C) Merge yield fail (S) Tailgating (S) Hesitant passing (C) Bad construction behavior (S) Missed exit (C) Aggressive lane change (S) Lane change fail (S) 3. City / Urban Ran red / late stop (S) Crept intersection (S) Poor left turn (S) Pedestrian yield fail (S) Unnecessary stop (C) Bad route (C) Hesitant at stop (C) Missed school zone (S) Hit curb (S) Emergency vehicle fail (S) Drifted lane (S) Missed hand signal (S) 4. Parking / Low-Speed Bad parking spot (C) Poor parallel park (C) Driveway curb hit (S) Missed low obstacle (S) Garage door fail (S) Bad reverse distance (S) Speed bump issue (C) Parking lot pedestrian (S) 5. Intersections & Turns Turn too wide/tight (C) Bad turn alignment (C) Rolled stop (S) Cut off traffic (S) Slow post-turn accel (C) Bad roundabout (S) Ignored turn lane (S) Late turn signal (C) Wrong stop position (S) Bad yellow light (S) 6. Weather / Conditions Traction loss (S) Hydroplaning fail (S) Low visibility drive (S) Insufficient ice slow (S) Bad unpaved road (C) 7. General / Other Too close cyclist (S) Ignored debris (S) Ignored pothole (S)
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Eric Ceres
Eric Ceres@EricCeres·
@kgmodi @AnthropicAI @claudeai My experience is gpt models are very strict to rule following. Where Claude & especially Gemini are more flexible. Depending on situation this can be good or bad.
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Kunal Modi
Kunal Modi@kgmodi·
Secrets accessed via claude code tool use should never be logged to @AnthropicAI's servers. Why do I have to tell @claudeai code to do not do it? Why doesn't claude code do this natively?
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Whole Mars Catalog
Whole Mars Catalog@wholemars·
Tesla. SpaceX. xAI Tesla. SpaceX. xAI. Tesla! SpaceX! xAI! Are you getting it yet? These are not three separate companies. This is one company, and we are calling it X.
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Eric Ceres
Eric Ceres@EricCeres·
@DirtyTesLa @grok can you summarize what’s going on with Honda? Is it shares decrease, indeed r&d, other stuff besides cars, etc.
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Eric Ceres
Eric Ceres@EricCeres·
@grok @wholemars So @grok based on this in a highly competitive future market the price could come down significantly still?
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Grok
Grok@grok·
Based on analyst projections (e.g., Wolfe Research) and cost models, Tesla's Robotaxi at scale could achieve ~$0.20/mile costs (depreciation $0.03/mi, energy $0.02/mi, maintenance $0.02/mi, etc., assuming $30k vehicle, 1M-mile lifespan). For this 4.4-mile trip at $7.80 ($1.77/mi revenue), that's ~$6.92 gross profit per trip at scale—highly profitable with 80%+ margins. However, in 2026 during scaling (fleet ~7k vehicles), overall business may see ~$500M losses before breakeven in 2027.
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Whole Mars Catalog
Whole Mars Catalog@wholemars·
I love Tesla and prefer riding Robotaxi, but the problem with these comparisons is Tesla is underpricing their service. If everyone could get a ride quickly that would be one thing, but that’s not always the case. I definitely think Tesla should raise prices to bring supply and demand in balance, and then lower them over time as they add more supply to the network.
Nic Cruz Patane@niccruzpatane

Waymo vs Tesla Robotaxi fare in the Bay Area at 5:30 pm (4.4 mile ride): Waymo: $45.05 (29 min pickup) Robotaxi: $7.80 (15 min pickup) In this situation, Waymo was 5.7x more expensive.

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Big Ten information and news
Big Ten information and news@Genetics56·
Here is a copy of the transcript from today's podcast about the NFL rights post Super Bowl. Sharing because of the downstream impact on college sports rights.
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Big Ten information and news
Big Ten information and news@Genetics56·
There was only one person on X that used the phrase "non-linear conference realignment." That was me. The conference realignment YouTubers never used that wording. I was once again so far ahead on this that I'm left with zero competition.
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Sawyer Merritt
Sawyer Merritt@SawyerMerritt·
NEWS: The Delaware Supreme Court handed Tesla a victory yesterday, slashing by more than $100 ​million the legal fees owed to shareholder lawyers who reached a settlement with Tesla in a challenge over four years of compensation for the company's directors. The justices set the fee award at $71M (down from $171M)
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Elon Musk
Elon Musk@elonmusk·
Grok Imagine is improving super fast! What are the highest priority improvements you want? Please reply below.
Wes Roth@WesRoth

xAI has launched the Grok Imagine API, a powerful suite for video and audio generation that sets a new benchmark in speed, cost, and quality. Built for creators, developers, and enterprise workflows, it lets users generate cinematic videos from text or images, edit scenes with precision, control styles and moods, and animate characters with performance-driven cues. Grok Imagine ranks #1 in both Artificial Analysis and LMArena benchmarks outperforming Sora 2, Veo 3, and other top models on price, latency, and quality. It also integrates with major creative platforms like HeyGen, Invideo, and ComfyUI for seamless workflows.

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Whole Mars Catalog
Whole Mars Catalog@wholemars·
@elonmusk It is sad, but they are clearly not the future of the company I hope to see Tesla produce more premium variants based on the 3 & Y platform in all their factories around the world to fill the holes left in the lineup by the S & X
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Eric Ceres
Eric Ceres@EricCeres·
@wholemars @engine_rich This doesn’t give the assurance, most of those purchases were before they added supervised to the product.
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Whole Mars Catalog
Whole Mars Catalog@wholemars·
Full Self-Driving means Full Self-Driving. It couldn’t be more clear. Yes, “the currently enables features require active driver supervision and do not make the vehicle autonomous” but “as these self-driving features evolve, your car will be continuously upgraded through OTA updates” Now the deployment for FSD Unsupervised has already begun. Pretty straightforward.
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Eric Ceres
Eric Ceres@EricCeres·
@wholemars X hours a month as a robo-taxi turns on FSD for free for this week and next.
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Whole Mars Catalog
Whole Mars Catalog@wholemars·
The launch of rider-only Robotaxis to the public is exciting, but many Tesla customers are grumbling about some of the recent pricing discussions. With the option to purchase in full going away, customers are facing a future where owning a Tesla requires a $99 monthly subscription on top of the car payment. It's a much better pricing model for FSD in many ways, but the subscription fatigue is real. On top of that, Elon said the subscription price will be going up over time. You can't purchase, and the new model is that Tesla can just raise the price whenever they feel like it and you have to pay it or lose self-driving. For many customers who view FSD as indispensable and are on a budget, that causes a lot of anxiety. A lot of customers said that if they can't afford the FSD subscription, they don't even want to buy a Tesla. An empty threat? Maybe, but I get where they're coming from: FSD is integral to what makes a Tesla a Tesla. On top of that, Basic Autopilot, the free lane keeping software that has come free with all Teslas for years, is no longer being included Standard. FSD is getting more expensive, and the free option is going away. It's understandable why so many customers are grumbling. Not every Tesla owner is the richest person in the world (well, one is). But when you hear people cry about Basic Autopilot, they're not actually crying for Basic Autopilot. Basic Autopilot was a legacy rules based ADAS system that is now obsolete in the world of end to end neural networks. It should not be shipping on new cars anymore. Frankly, it goes against Tesla's mission of safety to still be shipping obsolete code like that standard on all new cars for everyone to use. Autopilot was great for 2019, but FSD has long since left it in the dust safety wise. The new end to end neural net stack is so much safer than the legacy stack that selling new cars with the obsolete Autopilot stack almost feels irresponsible. Anyway, I've got the solution to fix everyone's complaints. Every single group mentioned in this post that's complaining about the recent changes. They don't actually want to use outdated and obsolete Autopilot. They just want something free. I suspect and hope that Tesla is working on a new free version of their self-driving system to include with every car. I want everyone to be using the new FSD stack. It sucks to have it behind a fat paywall. A new free basic Autopilot built on the FSD stack would be amazing. Remember, Basic Autopilot never shipped on vehicles like the Cybertruck. It didn't make sense to port it over. They're long overdue on a free FSD Basic to include standard on every car. What would Full Self-Driving Basic look like (basic self-driving?) To get everyone to experience and get hooked on FSD, Tesla should move to a freemium offer. If you do this right, most people subscribe to the pro or full version (success would mean more than the current 12% subscribe) and everyone else gets to use the free version. So what would the free tier include? Here's some ideas I've seen 1. FSD Basic Can Only Go in Sloth Mode Pay $99 a month to be able to not drive like grandma. This almost sounds like a joke, but there might be something to it. 2. Ad Supported FSD This is a little out there, and Elon certainly isn't the biggest fan of ads, but an FSD subscription costs $3.25 a day. Would it be possible to generate $3.25 in advertising revenue from audio or display ads within the Tesla? Imagine you can use FSD for free, but ads play over the speaker and on the screen? Sounds kind of like a dystopian nightmare in a way, but that would let people use FSD for free, Tesla would still make $99 a month or more, and X could have a new place to show ads that could be incredibly well targeted (you're headed to the gym, try the vitamin store next door right after). It would be so cool if everyone had FSD. However, I can't imagine people paying $99 a month just to get rid of ads so that would be tough. Maybe the ad supported version is $50 a month or $20 a month or something? 3. One drive a day / certain number of miles free One drive a day works because you can drive someone to their destination, and then once they get there they have to drive back home manually. What an incredible psychological trick to get them to groan and subscribe 4. Doesn't follow navigation Like basic Autopilot, you could use the FSD stack for something that just keeps you in the current lane (and goes around cars or whatever) but isn't passed in the navigation route from the system. This would give you all the safety and capabilities of FSD, it just wouldn't actually take you anywhere without a lot of human input unless you "pay the fare" There are a lot of other ideas I've heard for how to structure a free and paid tier. What are yours? The cool thing is any Tesla with AI3 or AI4 can run FSD so Tesla can really get creative with pricing here. I want to see a pricing model that is focused on making adoption skyrocket, and getting everyone hooked on FSD. It seems silly to focus on generating a few bucks of revenue when you really should be focused on getting as many customers hooked on FSD as possible. If they get hooked on FSD, they'll get hooked on Tesla. tl;dr Tesla needs to come up with a free FSD Basic based on the V14 stack to replace Basic Autopilot. Why? Because it'll increase the FSD paid subscription rate if done right. And more importantly, it's a WOW. Something nobody else can offer. Wow, every Tesla comes with free self-driving? even if it's just a limited basic tier? That's an amazing offer nobody else can match. Tesla is not seeing sales grow. They need to make their customers say wow, and a free tier of FSD would do exactly that. Tesla is really known for great self-driving being standard, for the last five years now. They should keep that tradition going. Buying a Tesla and finding only traffic aware cruise control just feels wrong. Nobody wants a mandatory subscription. If I *have* to have a subscription to enjoy my Tesla fully, it feels like a burden. But if the functionality is actually there for free in a limited capacity, and I can *choose* to pay for more of what I love... well then that's a different story. I'm choosing to upgrade to the higher tier because I want the extra features. But I could cancel on a tight month and still survive. I really hope to see Tesla ship FSD basic as a free software update to all Teslas this year, replacing the legacy Autopilot stack completely. Not including it standard on new Teslas isn't enough. The legacy Autopilot stack needs to die on the existing fleet too, and be replaced by FSD Basic. Nobody should be using the Basic Autopilot or Navigate on Autopilot in 2026. It's time to leave the old stack in the past.
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Eric Ceres
Eric Ceres@EricCeres·
@wholemars Like someone else said you can buy multiple active SIMs for multiple providers. $44 unlimited data + $10 second line. Cheaper if you pay annually or get sign up deal. Only downside is no phone deals, hut with savings uour way ahead.
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Eric Ceres
Eric Ceres@EricCeres·
@Tesla Just don’t unbuckle while it is moving final inches into parking spot or it’ll stop and red steering wheel you.
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Tesla
Tesla@Tesla·
Just unbuckle & get out of your Tesla It will automatically shift into park & lock as you walk away
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Small Government
Small Government@SmallGov4All·
Personally, @elonmusk , I bought FSD on multiple cars but would not be likely to rent it consistently. If it can be turned off and on at will, I would only be likely to rent it when going on a road trip or if it began to be able to function as an automated taxi to pay for itself. The technology is interesting and I enjoy interacting with it but not enough to keep paying monthif I can simply turn it off. I would encourage @Tesla to consider continuing a version of the Luxe Package that is on the S and X. Apply the Luxe Package as standard on the Plaid, Performance, and Cyberbeast versions of vehicles. Bundle lifetime supercharging, premium connectivity, supercharging, and FSD. If you want the premium performance, it comes with all the features possible.
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