Esurien
4.1K posts

Esurien
@Esurien11
Petroleum Engineer, Investor, tweets are my opinions and should not be investment advice. Worried about biodiversity+the environment. Pro-nuclear.




民运人士姚诚回国,在边陲小镇住了一天,又顺利出国。如果这是中共有意为之的话,一方面说明中共的自信程度在提高,另一方面中共的统战手法和能力也在提升。 过去中共对反共人士的做法是,想走的赶紧走,赶到美国欧洲去。到那里你们去自嗨,反正国内也看不到,从此没了影响力,爱咋地咋地。对那些不那么激烈反共,还想在国内搞点事情的,则边控你不让离境。 那些被驱赶或者允许离境的反共人士,一旦出国,就不让再回国了。话说当年89一代的某些人士,别说活着回国,就是死了,想落叶归根,安葬在国内都不可以。 我不知道姚诚目前拿的什么护照,如果还是中国护照,这种大摇大摆回国,中共既不喝茶也不边控还让他顺利出国,只能说明中共并不在意这些人回国在国内可能做的什么事情。当然姚诚的影响力也有限,如果魏京生回国,大概率还是会被拒绝的。 更重要的是,中共允许姚诚这样的人来去自由,在反贼群里造成的震撼极其强烈。你看你反了大半辈子共产党,共产党也并不在意你,你还可以来去自由,这个对其余生的信仰极具摧毁性。正好美国现在庇护政策也在收紧,对移民也不友好,在美国等了很多年一直拿不到身份的很多民运人士,信仰就会动摇。 我看姚诚的视频里开始讲在哪里养老比较好,这就超越了反共叙事。如果说养老的成本,那自然国内姚低得多。也就是说,没了反共这个维度,出国就不是一个那么理想的选择。 假如从此之后,民运群体开始出现一波回国潮,那今后国是会议还开不开的起来,就都成问题了。毕竟开会也有成本,而且参会也拿不到庇护绿卡了。 这一招挺高,中共高层有能人。



taiwan is pretty dope. i’m gonna be sad if china takes it. something distinctive would be lost, nothing great would be gained.

I had almost 300 responses to my Cuba post. The most common reply was: "Because communism." Okay. Let's accept that as true. Communism is a failed economic system. Cuba's government is repressive. Castro was a dictator. Now answer the question: Why does punishing ordinary Cubans with a 67-year embargo serve American interests? If the goal is freedom for the Cuban people, starvation is a strange way to free them. If the goal is regime change, it hasn't worked in 67 years. If the goal is to help Cubans, lifting the embargo costs us nothing and gives them everything. The communism answer explains why we don't like Cuba. It doesn't explain the embargo. Try again.



SpaceX's free cash flow imploded from +$0.1 billion in 2023 to -$14 billion in 2025. Q1 2026 FCF of -$9.1 billion is already 65% of 2025's total cash burn. No wonder Musk is offering 30% allocation to retail, and Morgan Stanley is pump-priming E-Trade. $SPCX $TSLA



Bezos on CNBC: "You could double the taxes I pay, and it's not gonna help that teacher in Queens. I promise you."





BREAKING: President Trump has STEPPED OFF Air Force One with Elon Musk in BEIJING, receiving an INCREDIBLY warm welcome from the Chinese 300 Chinese students waved American and Chinese flags, and 47 was presented with gifts This is the FIRST Presidential visit to China in almost 10 years, when President Trump last visited.

Trump explains why the US has attacked Iran without provocation, sending the global economy into crisis: "We're doing it to help Israel" and the Gulf dictatorships


It does not make the Trump strategy look any wiser but one of the many problems with "Iran is the new great power" discourse is that control over Hormuz is likely to become a waning asset if the Iranians can't normalize the situation. x.com/JavierBlas/sta…




*NVIDIA SHARES FALL 3.6% AT OPEN, BIGGEST DROP SINCE APRIL 30 $NVDA


Sanders and AOC introduced a bill to pause ALL AI data center construction. 300+ local bills filed. Half of planned 2026 data centers facing delays or cancellation. Each one brings billions to local economies. The people who say they want American jobs are trying to block the biggest job creation engine since the interstate highway system.

