Ethan Heppner

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Ethan Heppner

Ethan Heppner

@Ethan_Heppner

Systems thinking + economics, writes https://t.co/VuR7zvhGFi Dreaming of a future where we all spend more time doing what we love.

Chicago Katılım Eylül 2021
713 Takip Edilen203 Takipçiler
Ethan Heppner
Ethan Heppner@Ethan_Heppner·
Have you been looking for a well-researched piece that puts the energy use of AI into proper perspective? If so, this latest one from @ben_j_todd is for you!
Benjamin Todd@ben_j_todd

People are saying you shouldn't use GPT because: • A ChatGPT query emits 10x more emissions than Google search • Writing an email with GPT uses a whole bottle of water • ChatGPT uses as much energy as 20,000 households. But these stats are wrong or misleading..

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Ethan Heppner
Ethan Heppner@Ethan_Heppner·
@AlecMacGillis When I looked at the CPS data on this a few years ago, I found it striking that the trend of shorter working hours for Millennials and Gen Z was entirely explained by men: 2120insights.com/p/do-millennia… I'm surprised this piece doesn't mention this.
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Alec MacGillis
Alec MacGillis@AlecMacGillis·
"Now a senior audit associate at KPMG's office in Short Hills, N.J., Moran, 24, said she felt comfortable telling her manager how important pickleball is to her when it came to her schedule and setting work-life boundaries." WSJ:
Alec MacGillis tweet media
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Ethan Heppner
Ethan Heppner@Ethan_Heppner·
@Rainmaker1973 But given the higher fatality rates for smaller vehicles (where perception is probably even stronger than the reality of a 50% increase in vehicle size leading at a ~50% decrease in fatalities), these could be a tough sell even at a low price-point: iihs.org/research-areas…
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Massimo
Massimo@Rainmaker1973·
Toyota reveals mobi during Japan Mobility Show 2025, an electric bubble car for kids, the prototype forms part of the company's Mobility for All project, which aims to create vehicles that can transport anyone, regardless of age or ability.
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Ethan Heppner
Ethan Heppner@Ethan_Heppner·
@TheStalwart A thoughtful classification system that ties in one's personal notes can help the mind make connections that it might not otherwise: x.com/Ethan_Heppner/…
Ethan Heppner@Ethan_Heppner

@Andrey4Mir I've tussled with some similar questions in designing my personal knowledge management system. I could just search a single document, but forcing myself to catalogue does get me to think about the relationship between different things I've read in a way I wouldn't do otherwise.

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Joe Weisenthal
Joe Weisenthal@TheStalwart·
yeah, sure, kinda true. But what's the point of "sorting" anything digital. This is my point. In the world of the search bar (which keeps getting better and better) why group anything together at all?
Dick N. Bright@stationerycar

@TheStalwart @cursor_ai Sorting files on your desktop by type is like sorting books on your shelves by color.

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Ethan Heppner
Ethan Heppner@Ethan_Heppner·
@Andrey4Mir I've tussled with some similar questions in designing my personal knowledge management system. I could just search a single document, but forcing myself to catalogue does get me to think about the relationship between different things I've read in a way I wouldn't do otherwise.
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Andrey Mir
Andrey Mir@Andrey4Mir·
Cataloguing was an effect of literacy (library, storing tablets); the search bar is indeed far more efficient. But there was a cognitive side effect of cataloguing: an abstract classification of the world. As this skill is no longer in use, it fades. andrey4mir.substack.com/p/how-we-acqui…
Andrey Mir tweet media
Joe Weisenthal@TheStalwart

However I’m not entirely sure what the point of hierarchical file systems are anymore in the age of the search bar. If I’m looking for a PDF, I don’t like open the PDF folder. In fact, I literally have not done this a single time in my entire life. Same (lol) with screenshots.

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Ethan Heppner
Ethan Heppner@Ethan_Heppner·
@vpostrel I wonder if this is because it's hard to explain to the average voter not familiar with the nuances of appropriations law. Personal challenge: how can I best explain this to people who don't pay much attention to politics?
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Virginia Postrel
Virginia Postrel@vpostrel·
This is a good point that I hadn't considered until I read his post--which shows that Dems are not making it loudly and often.
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Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇸🇺🇦🇹🇼
Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇸🇺🇦🇹🇼@Noahpinion·
This is 100% true noahpinion.blog/p/good-cities-…
Chris Arnade 🐢🐱🚌@Chris_arnade

The Abundance crowd seems to be in denial that their agenda requires first having a high-trust (safe) society. There is a fine line, which is all about public trust, between vibrant, dense, alive streets, and squalid, fetid, and lurid ones, and the US is currently on the wrong side of that line and until you sort that out, nobody is going to vote for Abundance. Or, if you advocate for the politics of shared public spaces, you first need voters to feel completely safe, and trusting of strangers.

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Ethan Heppner
Ethan Heppner@Ethan_Heppner·
The Robot Apocalypse is coming to Chicago tomorrow, September 20th 🤖😱 Come join us for the best game of tag you'll ever play!
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Ethan Heppner
Ethan Heppner@Ethan_Heppner·
@mateosfo The early "culture war" aspect of this issue that could emerge as early as the late 2030s would be one side inaccurately accusing the other of having the (unpopular at that time) view of banning human driving.
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Ethan Heppner
Ethan Heppner@Ethan_Heppner·
@mateosfo Agree that any total bans are unlikely until at least the 2060s, which also lines up with median voters of that era coming of age at a time when AVs become widely available. The % of teenagers with licenses will be an interesting leading indicator here.
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(((Matthew Lewis))) cults & consequences
(((Matthew Lewis))) cults & consequences@mateosfo·
As soon as Waymo and its most strident supporters call to ban all human drivers -- the only measure that would actually save lives -- I will be the world's biggest Waymo supporter. if there are any Waymo supporters who want to tell me what year that will happen, I'm all ears.
Crémieux@cremieuxrecueil

Waymo is so safe that if every car was driven like a Waymo, about 9% of America's life expectancy gap would disappear. 9 percent Americans die in car accidents *that often*.

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Ethan Heppner
Ethan Heppner@Ethan_Heppner·
@mateosfo But personal preferences can be sticky. Talk of bans could negative polarize a public already wary of robots intruding on their lives and paradoxically worsen safety.
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Ethan Heppner
Ethan Heppner@Ethan_Heppner·
@nikillinit I've been doing some more detailed research about this (comparing Indeed job openings with actual hires as reported by JOLTS) and curiously this behavior varies a lot by industry. Looking forward to sharing more soon!
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Nikhil Krishnan
Nikhil Krishnan@nikillinit·
the unfortunate reality is that as AI spam floods job portals and resumes contain increasing amounts of fake information - companies are likely going to bring the reference check step way earlier in the process You already see this with companies needing a warm referral or intro to actual get to the interview step
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Ethan Heppner
Ethan Heppner@Ethan_Heppner·
@kar_nels @lymanstoneky Oh some people for sure! But I suspect the robotaxi market share won't cross 50% until the prices come down, probably sometime in the 2030s.
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Lyman Stone 石來民 🦬🦬🦬
Lyman Stone 石來民 🦬🦬🦬@lymanstoneky·
this has been the argument against in-city robot cars for a very long time, and i am HERE FOR IT. also i have deliberately walked out in front of a waymo before. gotta put the robots in their place. it's the little things in life that you've got to cherish.
Crémieux@cremieuxrecueil

Pedestrians have actually figured out that they can just walk in front of the Waymo and it'll abruptly stop. It's over. I'm going to be so late.

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Keşfet

@ben_j_todd @AlecMacGillis @oyinadedoyin5 @rayalexsmith @Rainmaker1973 @TheStalwart @Andrey4Mir @vpostrel