F_Ivanovic

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F_Ivanovic

F_Ivanovic

@F_Ivanovic89

Poker, Hearthstone, FPL, Spurs Ⓥ

UK Katılım Ekim 2018
174 Takip Edilen97 Takipçiler
F_Ivanovic
F_Ivanovic@F_Ivanovic89·
@KingOfSpagBol @Talking_spurss It's bad luck compounded by some poor decisions. Margins are slim in the prem with so many good teams so it's not a surprise it happened but it also means that it doesn't take much to change things around quickly.
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KING OF SPAG
KING OF SPAG@KingOfSpagBol·
@Talking_spurss You're on course to finish bottom 5 the last two seasons. That's not just bad luck.
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Tottenham Talk
Tottenham Talk@Talking_spurss·
De Zerbi’s upside is outrageously high if we do stay up. People don’t understand the impact of only playing one game a week, united have shown it this season with a failed championship manager in charge. Some fanbases are about to be reminded what this football club truly is
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F_Ivanovic
F_Ivanovic@F_Ivanovic89·
@CricketTragic5 @NUFC140420 I mean there's a reason 95% of pro's are turning that shot down - i think if it was 8/10 they wouldn't. Definitely more like a 6/10 shot
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Cricket Tragic
Cricket Tragic@CricketTragic5·
@NUFC140420 That’s slightly exaggerating IMO. It’s only such a good pot because of the pressure on it. A pro should be making that 8/10 usually I’d say.
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F_Ivanovic
F_Ivanovic@F_Ivanovic89·
@Certinfy @Pavlo__Escobar I mean I wouldn't call 10/1 odds a particularly great chance. Not impossible though but Ronnie was much more favoured than that this year after his first round game and didn't go on to do it.
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Jason
Jason@Certinfy·
@Pavlo__Escobar “Pretty big chance” when Novak Djokovic has a great chance at Wimbledon this year! 🙄
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𝐏𝐚𝐯𝐥𝐨 𝐄𝐬𝐜𝐨𝐛𝐚𝐫
𝐏𝐚𝐯𝐥𝐨 𝐄𝐬𝐜𝐨𝐛𝐚𝐫@Pavlo__Escobar·
Theres a pretty big chance all 3 of these iconic names will forever be stuck on 7. Ronnie O’Sullivan - 7 world titles Lewis Hamilton - 7 world titles Novak Djokovic - 7 Wimbledon titles
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F_Ivanovic
F_Ivanovic@F_Ivanovic89·
@DragonNoonim @monsterprom That kid who jumped into a pool is going to reap their own consequence and die because i'm a selfish red voter and I'm not going to save them.
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Dragonfriend
Dragonfriend@DragonNoonim·
@monsterprom Nobody needs 100% red. We just need recognize that those who get themselves killed voting blue are reaping their own consequences.
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Monster Con is OUT NOW!
Monster Con is OUT NOW!@monsterprom·
The red/blue button situation has been intense, huh? One of the strangest (or saddest) things to witness is that people getting heated about "RED BUTTON IS THE ONLY LOGICAL SOLUTION" seem near incapable of framing the thought experiment outside a purely individualistic lens.
Monster Con is OUT NOW! tweet media
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F_Ivanovic
F_Ivanovic@F_Ivanovic89·
@BattleJeff1 @theblessedsalt Because this situation is obvious enough that you're expecting no one to jump in. In the original scenario, you know that people are going to press blue because they don't understand it.
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Battle Jeff
Battle Jeff@BattleJeff1·
@theblessedsalt If we assume you don't feel pain in this process. Everyone is given a 100% safe anaesthesia, and in case the jam happen, the machine wouldn't even apply any force to anyone. What is the difference between this and the original setup?
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F_Ivanovic
F_Ivanovic@F_Ivanovic89·
@LiamSpurs1 @thfcAlex3 Ange was an avg manager but the fact the players all loved him made up for his tactical shortcomings. Should only have been sacked for a top quality replacement which was never happening so deserved another season.
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Liam Murphy 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿
Liam Murphy 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿@LiamSpurs1·
@thfcAlex3 Villa were poor for 1 match. Ange lost 34 PL matches from his last 64 games. That is genuinely abysmal. But Ange is a top quality manager and that’s why big clubs all over Europe want to employ him… oh wait, no they don’t. Except maybe the kangaroo kickers
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Liam Murphy 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿
Liam Murphy 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿@LiamSpurs1·
I will never understand the narrative around Ange Postecoglou being unfairly sacked last season 22 PL defeats, 38 points - a total that would see us relegated this season But all fine because he beat Frankfurt, Bodo Glimt and literally the poorest Utd in history
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F_Ivanovic
F_Ivanovic@F_Ivanovic89·
@Had2Explain @ben_bowman_ We'd start 3/4 and actually have an outstanding sub option. vs none available. Vicario, Romero, Solanke and potentially odobert... that's at least 6 starters. Ross Barkley started several other games in the prem recently including when they beat West Ham 2-0
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Would be nice if people stopped killing people
Would be nice if people stopped killing people@Had2Explain·
@ben_bowman_ “We have 11 injuries” You cannot and will not start all of Xavi, Maddison, Kulu and Kudus. At most you start 2. You were missing 4 starters. They played Ross fucking Barkley. Yes, the “not out of place int he championship” is hyperbole, but they laid down for you.
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F_Ivanovic
F_Ivanovic@F_Ivanovic89·
@JustDirmax Who is this guy and why does he sound like GazzyB?
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Dirmax✨🌍
Dirmax✨🌍@JustDirmax·
He put his credit card details on a football stadium screen and this happened 😱😂
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F_Ivanovic
F_Ivanovic@F_Ivanovic89·
@Mukherjea @witheredreg @SamGreenwoodRIO @RGHall I mean if you know opponent is bad and will call too wide you obviously adjust. Most good players are going to be v tight in this spot though. Also gl making a profit with some of these garbage hands otherwise. If you are going to adjust you need to be folding some of these hands
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Sam Greenwood
Sam Greenwood@SamGreenwoodRIO·
The BB is so tight that shoving any hand is +EV compared to fold. When you open jam from SB you can play more hands than only playing RFI. The BB can't fight back vs a shove (outside of waiting for a good hand), but can vs an RFI. If SB RFI 100% they can jam AQo, flat 65s or three-bet fold A2o. The CL wants to play 100% from the SB and needs to play open jams to keep their own value:bluff ratio narrow enough that the BB can't rebluff constantly.
LEGION | Joey Ingram 🐉@Joeingram1

have been deep in the FT ICM preflop lab and find how often this pattern shows up very strange @GTOWizard the chipleader is able to shove absurdly wide pre-flop when one or two super short stacks are alive 4-6 handed. In this one the CL can shove 65.5% of hands vs the 38bb BB because of the 6bb and 8bb stacks still alive and in the blinds next. the BB defense range is supposed to be 99-AA knowing that the SB is shoving that wide. My cash game brain is breaking trying to understand this spot because why would you want to risk so many chips with all the worst hands but it feels like chipleader mindset is to find spots to play very wide aggressive ranges short handed

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F_Ivanovic
F_Ivanovic@F_Ivanovic89·
@historydefined I love how the comments are like it never happened or must be rigged because they don't believe this is possible as they have no understanding of probability and variance
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History Defined
History Defined@historydefined·
An infamous roulette game in Monte Carlo Casino on August 18, 1913, saw the ball land on black 26 times in a row. Gamblers lost millions by repeatedly betting on red, convinced it had to happen eventually. The event became one of the most famous examples of the gambler’s fallacy.
History Defined tweet media
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Luan Hanratty
Luan Hanratty@LuanHanratty·
@historydefined Unlikely anyone lost millions, certainly not in 1913. Roulette tables have maximum bets on each position and at Monte Carlo it’s around €2000 on red or black.
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F_Ivanovic
F_Ivanovic@F_Ivanovic89·
@D3layed @0xCOSM0 Thus you aren't expecting anyone to jump in other than suicdal people.
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F_Ivanovic
F_Ivanovic@F_Ivanovic89·
@D3layed @0xCOSM0 You're right that wording it in a different way makes peoples answers change. But the whole point of voting blue in the original is that a lot of people aren't going to understand the question, so your blue vote saves them. In this, there is no way to mis-interperet it.
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COSMO | π
COSMO | π@0xCOSM0·
most people would try to justify picking red. and you honestly cannot blame them, they aren't necessarily evil, just because they want to guarantee their survival. this is just sad for people picking blue, cause they are thinking for the collective survival of everyone betting with their life that complete strangers are good people
Tim Urban@waitbutwhy

Everyone in the world has to take a private vote by pressing a red or blue button. If more than 50% of people press the blue button, everyone survives. If less than 50% of people press the blue button, only people who pressed the red button survive. Which button would you press?

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F_Ivanovic
F_Ivanovic@F_Ivanovic89·
@Sikchi34 @yiddogusdos was still very small. The issue was sticking with Frank forever when it was clear it wasn't going to work out.
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F_Ivanovic
F_Ivanovic@F_Ivanovic89·
@Sikchi34 @yiddogusdos Not trying to defend the owners here but if we didn't have such terrible luck with injuries we'd get complaints about why did we waste money on terrible players that we panic bought. I think we should have bought someone obviously, but at that point the threat of relegation
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gus
gus@yiddogusdos·
5 season ending knee injuries in less than 12 months
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Jack Whitcomb
Jack Whitcomb@jack_whitcomb_·
I'm convinced this is just a poorly phrased question. If you pose it as: - Anyone who presses the red button lives no matter what. - Anyone who presses the blue button dies, unless > 50% of people also press the blue button. then it's clear that pressing the blue button is dumb.
Tim Urban@waitbutwhy

Everyone in the world has to take a private vote by pressing a red or blue button. If more than 50% of people press the blue button, everyone survives. If less than 50% of people press the blue button, only people who pressed the red button survive. Which button would you press?

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Tim Urban
Tim Urban@waitbutwhy·
Everyone in the world has to take a private vote by pressing a red or blue button. If more than 50% of people press the blue button, everyone survives. If less than 50% of people press the blue button, only people who pressed the red button survive. Which button would you press?
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F_Ivanovic
F_Ivanovic@F_Ivanovic89·
@SkinnySC @AriDavidPaul Incorrect. There will always be people that push blue no matter what. It's far more likely to get 50% to pick blue then to get everyone to pick red
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David Haskins
David Haskins@SkinnySC·
@AriDavidPaul And if you ran this game multiple times and the participants learned the optimal SEO preservation strategy the red would go to 100 over time
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Ari Paul ⛓️
Ari Paul ⛓️@AriDavidPaul·
As a game theory question, it’s boring and easy. As a political question, it’s fascinating and reveals a great deal about why democracies struggle. Superficially, blue looks like the collectivist, selfless, moral answer. And as you’d expect, plenty of people not only assumed that to be true, but moralized aggressively at those who understand that’s not factually true. Anyone who picks red is guaranteed to live, including if everyone does it. It’s objectively the better and more moral choice for most and to recommend to others. Blue is a kind of stochastic suicide button.
Tim Urban@waitbutwhy

Everyone in the world has to take a private vote by pressing a red or blue button. If more than 50% of people press the blue button, everyone survives. If less than 50% of people press the blue button, only people who pressed the red button survive. Which button would you press?

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F_Ivanovic
F_Ivanovic@F_Ivanovic89·
@CJDGiesen @MasonJettericks @waitbutwhy You really lack critical thinking skills for thinking there's no downside in voting for red. The downside is you have the possibility of killing millions of people - including friends and family of loved ones.
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CJDGiesen
CJDGiesen@CJDGiesen·
@MasonJettericks @waitbutwhy Well you are killing yourself by rolling the dice for no reason at all. Read that again: There is NO DOWNSIDE to pressing Red. That is NOT how the question is framed.
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Keşfet

@KingOfSpagBol @Talking_spurss @CricketTragic5 @NUFC140420 @Certinfy @Pavlo__Escobar @DragonNoonim @monsterprom