Garvan Gallagher

18K posts

Garvan Gallagher banner
Garvan Gallagher

Garvan Gallagher

@GallagherGarvan

IT Professional. Excuses make today easy but tomorrow hard. Discipline makes today hard but tomorrow easy. Dublin via Donegal.

Dublin, Ireland Katılım Ekim 2012
5K Takip Edilen1.1K Takipçiler
Rob Lipsett
Rob Lipsett@RobLipsett·
I could eat this meal daily for the rest of my life and never get tired of it
Rob Lipsett tweet mediaRob Lipsett tweet media
English
227
120
6.3K
981K
Keith Redmond
Keith Redmond@ExCllrRedmond·
It’s important to understand traffic congestion in Dublin is deliberate, it’s on purpose. The former city manager Owen Keegan re designed routes, no left turns, one ways and narrowing to make driving take longer. He called it Infinity Congestion Charging. rte.ie/news/2026/0324…
English
93
160
771
33.5K
Garvan Gallagher retweetledi
Peter Girnus 🦅
Peter Girnus 🦅@gothburz·
I placed $1.5 billion in futures at 6:50 AM. Fourteen minutes before President Trump's Truth Social post. That's generous. Usually, I get five. The S&P was barely breathing. Premarket Monday. The kind of quiet where a single order echoes through the entire book. I bought $1.5 billion in futures. The index moved 0.3% on my entry alone. That's how thin the market was. That's how empty the room was. At the same time, I shorted $192 million in crude oil. Then I sat there. Three screens. One coffee. The futures blinking green on the left, the oil contract bleeding red on the right, and in the center, a Truth Social feed set to refresh every four seconds. Fourteen minutes is a long time when you know what's coming. Not because I was nervous. Because I was early. At 7:04 AM, the president posted. Productive discussions. Five-day halt on strikes. Peace talks with Iran. S&P jumped 2.5%. Oil cratered 6%. My position gained $60 million before most Americans' alarm clocks went off. Good morning. Iran later denied that the talks ever happened. Called it fake news. The speaker of their parliament accused the president of manipulating financial markets. The talks might not be real. The sixty million dollars is. The analytics accounts flagged it within the hour. "Unusual activity." "Orders 4-6x larger than anything else trading at the time." That's their word for it. Unusual. My word for it is Tuesday. They always flag it. That's their function. Flagging is not investigating. Flagging is the system's way of noting that it saw something, documenting that it will do nothing, and calling that process oversight. The actual investigation is conducted by the CFTC. The CFTC has one commissioner. Out of five seats. One. The other four chairs are empty. Not vacant. Emptied. There is a difference. Vacant means nobody applied. Emptied means somebody decided the body responsible for policing futures markets should not have enough members to hold a vote. That's not negligence. That's architecture. You know what we call this pattern on the desk? TACO. Trump Always Chickens Out. Escalate on Friday, capitulate on Monday, and extract in the window between the decision and the post. It's so reliable, we named it. We have a private Slack channel. #taco-tuesday. It updates automatically when Truth Social pushes a new geopolitical keyword. We don't teach it as insider trading. We teach it as a market structure. New analysts learn it in their first week. By the second week, they stop flinching. The phone rang at 6:47 AM. Three minutes before I entered the position. The call lasted ninety seconds. Ninety seconds of context. $60 million of outcome. You call that insider trading. I understand why. Insider trading is the word you learned. It's the crime from the movies. The whispered merger at a cocktail party. Four hundred shares of a mid-cap pharmaceutical. That gets prosecuted. That's the version of this crime the system was built to catch. What I do is different. I place $1.5 billion against a war decision made in a room I have the phone number to. On a platform overseen by a commission with one member. In a market where the president's social media account is the most powerful price-setting mechanism on earth. That's not insider trading. That's infrastructure. You would go to federal prison for trading on a tip from your brother-in-law. I made $60 million trading on a war. The difference is not the crime. The difference is the decimal point. Americans paid for this war with four-dollar gas and sixteen billion in taxes. I paid for a phone call. We are not in the same economy. Last month, $529 million was wagered on Polymarket's Iran strikes market. Six accounts pocketed $1.2 million. Deposited funds the same day. Hours before the bombs fell. One account cleared $553,000 at 17% odds, seventy-one minutes before public confirmation. He has not placed another bet since. The president's son sits on Polymarket's advisory board. Two federal investigations into the platform were quietly dropped this year. Twelve government officials sold stocks in the weeks before the tariff crash. All of them reported the sales after the deadline. Nobody calls any of that insider trading. They call it prediction markets. Delayed disclosures. Portfolio rebalancing. I call it the junior varsity version of what I do with futures. An Oxford law professor called it the most far-reaching securities fraud in history. We call it the window. Tomorrow, this will be gone. Buried under a new tariff. A new ultimatum. A new TACO. Next Monday at 6:50 AM, I will be here again. Coffee. Three screens. The phone. The ninety-second call. The fourteen-minute window. The game isn't rigged. Rigged implies something broke. Nothing broke. Every component is functioning exactly as specified. The one-member commission. The anonymous platforms. The four-second refresh on the Truth Social feed. The phone that rings at 6:47. I didn't exploit a flaw in the system. I am the system.
English
163
440
1.8K
343.8K
Garvan Gallagher retweetledi
Simon Taylor
Simon Taylor@sytaylor·
🚨 BREAKING: Revolut just posted $2.3 billion in profit. $6 billion revenue. 38% margins. Fifth consecutive year of profitability. 76% of neobanks still lose money. Revolut has 11 product lines each clearing $100M+ in annual revenue. - Subscriptions. - Cards. - FX. - Wealth. - Lending. - Business payments. They're a lot more than a card and an app, and very different to most US Neobanks They're a diversified financial services company that runs on a phone. --- The numbers underneath are worth digging into. - Credit portfolio doubled (+120%). - Customer balances hit $67.5bn (+66%). - Subscriptions grew 67% — their fastest revenue line. Revolut Business now does 16% of total income and grew 140%+ in Singapore, Australia, and the US. 63% of new customers still come through word of mouth. At 68 million customers. 1 in 5 working-age Europeans use it. --- The huge news of course is they're a BANK now. - The UK bank has been green lit. - Mexico live. - US national bank charter filed this month. 30+ banking licenses across 40 markets. --- Three years ago the debate was "can neobanks survive?" Revolut is becoming the most boring thing a fintech can become — boringly profitable, boringly diversified, boringly institutional. That's the highest compliment you can pay a bank. And yet, somehow with Revolut it's NEVER boring.
Simon Taylor tweet media
English
57
229
2K
221K
Sulaiman Ahmed
Sulaiman Ahmed@ShaykhSulaiman·
ISRAELI SETTLER UPSET ABOUT ISRAEL BEING HIT Where were the tears from Gaza?
English
579
1.2K
5K
112.3K
Mario Nawfal
Mario Nawfal@MarioNawfal·
MAJOR DEVELOPMENT: The man Trump claimed he was negotiating with just said this is fake news by Trump to manipulate the financial and oil markets This means one of two things: 1. Trump lied 2. The IRGC pressured the Iranian negotiator to pull out of the talks My bet is on #2, and we are seeing a power struggle in Iran in real time As explained in my post below, we are seeing a split in Iran between the ideological and radical IRGC, which are fighting for their survival, and the more moderate and pragmatic executive branch This could get ugly
Mario Nawfal tweet media
Mario Nawfal@MarioNawfal

IMPORTANT UPDATE: TRUMP IS BYPASSING THE IRGC Turns out Trump was saying the truth, but there's context The U.S is negotiating with Iran, this wasn't a bluff But Iran, as expected, is no longer one entity under one leadership The IRGC, more hardline and ideological, seem hell-bent on continuing this war, as they feel they have the upper hand. They rejected Trump's claim of ongoig negotiations, and now announced they will keep the Strait of Hormuz closed. In the meantime we are getting reports that a U.S. delegation is meeting an Iranian delegation in Pakistan, completely bypassing the IRGC This is a form of regime change, taking power away from the IRGC. This could go one of two ways: 1. After enough pressure and bombing, the IRGC fold and accept concessions, losing their grip on the country. This would be GREAT news for Iran and the world 2. The IRGC remain defiant, fighting for their survival, potentially militarily overthrowing the more moderate executive branch of the country This is an extremely important and sensitive period for Iran, Israel and the Middle East I hope Trump can pull it off

English
1.6K
465
2K
1.3M
Mario Nawfal
Mario Nawfal@MarioNawfal·
🇬🇧🇮🇷🇺🇸 PM Starmer just admitted the UK knew about the secret U.S.-Iran talks the whole time. He's telling MPs right now that we need to de-escalate the war. Britain staying in the loop while Trump does the heavy lifting.
Mario Nawfal@MarioNawfal

🚨 BREAKING: 🇺🇸🇮🇷🇵🇰 A senior Israeli official says contacts are ongoing for a possible meeting between U.S. and Iranian officials in Pakistan this week. The U.S. side could be led by JD Vance as part of the talks. 🇮🇱 Israel was aware of mediation efforts but was surprised by Trump claiming progress and possible agreements on 15 points. Source: @BarakRavid

English
61
114
580
349.3K
Garvan Gallagher retweetledi
Garda Info
Garda Info@gardainfo·
A new virus has arrived which targets the system that powers Apple devices. Here’s what you need to know 👇 Victims of the malware should consult a competent cyber security professional and report the crime to their local Garda Station. #KeepingPeopleSafe
Garda Info tweet media
English
16
94
279
106.3K
Garvan Gallagher retweetledi
The Spectator Index
The Spectator Index@spectatorindex·
BREAKING: Trump announces halt to any plans for strikes on Iranian power plants
The Spectator Index tweet media
English
2K
3.2K
17.4K
3.3M
Garvan Gallagher retweetledi
CS Blennerhassett 🇺🇦🇵🇸🇬🇱🇪🇺
I visited Cuba 25 years ago – it was a long time ago, but I understand conditions are now considerably worse than back then. I speak pretty good Spanish, so was able to communicate with locals. Absolutely every local I spoke to told me of the misery of their existence. 1/
CS Blennerhassett 🇺🇦🇵🇸🇬🇱🇪🇺 tweet media
English
3
21
91
12.1K
Garvan Gallagher retweetledi
Pope Leo XIV
Pope Leo XIV@Pontifex·
I continue to follow the situation in the Middle East with dismay. Like other regions of the world, it is torn apart by war and violence. We cannot remain silent in the face of the suffering of so many defenseless victims of these conflicts. What wounds them wounds all of humanity. The death and pain caused by these wars is a scandal for the entire human family and a cry that rises to God!
English
4.4K
9K
47.1K
1.3M
Garvan Gallagher retweetledi
William Shatner
William Shatner@WilliamShatner·
At 95, I'm still smokin'! 😝 I’ve learned two things: Never waste a good cigar. Never trust anyone who says you should ‘act your age.’ 😉👍🏻
William Shatner tweet media
English
14.7K
23K
245K
7.7M
Garvan Gallagher retweetledi
George W. Bush Presidential Center
Statement by President George W. Bush on Robert Mueller: "Laura and I are deeply saddened by the loss of Robert Mueller. Bob dedicated his life to public service. As a Marine in Vietnam, he proved he was ready for tough assignments. He earned a Bronze Star and a Purple Heart before returning home to pursue law. In 2001, only one week into the job as the 6th Director of the F.B.I., Bob transitioned the agency mission to protecting the homeland after September 11. He led the agency effectively, helping prevent another terrorist attack on U.S. soil. Laura and I send our heartfelt sympathy to his wife of nearly 60 years, Ann, and the Mueller family."
English
1.1K
5.5K
37.7K
1.5M
Garvan Gallagher retweetledi
The Spectator Index
The Spectator Index@spectatorindex·
BREAKING: US Federal Government debt hits record $39 trillion
English
148
529
4.1K
224.2K
Garvan Gallagher retweetledi
Omid Djalili
Omid Djalili@omid9·
Superb article written by an Iranian who truly understands how this regime works still executing young protestors, firing off ballistic missiles despite having no leadership, and no money to pay its security forces: “What looks like resilience is in fact the functioning legacy of a doomsday design.” “That is why the Islamic Republic does not need to prove that its command structure is intact. It only needs to prevent the appearance of final collapse.” The levels of “styling it out” is simply astounding. #IranIsraelUSWar
Mehdi Parpanchi@Parpanchi

The Islamic Republic is living inside its collapse plan. That is not evidence of resilience. It is evidence that the system is collapsing. What many observers read as signs of endurance, continued missile fire, street repression, state broadcasting, leadership succession, and other visible signs of continuity, do not show a regime that has absorbed the shock. They show a regime falling back on the emergency mechanisms it built for the moment its center was hit and its command structure began to fracture. This is not strength. It is a collapsing system trying to survive long enough for Washington to lose patience. Read more: parpanchi.substack.com/p/what-looks-l…

English
79
1.2K
4K
565.4K