Genius

@cturnbull1968 The Obama deal made it possible for Iran to have nuclear tip icbms by the year 2032

Really looking forward to MAGA explaining why Trump paying $20B, for Iran to give up their uranium, is somehow better than Obama paying just $1.7B for the same thing. Excluding the thousands of deaths and billions in military costs, naturally.

@ProfessorPape 4th global power..🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣

The Israel–Lebanon truce is more than a ceasefire—it’s a signal of shifting global power. Iran explicitly demanded an end to Israeli attacks in Lebanon. The US delivered exactly that. Prime example of NYT analysis of Iran emerging as 4th global power nytimes.com/2026/04/06/opi…

@afshinrattansi The Islamic Revolution is a total disaster Iran admits it has armies in Lebanon, Palestinian and Yemen They proved themselves a dangerous terrorist regime willing to destroy the world economy over nuclear tipped ICBMs & a dumb Iranian theocracy insanity no one wants to join

🚨BREAKING: Donald Trump says Iran has OPENED the Strait of Hormuz, but US🇺🇸 hegemony may have taken a fatal hit After over a month and a half of devastating war unleashed on Iran by the US and Israel, the destabilisation of the GCC, and a brutal energy shock experienced by the entire world, at last an agreement has been reached between the US and Iran to reopen the Strait of Hormuz. While Donald Trump will paint this as 'winning like you've never seen it before' in a 'mission accomplished moment', the exact opposite is true. The original goals of the war were categorically not accomplished. Billions were wasted to replace Ayatollah Khamenei with Ayatollah Khamenei. The mass uprisings are still nowhere to be seen, and Iran appears more unified than ever. No repeat of the Syria scenario. After Pete Hegseth's press conferences, with a permanent scowl on his face, announcing 'the next day of strikes will be the hardest yet', almost daily, for weeks on end, it was blatantly obvious that the most powerful military in the history of the world could not defeat Iran, a middle power in comparison. Despite the tens of thousands of strikes by the US and Israel, Iran was still firing missiles and drones on a daily basis, and only the beginning of negotiations could make Iran cease fire. Its drone and missile capabilities were not obliterated...that much is obvious. Despite Hegseth and Trump declaring time and time again that Iran's Navy was at the bottom of the ocean, the Strait of Hormuz remained shut...because Iran did not need aircraft carriers, frigates, or any warships to keep it shut. Threats, drones, missiles, and risk were enough to halt traffic and make insurance costs spiral out of control. Even more alarmingly, Iran has realised that it perhaps does not need a nuclear weapon when it can control the Strait of Hormuz. We were perhaps just weeks away from an all-out global economic depression, the threat of which forced Donald Trump to return urgently to the negotiating table. The global backlash against the United States for launching a disastrous, reckless war of choice and then trying to impose the costs on the entire world, will not be forgotten. The entire global south views the US as a dangerous rogue state, whose desperation to save its hegemony poses a direct threat to everyone. China🇨🇳 once again had to do absolutely nothing and let Washington embarrass itself in front of the entire world. China looks like the responsible actor that stands for a stable international order of commerce and development, the US looks like an out-of-control rogue state that stands for war and destruction. Russia🇷🇺 gained massive windfalls from higher energy prices, and Washington's actions once again proved to the global south that what Moscow had been saying about US hegemony was right all along. This wasn't the US' victory moment; it was the US' Suez moment. US hegemony will accelerate in its decline from here on out. More countries of the world will increasingly turn to China, BRICS will consolidate, and its economic rise is unstoppable. Iran did not collapse, and forced the most powerful nation in the history of the world to the negotiating table. A catastrophic embarrassment, stemming from a needless war of choice.

@NajamAli2020 You imply that the USA can't sink every ship that crosses that strait You're saying why Iran has "control" of the strait, bcuz they can sink ships, and you're pretending the US can't Practically any nation can, but they're not terrorists like Iran so they block instead

Those claiming the U.S. can simply blockade the Strait of Hormuz are living in a fantasy. The current “control” exists only because there is a ceasefire. The moment hostilities resume, that illusion disappears. Iran has already shown it can threaten U.S. naval assets. In a real conflict, U.S. ships will not sit there playing traffic police, they will be forced to operate at distance or absorb risk. We now know the U.S. navy retreated to a safe distance during active war.

@OopsGuess The Chinese are one of the most selfish people on the planet they do absolutely nothing for nobody and everything they do so they can make money & power There isn't one thing that you can name China has done that didn't involve them getting money or goods, and in this case, oil

@Genius1617476 The empire bombs for oil, starves for oil, lies for oil, and then sends you out to yap about China. Sit down, propagandist. Your brain is just imperial residue at this point.

They said the U.S. had blocked the Strait of Hormuz. They said China had backed down. Meanwhile, China has just delivered 58 tons of medical aid to Iran. One side bombs civilians and buries children under rubble. The other quietly sends emergency humanitarian supplies to save lives. Who is civilized and who is barbaric is not hard to see. One side manufactures human suffering. The other tries to relieve it.

@citrinowicz The Iranian strategy is to use economic terrorism holding the globe hostage over the Strait of Hormuz so they can get what they want which is nuclear tipped iccbms of which then what would they demand holding the world hostage? Extortion is not necessarily "Leverage"

I’m concerned that, in this round, Iran came out with the upper hand. It demonstrated not only its ability to threaten the Strait of Hormuz, which it effectively controls, but also its willingness to keep it closed until conditions aligned with its interests, while refusing to yield to U.S. demands. Only after pressure from President Trump on the Israeli Prime Minister, and the subsequent ceasefire, was the strait reopened in line with the commitments tied to that agreement. The takeaway from this episode is clear: Iran not only holds leverage over the strait, but any future arrangement with Tehran will have to be credibly enforced. Otherwise, the “Hormuz card” can and likely will be played again. Iran is not entering the next round from a position of weakness. From Tehran’s perspective, it may have made tactical concessions, since it is clear that even any closure of the strait in the coming weeks, given the volume of tanker traffic, would inflict significant pain on global markets. but strategically it reinforced its core message: it sets the terms in this arena and will not accept dictates in ita view, from outside powers, And if Israel were to violate the ceasefire, the strait would likely be closed again. This development should serve as a reminder to the administration that this is not a simple winner-takes-all outcome. From Iran’s perspective, this is a negotiation, one it enters from a position of strength. It's really became the "strait of Iran", that were open before the war unfortunately. #Iran

@pati_marins64 Iran's terrorism is no amazing feat

America Has Never Faced an Adversary Like Iran At the beginning of the war in the Pacific, the Japanese fleet relied almost entirely on its excellent night vision with high-powered binoculars, rigorous training, and the use of searchlights, while the US was already operating search radars. In battles like Guadalcanal, American ships equipped with the SG radar could detect the Japanese fleet from kilometers away in total darkness, while the Japanese only realized the enemy was there when the first shots were fired. Japan depended on optical rangefinders to aim its guns. If it was raining or smoky, accuracy dropped drastically. The US, on the other hand, used radar for fire direction, allowing the guns to be aimed automatically by electronic data. Japan only began installing radars more commonly on its ships from mid-1942 onward, but they were technically inferior, suffering from interference and low resolution. Roughly speaking, those Japanese radars served only as an alert that something was out there. The Americans used microwaves, with a radar so precise that it allowed Blind Firing. This technological advantage was decisive in the naval battles of the Pacific, where another technology also made all the difference: the proximity fuze, which increased the effectiveness of American ships anti-aircraft defense by up to 500%, being vital for fleet defense and representing a technology far beyond Japanese munitions. Active sonars and sonobuoys operated by aircraft were another technology that gave the Americans an immense advantag e, in a war where there was undeniably a decisive American technological superiority that also included better cryptography. This scenario does not exist in the war with Iran, and I would say that in all its history as a country, the US has never faced an adversary like Iran. The Persians far surpass the Americans in the field of ballistic missiles, developing, manufacturing, and operating short, medium, and intermediate range systems. Furthermore, they have deployed hypersonic glide vehicles in attacks against Israel, as confirmed by video evidence. All of this was done in such high quantities that it allowed them to maintain a sustained rate of 30 to 50 missile launches daily for nearly 40 days. Meanwhile, the US is trying to recover from several failures in its missile programs, but successfully testing its short-range PrSM against Iran, which will dramatically change the face of the American arsenal. In the field of one-way drones, Iran is far ahead, both in the stealth design of its models and in anti-jammer technology. This forced the US to copy the Shahed under the name LUCAS. This is a multipolar war, but there is still resistance from the West to seeing this new world. Join my Substack to read the full article: open.substack.com/pub/global21/p…

@RezaNasri1 @USAmbUN They overthrew Mossadegh bcuz he stole the oil infrastructure the British built The students are simply punk Islamic lunatics with a revolution that has failed Iran is the worst it's ever been & noone outside of Iran became a ridiculous Shia Muslim with a martyrdom complex

What @USAmbUN isn’t telling you: The 1979 takeover of the U.S. Embassy in Tehran was never an unprovoked act of aggression. It was a deliberate, preemptive move by revolutionary students who had watched the United States use that very same embassy as the operational headquarters for the 1953 coup that overthrew Iran’s democratically elected nationalist prime minister, Dr. Mohammad Mossadegh, and restored the Shah to power. Having just toppled the monarchy in their own revolution, those students were determined not to let history repeat itself. They feared, rightly in their view, that the embassy would once again become the nerve center for another American-orchestrated counter-revolution. The crisis was eventually resolved through the Algiers Accords of January 1981. In that binding agreement, the United States explicitly pledged not to interfere "directly or indirectly" in Iran’s internal or external affairs. Iran, in turn, released the hostages. That should have been the end of the matter. Instead, Washington proceeded to violate the spirit and letter of the agreement with a long, unbroken chain of revengeful measures. These included: - Actively supporting Saddam Hussein’s invasion of Iran in 1980 and turning a blind eye to his systematic use of chemical weapons against Iranian troops and civilians. - Shooting down Iran Air Flight 655 in 1988, a civilian airliner carrying 290 people, including dozens of children, killing everyone on board. - Imposing crippling economic sanctions that have been tightened and reimposed repeatedly for decades. - Covertly and overtly fomenting internal unrest and supporting opposition groups. - Unilaterally withdrawing from the 2015 nuclear agreement (JCPOA) in 2018, despite Iran’s full compliance as certified by the IAEA. - And, most recently, direct military strikes on Iranian territory. In every single one of these episodes, U.S. officials and their surrogates have reflexively invoked the 1979 embassy takeover as the original sin that supposedly justifies perpetual hostility. They treat the hostage crisis as an eternal blank check for aggression, while conveniently omitting the prior coup, the broken non-interference pledge, and the long list of American provocations that followed. The real question is no longer “What happened in 1979?” The real question is: How much longer will Washington continue to wave the embassy hostage crisis like a bloody flag to excuse every new act of hostility, sanctions, and military pressure against Iran?

@remi_philiponet Iran's economic terrorism will backfire as it harms China the most The Iranians are simply a bunch of crybabies throwing a tantrum by threatening the global economy all bcuz they can't have nuclear tipped ICBMs It's only a matter of time China votes against Iran in the UN

"Le monde entier doit suivre cela de près, car l'Iran vient de faire l'un des gestes les plus audacieux et les plus importants de cette guerre, et potentiellement de l'histoire de la région. Il y a deux jours, le 14 avril, les États-Unis ont annoncé qu'ils allaient bloquer le détroit d'Ormuz pour tous, ce qui visait soi-disant, tactiquement, à empêcher l'Iran de continuer à exporter du pétrole tout en bloquant et en interrompant le flux pour les autres acteurs, et, politiquement, à montrer qui est le patron. Pendant environ 48 heures, l'Iran n'a fait aucun commentaire officiel à ce sujet (ce que j'ai interprété comme un signe très inquiétant : accepter un blocus américain sans l'affronter directement ne pourrait être compris dans aucune autre guerre que comme une capitulation silencieuse). Mais aujourd'hui, l'Iran a pris la parole. L'Iran déclare désormais officiellement que les États-Unis ont deux options : soit lever sans condition le blocus du détroit d'Ormuz, soit fermer complètement le golfe Persique, la mer d'Oman et la mer Rouge. L'annonce de l'Iran constitue une étape très significative pour plusieurs raisons. Premièrement, il s'agit d'une menace ouverte, formulée selon un principe binaire très clair, ne laissant aucune marge de manœuvre à la partie qui la reçoit. L'Iran n'agit généralement pas ainsi : son discours est d'ordinaire plus mesuré, et à juste titre, car laisser une porte de sortie acceptable à son adversaire augmente considérablement les chances d'éviter un conflit. Quand leur style change aussi radicalement, on sait que quelque chose d'inhabituel se passe. C'est l'un des avantages de la nuance et de la variété : une manière bien plus efficace de communiquer ses intentions. La zone qui sera bouclée si les États-Unis tentent de maintenir leur blocus. Image tirée du compte Twitter de Seyed Mohammad Marandi , le très respecté communicateur iranien. L'Iran agit également ouvertement, sans passer par des voies diplomatiques discrètes, sachant pertinemment à quel point Trump est sensible à une éventuelle humiliation publique. De plus, elle le fait sans enfreindre le cadre général du cessez-le-feu et des négociations qui l'accompagnent (là encore, il s'agit d'une question de portée et de nuances. Nous assistons à l'œuvre des maîtres de cet art). Les États-Unis ont franchi une étape belliqueuse hors de ce cadre, et l'Iran décide de surenchérir considérablement, tout en indiquant qu'il n'abandonne pas pour autant la diplomatie. Mais le changement de ton et la gravité des propos sont indéniables : l'Iran lance désormais un défi ouvert, adressant de facto un ultimatum aux États-Unis : soit vous cédez, soit nous changeons radicalement la donne. Ces derniers jours, les Américains se sont employés à répandre une impression fausse et suffisante selon laquelle la guerre serait de très courte durée et pratiquement terminée. Des représentants « libanais » se sont même rendus à Washington pour offrir leur pays en cadeau au sionisme. Moins de 24 heures plus tard, l'Iran impose un cessez-le-feu au Liban et met les États-Unis face à un dilemme : vous voulez un blocus ? On vous propose un blocus. Les États-Unis doivent maintenant capituler (publiquement !), auquel cas l'Iran gagne, ou risquer une escalade massive et certaine et la destruction complète de leur propre crédibilité (après avoir promis à plusieurs reprises une guerre courte et peu coûteuse) et de la façade de normalité économique qu'ils ont pu maintenir grâce à une manipulation frénétique des marchés. Une fois la mer Rouge, le détroit d'Ormuz et la mer d'Oman fermés, il sera impossible de contenir les répercussions politiques et économiques. © 2026 Alon Mizrahi, journaliste israélien.

@mashabani Iran is a terrorist state with a hateful revolution that has failed to convert anyone to Iran's made-up theocracy They are a plague of humanity Nothing good comes from Iran except their oil & that's the only thing their "allies" cate about Iran's own theocracy condemns them

Iran does require sanctions relief for large-scale reconstruction, putting aside speculations about mortgaging its energy reserves in exchange for Chinese assistance. But too many miss the point that Iran has gone through decades of sanctions and now a devastating war to defend what it views as its legitimate rights. What else is it going to take before mainstream media catches on? wsj.com/world/middle-e…

@MarioNawfal Larry Johnson is full of 💩

🇺🇸🇮🇷 The Pentagon is feeding Trump good news because nobody wants to tell him the truth. Former CIA officer Larry Johnson says the blockade is a lie. The U.S. doesn't have the ships to enforce it. The ceasefire was sought by Washington; Iran just accepted it. Aircraft losses approaching half a billion dollars in a single day. Tomahawks, PAC-3s, and THAADs are so depleted that stockpiles from INDOPACOM and EUCOM are being raided to keep up. "We've made it impossible for our troops to remain in Persian Gulf countries."

@MarioNawfal The USA can seize the shadow tankers & take both the oil and the tanker back to the USA Iran relies on imported food. They're ppl will starve & desperate ppl uprise when facing famine Oil prices are falling as Iran can't sink Chinese oil tankers filled with Saudi oil

🇺🇸🇮🇷 The U.S. blockade has a legal loophole big enough to sail a supertanker through. Ex U.S. Navy Malcolm Nance says CENTCOM's own lawyers defined the blockade narrowly: only vessels moving oil out of Iranian ports are subject to interception. Ships transiting the Strait of Hormuz with other cargo are legally untouchable, and over 100 sanctioned vessels operate in the Russian-Iranian-Venezuelan shadow fleet, routinely repainting names and changing registration to evade scrutiny. Iran's read: let the oil price spike, let the pressure build on Washington, then declare victory when the blockade quietly fades. @MalcolmNance

@MarioGotts91992 @MarioNawfal So basically China is weighing a military naval battle with the USA all so Iran can have nuclear tipped ICBMs or telling Iran to stop using their Chinese drones/missiles to blow up oil tankers in the SoH or face Chinese sanctions Which one will China pick? Which would u pick?

That's exactly right, and this could escalate faster than one might think. There are already several Chinese warships in Djibouti at their naval base. It is only a matter of time before ships are either denied passage or stopped altogether, with Chinese warships escorting them. Apparently, Putin has also traveled to China. America is losing not only face but also respect and influence. Perhaps a prolonged war suits Mr. Trump just fine. The war in Ukraine has been going on for more than four years, and Zelenskyy is still in office. One can never know what goes on in the mind of an old, senile man. It is a shame that the Pope does not need worldly oil.

🇺🇸🇨🇳🇮🇷 The real test of Trump's blockade has nothing to do with Iran, it’s whether the U.S. Navy will stop Chinese tankers. China officially imports zero oil from Iran, its customs records have shown that since 2022. Yet its imports of "Malaysian" crude mysteriously hit 1.3 million barrels per day last year, more than double Malaysia's entire oil production. The shadow fleet is already probing the blockade, with a Chinese-owned sanctioned tanker called the Rich Starry tried exiting the strait flying a Malawian flag. But it was forced it to turn around. No Chinese warships have been deployed to escort tankers, but Beijing appears to be calling Trump’s bluff through plausible deniability rather than direct confrontation. Far more dangerous, because it has no clear escalation point. Washington could face more difficult choices as this blockade continues: Should they board a Chinese-flagged vessel and risk a diplomatic crisis with the world's second largest military, or let the shadow fleet keep running and render the blockade toothless? The blockade doesn’t need to stop every barrel, it needs to make the cost of continuing the trade higher than the cost of stopping it. Whether Beijing agrees is the only question that matters.

@SinaToossi Hogwash and sophistry

👇 This is an important window into how Iran is viewing the current diplomatic track. A post-Islamabad interview with Majid Shakeri, an advisor to Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf, who led Iran’s delegation in Islamabad and headed talks with JD Vance. It offers a revealing look into how the Iranian side, especially Ghalibaf’s camp, is assessing the process. He says the first round was fundamentally about each side evaluating the other. But he highlights a core “problem” with the US delegation: “it neither has clear goals nor does it have the necessary mandate and the necessary ability for decision-making.” At the same time, he claims that for everything raised, “a solution truly existed.” His overall assessment of the round is telling: it was “not completely failed or completely won,” and no one expected that in a single round, a “result would immediately be created.” On escalation, he addresses Trump’s blockade threat. He says it is unclear whether it is a bluff or not. But in either case, he suggests it does not fundamentally alter Iran’s position, where the Strait of Hormuz remains its key leverage. More striking is his description of Iran’s economic posture. He argues Iran has long prepared for a blockade scenario. With imports reduced during the war, it now has more resources and liquidity, including proceeds from oil sold at sea. And this line stands out: “parallel to the war” the “the sale of Iranian oil no longer has any connection to the Dirham or any type of infrastructure susceptible to sanctions or American pressure.” If true, that is a significant shift given Iran’s previous dependence on UAE-linked financial channels. He adds that oil trade and currency exchange are now happening at the point of sale, for example in China. He also points to a broader logistical shift, saying Iran has diversified away from southern and western routes toward land-based and other alternatives, and that this transition is already complete for vital goods. On a wider geopolitical level, he argues a US blockade would “expand the game” by pulling in China more directly, ultimately to Iran’s benefit. He also notes that pressure on the Strait of Hormuz and shifts toward Red Sea export routes increase the leverage of actors like the Houthis. His closing assessment is blunt. He characterizes US decision-making currently as irrational and argues Washington is pursuing a path that raises costs for both sides while making the situation more entrenched and difficult to resolve.

@NajamAli2020 Thats bcuz if the war escalates, Iran would attack Saudi Arabia who has a defense pack with Pakistan of which brings them into the conflict with Iran now having a new eastern theater with Pakistan forces

Reputation, Earned in Real Time No amount of marketing or image-building could have done for Pakistan what its mediation between the U.S. and Iran has achieved. Within weeks, Pakistan has shifted from being seen as a peripheral player to an indispensable diplomatic bridge in one of the most critical conflicts in the world.

@MarioNawfal So he just admitted that Iran attacked Israel on Oct 7th He just admitted that Iran started the War with Israel on Oct 7th, murdering & kidnapping jews

🚨🇮🇷🇱🇧 Iran's Parliament Speaker Ghalibaf says any Lebanon ceasefire is the result of Hezbollah's "resistance and steadfast struggle" and tells the U.S. to "withdraw from the Israel First mistake." "Resistance and Iran are one soul, both in war and in ceasefire." This is Ghalibaf telling the world two things simultaneously. First, Iran has no intention of dismantling its proxy network. He's publicly claiming Hezbollah's survival as Iran's victory. Second, he's framing the entire war as a consequence of America putting Israel's interests first, a message aimed directly at the growing chorus of American voices, from Tucker to Megyn Kelly to Joe Kent, saying the same thing. The timing matters. Pakistan's army chief is in Tehran right now trying to get talks restarted. Israel's cabinet is meeting on a Lebanon ceasefire tonight. If dismantling the proxy network is part of any final deal, this statement is Iran's opening price: Hezbollah stays, and if you want to negotiate on that, it's going to cost you.

@grantstern You didn't buy the same brands of shrimp So ur statement is complete sophistry

Last month, I paid $21 at Costco for 3 lbs. of shrimp. The same package cost me $21 this month, for 2 lbs. of shrimp. I've never seen such steep month-over-month increases, even during the Biden era when prices rose for one summer. Trump's war is spreading the global shipping freeze. How long until this tips the global economy rapidly into a recession? It can't be that long. The big companies anchoring America's stock market are highly dependent on international profits, too. Scott Bessent is a very smart man. He can't believe the propaganda spilling out of his lips. I'm going to use a single number coming from Trump's (sadly suspect) BLS to give you an idea of how fast prices are rising right now. This is a number that for sure caught the Treasury Secretary's eye when it was released. The 1-month percent change rate of inflation in March 2026 was 1% last month. The last time inflation was at 0.8% or higher was in January 2023, after Putin's invasion of Ukraine caused the previous summer's spike, which peaked at 1.4% in June 2022. Put another way, if every month were like March, the annual inflation rate would be 12%. And April has been WAY worse than March for all sorts of price increases, and the price of diesel or gasoline has stayed high. The Strait of Hormuz is still closed, as Bessent's boss profanely pointed out on Easter. How long until Donald Trump's House of Cards falls and brings down all of the people who lied to enable it?

@alon_mizrahi The Chinese invest heavily in the US stock market.They are aware that capitalism makes them rich Sanctions prevent them from getting rich & all bcuz Iran wants nuclear tipped ICBMs Which would a Chinese want? Your reshuffle theory is sophistry

What a geopolitical blessing this war is turning into. A complete reshuffle in international relations. The US will end this weakened and isolated, and China a global power with no serious competition. All of humanity stands to gain immensely from this

@citrinowicz The leadership in Iran should end their Islamic Revolution It's been a total failure

Ultimately, despite the ongoing conflict, the leadership in Tehran appears interested in returning to more stable relations with the Gulf states. This approach is strongly supported by both pragmatic elements and key power centers within Iran. At the same time, Gulf states clearly understand that as U.S. forces gradually draw down in the region, they will need to manage their relationships with the current leadership in Iran. This reflects a broader hedging strategy, part of their broader strategic approach. While these states understand the Iranian threat more clearly than ever before, they are still pursuing a complex policy, one that seeks to strengthen their security without pushing Tehran into a corner in a way that could ultimately undermine their own strategic interests.