Gerard
3.3K posts

Gerard
@GerardRoth1
40 years investing experience.
Atlanta GA Katılım Mayıs 2011
219 Takip Edilen561 Takipçiler

@Fidelity If you haven’t seen Fidelity’s analytical tool that identifies stocks making significant moves based on volume and price action, you need to check it out. As a short, swing and long time trader with Fidelity for 35+ years, it’s part of their great platform for trading.
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I love @RealAlexJones
You can’t stop him. Follow his new network here.
Infowars lives on at the Alex Jones Network.
Alex Jones Network@AJNlive
ɴᴇᴡ ʜᴏᴍᴇ. sᴀᴍᴇ ᴍɪssɪᴏɴ: alexjoneslive.com
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@toddntucker @FT The US subsidized wars in Iraq and Afghanistan by $8-10 trillion
$25 billion already on this war in Iran
Maybe we should start subsidizing smarter things? Initiatives that actually have a positive economic value-added for the USA instead of just for warlords?
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China warns EU over proposed ‘Made in Europe’ law
Very rich complaints here from a country providing up to 9 times the subsidy of the EU. ft.com/content/f4925d… via @ft
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@m3_melody 90% of the existing houses I looked at recently are 30% over valued due to the cost of upgrading, even if you do the work yourself. Windows are a biggy. And you are still left with old internal utilities.
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@garysavage1 Agreed. So few seem to see this fact. And it’s going to continue fo a while.
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Tariffs scam
War scam
Hormuz closed
Hormuz opened. What a mess. Lying to public day and night. We didn’t have a choice who to elect. The other candidate was even more stupid.
Horrible 2 years under his leadership. Consumers scammed on tariffs and now paying the price for the war (Oil)
Companies benefited from Tariffs while consumers paying the brunt.
Expect next two years not to be even better
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The Oil Lie
Oil isn’t rare, it’s also not made from dead dinosaurs. It’s the 2nd most common liquid after water and is the Earth’s lifeblood. The scarcity myth was a Rockefeller lie to dramatically increase the oil price.
The system tells you that oil is liquefied dinosaurs (biotic theory) so you believe it's scarce and pay whatever they want. Lie. Oil is abiotic—a liquid mineral generated by the Earth's own engine through high-pressure and high-temperature processes in the mantle. It is the lubricant for tectonic plates. Depleted wells from the 70s have been found to be fuller today than before.
Why?
Because the Earth's system pumps it from the subsoil. It doesn't run out; it regenerates. By extracting it on a massive scale, we are drying out the Earth's gears. This is why there are more earthquakes and creaking faults: we are stripping the oil from the engine.
The fossil theory (coined by the Rockefellers and the Smithsonian in the late 19th century) is the greatest economic hack in history. If oil came from organic matter, it would have a biological signature (nitrogen, phosphorus, etc.) that would degrade. Crude oil is pure polymeric hydrocarbon.
The Thomas Gold Thesis:
This expert (whom the system tried to discredit) proved that methane and oil rise from the depths of the mantle. Hydrocarbons are primordial constituents of the Earth's formation. By calling it fossil, they tell you it's a resource that's running out. If Humanity knew that oil is like tap water for the Earth, the geopolitics of the parasites would go down the drain in a single day.
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It seems increasingly clear - as I have been talking about for weeks - that there are at least two (or more) warring factions inside Iran vying for control of the country or parts of it.
One side saying all clear, the other still threatening to blow up ships, as we saw this morning.
We may be witnessing an internal fight for the future of Iran. It's unclear and difficult to get much real news from a closed regime, but let's hope for a positive outcome for the bulk of the Iranian people, who have had nothing to do with any of this and just want to live in peace and not in fear of their own government.
TankerTrackers.com, Inc.@TankerTrackers
According to two Channel 16 audio recordings captured today, two Indian vessels were forced back west out of the Strait of Hormuz by Iran's Sepah (IRGC) Navy. Firing was involved. One of the vessels is an Indian-flagged VLCC supertanker carrying 2 million barrels of Iraqi oil. Meanwhile, India is still importing Iranian oil. With friends like these..... #OOTT #Tankers #IranWar
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Last year, the 'experts' told us that Trump would destroy the economy with tariffs. $SPY hits a new all-time high. This year, the 'experts' told us that Trump would destroy the economy with a war with Iran. $SPY hits a new all-time high. It is a good illustration of how political bias has led to poor positioning and powerful rallies.
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@GeopoliticsDH I cannot for the life of me understand why we keep attacking other countries. Unreal.
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@LarkDavis The problem is they never were seeking a bomb. All fake news. Been hearing it for 30 years.
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@RoyLMattox I believe this is the new norm due to fast internet, no commission trades, I day settlement on trades and now no minimum fo day trades.
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This is literally the most extreme momentum event in 40 years of recorded data. The Nasdaq 100's RSI went from 28 (oversold) on March 30 to 70.5 (overbought) by April 15 — in just 11 sessions. That is the fastest oversold-to-overbought transition in the Nasdaq 100's 40-year recorded history. The previous fastest was 25 sessions after Liberation Day last year. The historical average is 60+ sessions. Benzinga
According to Bespoke Investment Group, this also marks the fastest move from a correction of this size to a new record high since 1928. Yahoo Finance
The forward return data is actually quite bullish long-term. Across all 44 historical episodes where the Nasdaq gained 11% or more in 10 sessions, the 12-month forward return averaged +24%, with a median of +30%, and a win rate of 80%. At 6 months, the win rate is 74%. Benzinga
But the near-term pullback is almost guaranteed. The average maximum drawdown following these signals was −18.39% — meaning while the 12-month destination is historically higher, the journey involves deep, punishing pullbacks that can severely impact over-leveraged portfolios. Ainvest
The key number to watch: Based on the 6 most comparable historical analogues — COVID recovery (−8%), Liberation Day 2025 (−4%), Fed pivot 2018 (−6%), Asian crisis 1997 (−7%) — the most probable near-term pullback is 3-8% within the next 2-4 weeks. The April 22 ceasefire expiry is the most likely trigger. After that consolidation, the historical data overwhelmingly favors a resumption of the bull trend.
The S&P 500 has experienced average intra-year declines of roughly 14% since 1990, even in years that finish strongly positive — and the average correction (10-20% decline) lasts just 17 days. U.S. Bank
A pullback here isn't a disaster; it's the historical norm and historically the best re-entry point.
Wes and I are extremely well positioned in the leaders.
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