@tejfbanalytics How do we value picks? Are their agreed upon standards that analysts use?
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Haider Chishty
213 posts
Haider Chishty
@HChishty97
Aspiring amateur fantasy football analyst
Katılım Nisan 2023
26 Takip Edilen8 Takipçiler
have to be really happy about getting this return for an RB entering his age 29 season if you’re the lions
from the texans perspective, montgomery was 16th/49 in EPA/rush and 17th/49 in success rate last season so still was very much a productive rusher
Adam Schefter@AdamSchefter
Updated compensation : Texans get: RB David Montgomery. Lions get: fourth-round pick, OL Juice Scruggs, and a 7th-round pick.
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@JakobSanderson @ElNostraThomas Congrats man. Been following you for a few years, back when you were working with Drew.
Would love to work with you in any capacity. I'm a PhD who moonlight as a data scientist trying to make models and clusters for fantasy football.
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Some news🧵
This hobby started as a podcast to keep talking to @ElNostraThomas after moving away. It has become a Substack, a community, and now: a career
Thanks to this community, today is my last day as a practicing lawyer and my first going full time in fantasy football
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boss, who genuinely means well but doesn’t follow the nfl, hit me with a “how’d the chiefs game go?” this morning
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For a few hours I thought I was living out the plot of Before Sunrise... instead I'm stuck on ship chasing
Ship Chasing@ShipChasing
The story of @JakobSanderson falling in love with a beautiful French woman...
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He threw one interception, which came on 1st-and-10 and therefore was extra costly.
Though it was just one turnover, because Sanders had only 24 action plays he still recorded a high 4.3% turnover rate.
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Despite leading Week 12 in yards per attempt (10.4) thus far, Shedeur Sanders recorded the lowest QBR (8.7).
Why the discrepancy?
We took a look.
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@EndojiAkira Are we going to see 11/12 per room again? Or three only and nagi eliminates both these two
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I'M SO CONFIDENT KIRA IS GOING TO CHUCK AN ISAGI AND ELIMINATE THIS RANDO NEXT CHAPTER
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KANESHIRO Don't fuck with me, man! If there were U-20 players astronomically better than the current top Blue Lockers, why tf would Noa and Snuffy say this?
And why didn't Chris Prince taunt Kaiser by alluding that there are other U-20 players even more impressive?? Like wtf???
Blue Lock Connaisseur@BadGuyFromThere
The NEL showed us that our top Blue Lock players cannot be trash and that New Gen 11 players might not be astronomically better. However, Knsr is trying to use Bunny, Hugo, Sae, and Loki in a way that suggests there are levels even among the New gen 11, and that's quite weird...
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Seth Burn@SethBurn
@NFLPinnacleBeat @richjmadrid And there's something else I'd like to point out: Throwing to an open receiver is not something that should be held against a quarterback. Making good decisions wins games. Putting good things in the denominator is one of my (many) problems with CPOE.
QME
*cough* Mahomes isn’t my MVP *cough*, thats what happens when the “best QB itl” has a negative CPOE
Scott Barrett@ScottBarrettDFB
Boxscore stats don't tell the full story. Passer Rating is deeply flawed as a metric. The variables that go into passer rating are YPA, CMP%, TD%, and INT%. Just replacing TD% with Hero Throw% and INT% with Turnover-Worthy-Throw% to create an adjusted-passer rating can help paint a better picture of actual on-field play. If we do that, Sam Darnold clearly stands out as the top QB this year, jumping from 7th in traditional passer rating to 1st in adjusted passer rating. Sam Darnold RATE: 109.2 (7th) YPA: 9.14 (1st) [36% YAC%] CMP%: 68.2% (11th) TD%: 6.3% (7th) INT: 2.1% (20th) ADJ-RATE: 114.4 (1st) CPOE: +9.5% (3rd) CTCH% (>3 aDOT): 78.6% (4th) HERO%: 7.8% (2nd) TWT%: 2.1% (11th) Patrick Mahomes RATE: 103.1 (10th) YPA: 7.44 (9th) [55% YAC%] CMP%: 67.0% (15th) TD%: 6.0% (10th) INT%: 1.4% (10th) ADJ-RATE: 86.6 (16th) CPOE: +3.9% (11th) CTCH% (>3 aDOT): 74.0% (18th) HERO%: 2.8% (26th) TWT%: 2.8% (21st) @FantasyPtsData
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@SethBurn @VishakhS74 @tejfbanalytics @schwartzsteins Hi can I get an example of what you mean from 2.
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@VishakhS74 @tejfbanalytics @schwartzsteins 1. Big game on Sunday.
2. Stats that put good things in the denominator aren't particularly useful.
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With respect to evaluating the pick at the time, Graham at five was not a stretch to the consensus. If evaluating it based on the first half of 2025, you might rather have Membou or McMillan or Kelvin Banks, but there is a ton of time for things to shake out.
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When sharing a stat/rank in isolation (esp a rate stat), I recommend sharing the data source, minimum qualification, and number of players included (or a percentile).
In this case:
- PFF
- min 1 pass rush
- 197 qualifiers
Brett Kollmann@BrettKollmann
speaking of Andrew Berry draft picks, his 5th-overall pick is 91st just among defensive tackles alone in pass rush win rate btw
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@RyanJ_Heath @FantasyPtsData Does the data suite have any film grades?
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First-read target share vs. first downs per route run through Week 6
You should be #noticing the Jaylen Waddle usage and efficiency, IMO
@FantasyPtsData
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@tejfbanalytics Possible to make one of these for Watson? Was curious what aspects of his game contributed to his drop off. I believe he ran less in Cle
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Bucs with his Sooner teammate Baker = elite fit and elite vibes
Hailmarypass@Hailmarypass_
The Ravens are willing to part ways with Mark Andrews, per @edubnfl22 (h/t @LIVERavenNation)
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I calculated my "performance value" (how much might a team pay for on-field performance based on role & PFF grade) on this year's draft class through four games. Wouldn't take this too seriously, but here are the top 32 so far:
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@JakobSanderson You confused me with "let the season play out" - sounded like you were saying only make these commitments in the offseason.
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Today with Malik Nabers out all year and Lamar hurt I saw a potential chance to to offload assets and get an attractive restart:
3 trades:
1) CMC + AJB = Nabers
2) Sutton, Deebo, Waller = 26+27 2s + 26 4 (26s from a 1-7 team)
3) LJAX + Adams = Burrow + 26 1 + 2x26 3s
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One reason I advocate for letting the season play out on your "borderline" teams before going all-in one direction or the other - You can blow a team up very quickly and contend for 1.01 if you are an attentive and courageous dynasty manager
Example from one of my leagues today:
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@CoopsFB Was thinking about this recently - any reason you used a bot rather than just use sleeper api?
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tobias logs into my sleeper account, optimizes for the lineup with highest projected points, optimizes for schedule to get thursday night guys out of flex spots etc, then submits the lineups for me
Haider Chishty@HChishty97
@CoopsFB Tell us how it works!
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@Trocadero_SWE @JakobSanderson The sleeper api let's you make lineup changes?
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@JakobSanderson Spreadsheet + app script and Sleeper API 🥸🤌
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I swear every year we get a blindside inactive in the 6:30 AM pacific game... nightmare fuel start to the day toggling through 70 lineups like a mad man
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