Henry

If the Diego Garcia strike report is accurate, then one of the central assumptions about Iran’s missile program has just collapsed. For years, the accepted ceiling was around 2,000 kilometers. A ballistic missile reaching Diego Garcia suggests something in the neighborhood of 4,000 kilometers, which pushes it out of the medium-range category and into the intermediate-range class (IRBM). That is a strategic leap. The real story is not whether the missile was intercepted. It is that Iran may have demonstrated reach far beyond what much of the world believed it possessed. A 4,000-kilometer capability changes the map. Major European capitals begin to enter the conversation. Paris comes into range. London moves much closer to the edge of vulnerability depending on launch point and payload. This would mean the missile threat is no longer confined to the Gulf, Israel, or parts of South Asia. It would mean the radius of deterrence, defense, and fear has expanded dramatically. If confirmed, Diego Garcia was not just a target. It was a message.

JD Vance’s political career is in trouble at this point I wrote this before the Joe Kent scandal broke JD is inextricably linked to Tucker Carlson’s faction which just failed in a palace coup to oust Trump as the leader of MAGA

> Iran just proved it has operational IRBMs with ~4,000–4,500 km range, far beyond its acknowledged official 2,000 km cap > First direct strike on US/UK assets outside the Middle East (Diego Garcia is in the Indian Ocean). > One missile failed, one intercepted by US Navy SM-3 > probably a retaliatory strike for Starmer allowing the Americans to use British bases for strikes to help reopen Strait of Hormuz > Iran now credibly threatens Central Europe too, not just Israel/Gulf

So Iran just fired ballistic missiles at Diego Garcia… and there’s one major problem. Iran isn’t supposed to have missiles with that far of a range — so where did they come from? 👀

The US no longer needs the Hormuz Strait Donald Trump stated that the United States is not interested in the Hormuz Strait because it is needed by others. “We have already defeated Iran. We do not need this strait; we do not use it,” he said. According to him, the strait will "open by itself" over time, and its importance is greater for Europe, South Korea, Japan, and China.

Iran fired a pair of intermediate-range ballistic missiles at Diego Garcia, a joint U.S.-UK base in the Indian Ocean. One missile failed in flight, and another was engaged by a US Navy destroyer using an SM-3 missile.

JUST IN: 🇮🇷 CNN shows Iran's underground missile cities buried deep inside mountains.