Josh Osborne

@DVSignals Thank you 🙏

$SILVER: probably the single most important chart analysis to read this weekend. If you want a balanced read, keep reading... This is exactly why I push back on the simplistic “trendline break = fresh breakout” view On silver, I see many drawing a very straightforward line across the highs on a linear/log chart, pointing to the recent move through it, and calling it confirmation. That is far too simplistic. A break of one line, by itself, does not imply a fresh impulsive breakout. It needs far more rigorous analysis, cross-checking structure, momentum, Fibonacci, relative strength, miner confirmation, and broader context. For those who have followed me for a while: you know I am generally NOT an Elliott Wave guy. But on this specific chart, I do think it offers a useful framework to explain both the structure and the psychology. Not because it is some perfect science, but because it can help simplify what the market may be doing here. The basic idea is straightforward: wave 1 down, wave 2 bounce, wave 3 down, wave 4 bounce, wave 5 down. And right now, what silver appears to be doing is behaving much more like a wave 4 than the start of some powerful new leg higher. That matters, because wave 3 is usually the brutal recognition phase. That is when the market starts to accept that the prior uptrend is damaged. The move gets sharper, confidence gets hit, and price starts doing real technical damage. We saw that. Then comes wave 4, the false-hope phase.. It tends to be choppy, overlapping, frustrating, and just constructive enough to pull people back in. It often looks better on surface-level analysis than it really is. That fits very well with what I think we are seeing now: a recovery that looks encouraging to many, but structurally still carries bear-flag / corrective bounce characteristics. That is also very similar to the earlier phase (wave 2) where I said: be careful. Same near 89. That got pushback too. Yet those caution calls mattered. And this broader framework is also part of how I was able to lean constructive again closer to 61... Now look at where we are: this bounce has pushed into the 0.618 Fibonacci retrace, and we are now bear flagging. On the more zoomed-in charts, silver actually looks vulnerable, not strong, contrary to popular belief. Miners are not really confirming in the way I would want to see for a genuine breakout. And the recent move in GSR still looks more like a fake move than a resolved shift. So my primary view, until proven otherwise, remains that this is still a corrective advance inside a damaged structure. For that to change, I would want to see a clean push above 80, with the current bear-pattern break sitting closer to 81.50, and real acceptance there not just a wick through it. Friday’s breakdown was severe enough that one brief poke higher does not suddenly repair the chart.. So, long story short: I am not dismissing the possibility that silver can recover further. But I am also not going to pretend that a simple line break on a basic chart suddenly means the all-clear has been given. Right now, the wave 4 psychology fits: enough bounce to create hope, not enough evidence yet to prove that the broader bearish structure is gone. And if this really is wave 4, then wave 5; the final flush, the final disappointment, the move that catches late bulls leaning the wrong way, may still be missing. RT and share if this gave you value. These free posts take enormous amounts of time to produce...

@chrismartenson @TFL1728 Haven’t you heard Chris? Larry Johnson is running a psyop. Along with Diesen, Crook, Ritter, McGregor, Freeman, Mercouris, Napolitano, Sachs, Kent, Carlson, Galloway, Giraldi, Kwakowski, and all the other intelligent and insightful dissidents. Don’t fall for it 😂

@TFL1728 Zzzzzzzz...CityOfLondon!CityofLondon! Sorry Tom, but nothing you say anymore has any information value. It's 1-dimensional. Let's just block each other and move on. I'll go first. There, done.

I cannot believe this immature statement is from the US Treasury Secretary. But it is.

@0xcoked 👍

Imagine the damage this Iranian pilot could've done if he had state-of-the-art aircraft to pilot, like a J-20 or Su-57. Truly a generational talent overperforming with a severe handicap

@SuppressedNws1 @SuppressedNws 👍

Reminder: Engaging with the accounts you want to see often helps make that happen despite the algorithms. It also helps engineer your “For You” page. Switch on notifications, that helps too.

@TgMacro Oasis over the Talking Heads? Hmmm

A few thoughts: - The worst musician in Zeppelin (Robert Plant) is infinitely more talented than the best musician in U2 (Larry Mullen Jr.) so fix that - Nirvana doesn’t belong top 20. - The Smiths making the list is only surpassed in absurdity by their ranking over Pearl Jam. - Sabbath and the Chili Peppers belong in the top 10. - nobody on @X can name a Primal Scream song. - God will punish them for disrespecting the Ramones like that. - I spit beer out of my nose when I saw Arcade Fire. - @RollingStone music cred trades flat to Milli Vanilli’s.

@CinemaTweets1 Best one I’ve seen for sure

One of the Best Films of the Year

@GavMcCracken You’re on the right side of history. So long as you’re making an honest assessment of the situation as you understand it, and be willing to change in response to new information, don’t sweat it.

Guys, I've been losing record amounts of followers over the last 3 days. Can someone please explain to me why talking about Israel sniping children in the head, which is literally a verified fact, is a cardinal sin amongst Protestants? How did Israel manage to brainwash them?

@TheApeOfGoldST Have you considered Peru’s diesel resources? I’m steering clear of Peru and Australia for now, focusing on US and Canada, and Mexico to a lesser extent.

$AGMR.to - Silver Mountain Resources The more we coil in this box, the bigger the explosion when it #POP out. AGMR remains an #EASY #BUY under $4. We should see +200% from here until New Years, minimum. My favorite near-term #Silver #producer and a core holding in any serious #silver portfolio.

@commodity47_79 @DSPetolicchio Fetterman disagrees

@DSPetolicchio And they should be an IQ/EQ test in order to run for office

There should be an IQ test in order to vote.

@LukeGromen @Matt_Bracken48 @TFL1728 Ground control to Major Tom

@Matt_Bracken48 @TFL1728 Yup. I hear that when the shooting started, the carriers went 750-1,000 km out into Indian Ocean Big tell IMO.

What’s most impressive about this clip is that Luke says it with such a straight face.

@HandyGingerGal You’re obviously not an admirer of ‘non-conventionally attractive’ women. Being one has been a great blessing in my life.

It always rankled me that this woman was ever chosen as the love interest in a Batman movie.

@RudyHavenstein Loved Begonia

For the millions who have asked, here is my official analysis of the 2026 Academy Award Best Picture Nominees:

@calvinfroedge Why not just take advantage of the price manipulation and build your position? As long as you’re not buying on margin or excessively leveraged, you can wait for reality to assert. Gravity always wins.

All of you laughing idiots are going to be buying daily essentials in the black market We are headed for Argentine and Soviet style price controls Trump is a communist dictator

@TheApeOfGoldST 100%. Too many people seem to think T can just TACO and everything goes back to normal.

My honest opinion? There is a lot of pressure building around #Trump to end this war quickly. Pressure is coming both from inside the United States and from wealthy partners, especially the Gulf countries. I believe he may already be leaning toward a fast exit and quietly looking for a way out. But it will not be easy. Israel understands this and will likely try to escalate the situation further to make disengagement harder. We may already be seeing signs of that with strikes on oil infrastructure and other aggressive moves. At the same time, Iran may not care if the US tries to step back. They could continue targeting US bases in the region with the goal of forcing America out permanently, which could trigger retaliation and pull the US back in anyway. The biggest risk is escalation dynamics. Israel has strong incentives to keep the US deeply involved in the conflict, and that could make de-escalation extremely difficult. Watch for Israel to do everything they can to escalate this further and keep dragging USA deeper and deeper into this conflict. Because this is Netanyahu’s chance and he knows it. This have been his dream for 40 years, to manipulate USA into attacking Iran. He finally found a president stupid and compromised enough to do it…

@Kacper_PK_CH @JoshYoung @LloydsList How about CCL (Carnival Cruise Lines) puts?

@JEOsborne71 @JoshYoung @LloydsList Depends which airlines. 🙂

Strait of Hormuz transits have collapsed

@potassium_phd Another unknown is when does Iran stop? If they are to be believed then not until they’ve dealt enough pain to ensure this doesn’t happen again. $200 oil sounds like a nice, round number which won’t be forgotten quickly.

Oil, gold, and silver — 🛢️🥇🥈 — prediction: now that oil has hit $116 over the weekend, re: Hyperliquid, a sharp sell off will likely result on Monday an hour or so after the open to wreck leveraged long oil traders 🔮 Victory propaganda from the West will come in heavy to try to stop the stock markets from crashing. Commodities will dump too, and precious metals will continue to consolidate beneath ATHs until July or so as foretold by the labradorite 👉👉 x.com/potassium_phd/… My not-financial-advice: take entry money off the table if you’re way up on an oil position and leave a moon bag of house money in play in case oil keeps running to $230 — but with a +35% move up in one week, higher over the weekend, and tons of speculators calling for higher without stopping — max pain will be a sharp pullback and then eventually a slower rise beyond $116 as it becomes clearer that Iran will be a quagmire and victory will be Pyrrhic. Stackers delight if we get to keep buying at lower prices for longer 👉👉 x.com/potassium_phd/… For the good of the order 🫡

@calvinfroedge Even heaven gets boring after awhile, as my Dad likes to say

I probably saw this coming more than just about anybody And I am absolutely terrified right now Everything you think you might need to buy in the next year, you better buy it now If you want to take a last vacation, take it now, you won't be able to afford it soon

@Kacper_PK_CH @JoshYoung @LloydsList Oil calls, airline puts?

All I'm doing this weekend is modelling the consequences of a Hormuz closure if it continues for at least a month. Oil, of course, but also natural gas, fertilisers, agricultural prices, industrial impact (especially in Europe and Asia), coal demand pickup, air traffic and travel. So many things could follow.

@TheApeOfGoldST I think you have an excellent grasp of the situation

I’m losing some followers because I’m against the Israel and USA attack, lol. Some people are such crybabies with weak egos. Let me be clear, I don’t support the Iranian government or regime, whatever you want to call it. They seem to have oppressed the Iranian people for many years. But I would bet my life that this action by Israel and the USA has nothing to do with helping the Iranian people or freeing them from “tyranny,” and that’s why it frustrates me to watch this unfold. The power players behind this move care absolutely zero about the Iranian people. This is not about freeing or helping them. That’s just one of the narratives being sold. What annoys me most is how this is somehow considered “OK” by Western countries. International law doesn’t seem to apply to nations like Israel and the USA, while it is strictly applied to everyone else. It’s a clear double standard and that's what annoys me. The power-hungry people inside Israel and the USA behind this move have their own interests in carrying it out, but I can assure you it has nothing to do with helping the Iranian people or preventing Iran from creating a nuclear weapon. Imagine how many fewer wars there would be if citizens actually got to vote on major decisions like this before any military action could take place.

@marklevinshow Given how off putting you come across you should keep a lower profile. Your voice and hyperbolic and alarmist rhetoric is likely hurting your cause. Desperation is the word that comes to mind. Nothing personal.

Just one man's opinion, but I believe Tucker Carlson is more dangerous than the demagogues of the past. In my view, he’s using modern media to spread narratives that attack Jews, Christians, and President Trump’s foreign policy—while echoing the talking points of hostile regimes. America is the greatest nation on earth—and it’s being undermined from within. To watch the entire episode go to: Rumble: rumble.com/v767qa6-americ… YouTube: youtu.be/tGUo4Py6kVc