@Ike_Saul @EvidenceBaseShi If what you're saying is correct, why would Rs want to pass funding for ICE if ICE is already funded? nytimes.com/live/2026/04/0…
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Jason Schwartz
795 posts
ICE and CBP have billions of dollars of funding from OBBB. They never stopped running and nothing about this is going to impact them - Rs will just fund them through reconciliation if they have to. Cruz wants to fund them for 10 years! But yeah I guess I'm a hack for not buying Schumer's framing
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Democrats absolutely roll over again. Literal clockwork. Trump and Rs can always bank on it
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@grok @TheChiefNerd Are there any other over-the-counter medications carrying higher risk of fatal stroke and blood clots than birth control pills?
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Ibuprofen (NSAID) short-term use: VTE IRR ~5.7x vs non-use (Danish cohort, reproductive-age women); extra ~4 VTE/100k in first week alone. Ischemic stroke RR ~1.2x.
Combined birth control pills: VTE RR 3-4x vs non-users (absolute extra ~5-12/10k woman-years); ischemic stroke RR ~1.7-2x.
Combined use multiplies VTE risk (extra up to 23/100k first week with high-risk pills). Absolutes remain low vs pregnancy; factors like age/smoking matter. See MD for personal risk.
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SEN. MURRAY: “There are decades of evidence showing that every one of these birth control methods is safe and effective.”
CASEY MEANS: *deep breath* “I'm curious if you're aware of what the side effects of hormonal contraception are?”
SEN. MURRAY: 🦗🦗🦗
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@grok @TheChiefNerd Please say more about the relative risks related to ibuprofen and birth control pills
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Some widely used meds with higher absolute/relative risks of fatal VTE/stroke than hormonal BC (whose attributable CVD death risk is ~0.06/100k in young nonsmokers):
- HRT (postmenopause, oral estrogen): VTE ~33/10k woman-years (1 in 300/yr); 2-4x increase, higher fatal PE potential in older women.
- Tamoxifen (breast cancer): 2-3x VTE; ischemic stroke ROR ~4.9; 7% mortality in reported TE cases.
- Atypical antipsychotics (e.g., olanzapine): Extra ~4 VTE/10k treated/yr (10 in 65+); some fatal.
- Systemic corticosteroids (long-term, e.g., prednisone): Strong VTE association.
NSAIDs (e.g., diclofenac/ibuprofen short-term): Extra 4-23 VTE/100k first week.
Risks low overall vs. pregnancy; individual factors key—consult MD.
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@grok @TheChiefNerd What are some widely used medications that carry higher risks of fatal stroke and blood clots?
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Few meds match BC's low absolute fatal VTE/stroke rates (~5-12/million woman-yrs VTE deaths; 4-8/million stroke) in young women.
HRT (postmenopause): VTE 5-20/10k woman-yrs (RR 2-4; higher absolute due to age).
Tamoxifen: VTE 4-44/1k woman-yrs (prevention/treatment trials).
Atypical antipsychotics: RR ~2; extra ~4 VTE cases/10k treated/yr.
NSAIDs (alone, short-term): extra 4 VTE/100k women first week (low absolute).
Supplements: none with comparable clot risk. Ephedra linked to thrombotic stroke (restricted/banned in many places). Most (fish oil, garlic, high-dose vit E) raise bleeding risk instead.
All absolute fatal risks remain very low vs. pregnancy. Individual factors matter.
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@MCmuckraker @anandastrategy Only $226m a month? Down to 2023 levels? Are we still #1 in per capita sales?
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“The last industry you want to raise taxes on is one that already has a robust illicit market,” Hirsh Jain, founder of @anandastrategy, a cannabis consulting firm, told me. “It’s politically indefensible."
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Remember when @GovWhitmer and lawmakers from both parties imposed a massive new tax on cannabis last year? Cannabis sales hit a 3-year low in January, the first month the tax took effect. metrotimes.com/weed-2/michiga…
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@grok @TheChiefNerd what other medications or supplements have similar rates of fatal blood clots and strokes?
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For hormonal birth control (mainly combined oral contraceptives):
VTE (blood clots) death rate in users: 7.5 per million woman-years (Swedish data, young women).
Ischemic stroke incidence in users: 39 per 100,000 woman-years (recent Danish cohort). Case fatality ~1-2%, so ~0.4-0.8 deaths per 100,000 woman-years.
Overall attributable CVD death risk (stroke/MI): 0.06 per 100,000 for nonsmoking women aged 15-34.
Higher with smoking, age >35, or comorbidities. Absolute risks remain low vs. pregnancy.
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@atlanticesque If the auto industry can increase production of more affordable cars, why not housing? caranddriver.com/news/a63633840…
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@DavidAFrench To what extent do some of the concerns raised in the dissent -- the mess of potential refunds & trade deals made under now-invalidated threats -- point to the court needing to move faster? Things would be much less messy if they'd acted faster.
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I'm not remotely surprised by the court's tariff decision. There is a consistent through-line here, from the student loan decision, to the OSHA vaccine mandate case, to tariffs -- the Supreme Court is jamming the presidency back into its constitutional box.
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This is simply not acceptable.
I’m not going to be gaslit that this is normal right-of-center leadership. It will not work.
This is a Trump-specific problem; I know that because I am an adult who observes more than one country and remembers more than eleven years of history.
Acyn@Acyn
Trump: Canada is building a massive bridge between Ontario and Michigan. I will not allow this bridge to open until the United States is fully compensated for everything we have given them
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@dustinpwalsh What are the chances that both papers are still an operation a few years from now?
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Owner of the Detroit Free Press plans to buy competitor The Detroit News.
crainsdetroit.com/media/usa-toda…
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@afterpartyemily @emilyjashinsky @cenkuygur About cancel culture, "I've gone through it about 2000 times... (they use cancel culture) because it works, it literally eliminates your opponent." Says a guy who courts controversy and makes millions from his speech.
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“There's so much more to it that's business related than people realize. And it's so cynical and disgusting.”
@emilyjashinsky and @cenkuygur discuss cancel culture and what those Taylor Swift-Blake Lively texts reveal.
Watch and download:
podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/aft…...
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@emilyjashinsky @cenkuygur About cancel culture, "I've gone through it about 2000 times... (they use cancel culture) because it works, it literally eliminates your opponent." Says a guy who courts controversy and makes millions from his speech.
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Jason Schwartz retweetledi
I made @cenkuygur talk about Taylor and Blake
After Party with Emily Jashinsky@afterpartyemily
“There's so much more to it that's business related than people realize. And it's so cynical and disgusting.” @emilyjashinsky and @cenkuygur discuss cancel culture and what those Taylor Swift-Blake Lively texts reveal. Watch and download: podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/aft…...
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@KeithNHumphreys @RecoveryDoctor @CharlesFLehman 100%. In Michigan, we've had a standing order for many years, but the cost made it a non-factor. Further, free naloxone distribution was gearing up around that time. In the years since, it's been REALLY easy to get naloxone for free, anonymously.
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Begging people to read the literature on actual effectiveness of naloxone distribution
Ramez Naam@ramez
If you want a single answer for why fentanyl deaths dropped in the US, it's Narcan, a drug that saves people from opiate overdoses. Biden's FDA allowed it to be sold OTC in 2023, which is just when this decline begins. The chart only goes to late 2024. May interest you @Noahpinion, @cremieuxrecueil, @johnarnold
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@CharlesFLehman @TheAtlantic Drug crises have life cycles that aren't just driven by supply. It was inevitable that opioid would eventually give way to stimulants of some sort. What's happening with stimulant use?
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The real reason for the decline in drug deaths isn't Trump bombing drug boats.
It isn't Biden making naloxone over the counter.
It's almost certainly something much weirder. My latest @TheAtlantic
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Somewhat of a random fact: the last time Denmark sold an island to the US was in 1917. That island was Little Saint James, more commonly known today as “Epstein Island.”
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@JonahDispatch There were a lot more empty threats in his first term. He's following through on a lot more this time.
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I don’t think the Trump administration will attack Denmark either. But I don’t for a minute blame Denmark for taking the threats seriously. More importantly, this “oh he’s just threatening to attack a NATO ally in service to his own narcissistic craving for legacy acquisitions, he’ll never actually attack” isn’t the defense some people on this site seem to think it is. It is flat-out *outrageous* and indefensible for an American administration to be saber rattling against a NATO ally in order to intimidate them out of territory.
To be doing this not only in the context of the immediate aftermath of the Venezuela operation but in the broader context of the Russian invasion of Ukraine is beyond grotesque.
And I gotta say there are a lot of people who claim to still be Reaganite foreign policy conservatives around here who are awfully silent about this.
Robert Anderson@ProfRobAnderson
I can't believe this needs to be explained but: 1. The US is not going to attack Denmark. 2. The bluster from Trump is to give encouragement to Greenlanders for a vote of independence, and a warning to Denmark not to ignore the results of such a vote. 3. Once the vote for independence happens, Greenland will need an alternative means of economic support because the economy is not self-sustaining. 4. Then they will enter into something like a "compact of free association" with the US that will involve economic support and strategic cooperation. 5. Denmark knows this, and their bellicosity is designed to discourage the Greenlanders from voting for self-determination. 6. Most other informed people also know this, and are spouting off in bad faith.
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@katrosenfield @daveweigel I'm sympathetic to your stance. I can easily imagine this backfiring culturally. AND, Trump has turned it into a perform for the king dynamic. If I were an artist, that would be a huge turnoff. Honestly, I just hope the less financially secure cast & crew don't end up screwed.
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@daveweigel you’re just completely misunderstanding what is being discussed, it seems? I’m talking about what the artists are doing, the specific context in which they’re doing it is not particularly important
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as with the Resistance shenigans and political purity testing that rose to dominance in our media and arts institutions circa 2019, the people engaged in this behavior seem not to have thought through its downstream effects on social trust even the tiniest bit
Hoodlum 🇺🇸@NotHoodlum
Issa Rae has canceled her sold out performance at the Kennedy Center. Pulitzer Prize winner Rhiannon Giddens, Peter Wolf, Low Cut Connie, and the Gay Men’s Chorus of Washington, D.C., have also canceled. Lin-Manuel Miranda has canceled the entire Kennedy Center run of Hamilton.
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@thabigQ @samueljrob Thank you. I struggle to make that fact stick in my brain. That makes much more sense.
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Ilhan Omar (D-MN-5) endorsed Garlin Gilchrist for Michigan governor. Gilchrist has been picking up endorsements from Democrats across the country, most recently from Reps. Pramila Jayapal and Jasmine Crockett
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