JasonCF
626 posts

JasonCF
@Jason_C_F
“Don’t confront me with my failures; I had not forgotten them”. “Time has come. Let us be brave.”


“If I were Russia and China, I would let Iran play out longer. I would let the U.S. use more of its military warfighting capability, and then when they’ve played it down enough, I would go take Taiwan. It’s what they wanted to do for a long time, but we are kind of holding them back. If I were China, I would say, let’s let them play this out, we’ll let them get tired—once they’re tired, we’ll do what we want to do, and they won’t be able to stop us because they’re going to be too tired to come over here and do that.” @MichaelTLester




TRUMP ADMIN CONSIDERING DEPLOYING THOUSANDS OF ADDITIONAL US TROOPS TO MIDDLE EAST AS TRUMP WEIGHS IRAN NEXT STEPS - RTRS


BESSENT: U.S. COULD DO ANOTHER SPR RELEASE TO KEEP PRICE DOWN -FOX BUSINESS NETWORK INTERVIEW


UNITED STATES WEIGHS CRUDE EXPORT TARIFF — AND POSSIBLE BAN — TO CURB SURGING ENERGY PRICES AMID MIDDLE EAST CONFLICT. || POTENTIAL CURBS COULD WIDEN WTI CRUDE–BRENT CRUDE GAP, LOWER DOMESTIC FUEL COSTS BUT DISRUPT GLOBAL SUPPLY AND PUSH INTERNATIONAL PRICES HIGHER.


Except for China which pays below $100 because of the DragonBear and Iran. And India which relies on Russian discount. And all the rest of clients within the DragonBear framework.



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NEW | Evening Update: The United States and Israel are currently attempting to use force to prevent Iran from disrupting shipping in the Strait of Hormuz. A weakened regime that remains in power after this war would be able to disrupt shipping whenever and for however long it pleases with little effort if its current, relatively limited, strike campaign on shipping proves sufficient to cause the US and Israel to surrender. A failure to demonstrate the will and ability to deny Iran the ability to disrupt traffic will make it enormously harder to deter Iran from future disruptions. Stopping the war in current conditions would thus represent a major strategic challenge that the United States or Israel would need to contend with in future rounds of conflict with a regime that will continue to be a committed adversary. Other Key Takeaways + Full Update⬇️(1/3) The Israel Defense Forces (IDF) confirmed that it struck the Islamic Revolutionary Guards Corps (IRGC) Navy headquarters in Tehran on March 16. It stated that commanders used the headquarters to direct IRGC Navy forces and plan operations against Israel and other regional countries. The IDF confirmed that it killed Supreme National Security Council (SNSC) Ali Larijani, who was a long-time regime insider and had held many senior posts, in airstrikes in Tehran overnight on March 16 and 17. Larijani’s death likely weakens a key faction in competition with the Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei-IRGC nexus, but it will not end the ongoing competition. A long-time observer of drone operations in Ukraine suggested on March 17 that the drone footage posted by likely Iranian-backed Iraqi militia front group Saraya Awliya al Dam is consistent with a fiber optic first-person view (FPV) drone. The Iranian proxy group’s decision to advertise its possession of such a weapon would be an explicit threat aimed at the United States. The combined force has continued to strike Iranian ballistic missile infrastructure to degrade Iran’s missile capabilities. The combined force has continued to degrade Iranian air capabilities in order to maintain air superiority over parts of Iran. The combined force continued to strike Iranian defense industrial sites. The combined force struck a number of internal security targets.










