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All studies have limitations, but some studies are like power plants that don't produce power, with the engineers explaining, "Like other power plants, ours has limitations . . ."
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Jean-Claude Fox
27.1K posts
Jean-Claude Fox
@JeanClaudeFox2
The Hans-Peter Briegel of pointilism. Grrr/grrrm.
Berlin Katılım Şubat 2020
187 Takip Edilen305 Takipçiler
@fitzr1189 @AudeIdScire Sources for graphs:
sciencedirect.com/science/articl…
pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC41…
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@fitzr1189 @AudeIdScire By and large, we don't know why, but at any rate, I think that's why your idea doesn't work.
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So, how do North America and Europe actually compare in terms of heat deaths? Zhao et al. ran a methodologically sound worldwide epidemiological estimation on 2000-2019 data and found this (see last column):
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Need a deaths vs life years lost comparison on this one
Bryan Beal 🎧@bryanrbeal
The craziest statistic you will hear all year: more Europeans die from summer heat than Americans die from guns
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@sociologyWV @politicalmath Naw, I don't see that. That's a service for readers who may not have heard of the poster using that name.
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@JeanClaudeFox2 @politicalmath The scare quotes around his penname.
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For a second there, I thought this was a sociology podcast.
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@nic_carter @dyingscribe Why are you assuming this is a progressive couple?
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Progressive couple that privately selects a 3.5 sigma embryo but outwardly maintains a steadfast commitment to IQ heritability blank slatism
Gene Smith@GeneSmi96946389
A friend of mine had her embryos screened by Herasight and they found one with an IQ score in the 99.99th percentile
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@Thinkwert Most people (incl. some commenting here) see those as a negative, but I like digressions. Reading Javier Marias' last novel now and the opening dialogue takes 150 pages, and not because there's so much talking. Excellent.
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Three observations on Moby Dick, after re-reading it for the first time in thirty years.
1. Moby Dick is easy to read. Melville doesn’t use many fancy words. Yes, he uses unfamiliar sailing and whaler terminology, but it isn’t cumbersome. He uses everyday vocabulary.
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@eugyppius1 Good points all. The one counterargument I find worth considering is that Sunday closures solve a coordination problem. I remember a sociologist claiming that couples where one partner has to work Sundays get divorced more often. Don't remember more details.
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Not a hill worth dying on, but whenever you criticise mandated Sunday closures you get a few retorts that are especially flimsy:
1. "Just plan around it bro." Thank you for this profound insight. Most people already plan their shopping, the issue with mandated closures is that more things must compete in one's planning for fewer time slots and with more people doing the same things at the same time in those fewer time slots. It's a cost.
2. "I like taking walks on Sunday tho bro." That's great, you might discover you can also take walks on Sunday even if the supermarkets are open. Rhetoric about a common rest day sounds good but the truth is that millions of Germans already work on Sundays. We've chosen one specific high-impact sector to close, then we added a bunch of exceptions (train station retail, apothecaries, bakeries, restaurants, cafes, etc.), and now we have to pretend like there's a principle, when in fact this debate is entirely about details.
3. "But consumerism sucks bro": Great, let's really put the knife into consumerism and force everybody to close on Saturday too. The truth is it's fun to say things like this but forcing retail to close on Sunday has real documented costs, a lot of squishy subjective benefits, and everywhere these laws have been liberalised there is no demand to go back.
eugyppius@eugyppius1
Sunday shop closures are the worst thing about Germany and I didn't even realise this until gf moved to Warnemünde where the shops are open on Sunday because of some tourism dispensation and it is easily a 20% across-the-board improvement in quality of life.
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@AndyMasley That is one confusing graph. Why make the bar smaller, label it directly and also label the dark and medium red directly?
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Okay here's my argument for exactly how I think the "AI uses a bottle of water" statistic looks like it was miscalculated. It's a little in the weeds. Link below
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@robinhanson I may have given responses along these lines. It means that the average of X over Y will both be estimated with much error and not so informative about specific cases of y. Reason: High standard deviation, multimodal distribution.
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A common response to "What is the average of X over Y" is "But Y contains multiple subsets, with different averages". Can you see the problem with this response?
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Jean-Claude Fox retweetledi
Seriously though, why is there something borderline psychoactive about this specific set of motifs? Why pools? Why no windows? Why the pastel colours? It feels suspiciously like an arbitrary code execution exploit on the human mind.
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@StefanFSchubert And it appears Feynman didn't say this. share.google/aimode/qAZaCTQ…
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That’s a terrible rule, have you met a five-year-old
Sahil Bloom@SahilBloom
This is a major life hack: Richard Feynman was known for his ability to convey complex ideas in simple, elegant ways. Remember this rule the next time someone tries to fast talk you with a bunch of fancy words, acronyms, and jargon...
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Wtf
I don’t wanna be too flippant because I know it’s a substantial or even prohibitive cost for some people but you can just do things (buy and install a <$200 window AC unit)
Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇸🇺🇦🇹🇼@Noahpinion
Economists estimate that if Europeans used AC as much as Americans do, it would save up to 100,000 European lives EVERY YEAR. But I guess saving face on Elon Musk's social media app is more important than 100,000 lives.
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New points-based immigration system just dropped, golf score edition
paleoneoliberal@armsq17
Denmark is one of the few European countries that collects and publishes transparent crime statistics, including information on offenders' origin. In many other countries, such data is not so easily available, but it can still be seen that the patterns are very similar everywhere.
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