Julian 🧢

@ordonez_adan Please share your Claude prompts. I can't believe Claude wouldn't provide a better answer to your question than any lawyer or State bar official.

This might be a dumb question, but I've never gotten a clear answer (not even from Claude): how are lawyers at big law firms able to practice across multiple jurisdictions even though they're only licensed to practice in one? What is the workaround?

If you stand with the UAE- REPOST now. Share the picture.Stand against the Islamic regime in Iran. Stand with humanity. Stand with civilization against darkness, against backwardness. Choose your side. Silence is not neutral.

In my call with @araghchi, I emphasized: #Germany supports a negotiated solution. As a close ally of the #US, we share the same goal: #Iran must completely & verifiably renounce nuclear weapons & immediately open the Strait of #Hormuz, as also demanded by @SecRubio. @AussenMinDE

We call upon Iran to end its nuclear weapon program and to cease threatening Israel and other neighboring states. The Strait of Hormuz must be kept open permanently, reliably, and without any restrictions or tolls. 2/3

The United States is and will remain Germany‘s most important partner in the North Atlantic Alliance. We share a common goal: Iran must not be allowed to acquire nuclear weapons.

@RHFontaine @yashar Totally disagree. The only thing that matters is preventing Iran from obtaining a nuclear weapon, by any means necessary.

There’s stalemate in the Strait, with the global economy held hostage. The US is considering new options to break the jam: 1. Oil today hit a four-year high. Across the world, inflation is up and growth down. The U.S. is blockading Iranian ports and Iran is blockading the globe. And there is no end in sight. 2. Some are claiming that Iran must cave soon. Its economy, weak before the war, is in shambles. President Trump says Iran is running out of oil storage, and that the backup will “explode” its infrastructure in about three days. He said that four days ago. 3. Betting on Iran’s spontaneous combustion seems like a suboptimal approach to ending the war, to say nothing of reducing energy prices. Tehran has instead proposed a narrow deal to end the blockades. 4. Trump has rejected the approach, rightly worrying that ending the U.S blockade will remove key leverage over Iran, and that future talks on other issues will never bear fruit. So the current approach is to close its ports until Iran submits. 5. But the Iranians retain leverage too, and that’s the problem. Its conventional navy was destroyed but it can still block the Strait of Hormuz. The DIA director recently said that Iran retains thousands of missiles and drones. It is absorbing economic pain but inflicting it as well. 6. A battle of blockades is a bet on the clock: we can hold out longer than they can. Expecting Iran to submit is, however, more questionable than before. From all indications, Iran is now a thinly-veiled military dictatorship. With the IRGC in charge, Iranian agreement on the nuclear file, missiles, support for proxies, and more is virtually unthinkable. 7. Hence the focus on new options, including bombing Iran back to the negotiating table. That, however, poses the same problems as before – attacks on civilian infrastructure harm Iranians but may not move their oppressors. Tehran might retaliate against energy facilities in the Gulf. And there’s no guarantee it’ll work. 8. Some allies are getting testy. The Germany chancellor said that America is being “humiliated” by the Iranian leadership, which is not terribly friendly. Trump reacted by threatening (once again) to pull U.S. troops from Germany. He’d do better to elicit a firm German commitment to join a postwar coalition that will secure the Strait. 9. Ensuring that Iran does not obtain a nuclear weapon is a necessary goal. Stopping its support for proxies, capping its missiles, and ending its domestic repression are very desirable ones. But reopening the Strait should be the immediate aim. That probably requires an interim agreement to lift the twin blockades, leaving other issues to be resolved and, critically, keeping in place all the other forms of pressure. Otherwise, the U.S. has simply bet on the clock, and the clock is ticking.

This year, your monthly donation has ~2.5× the impact. With more Interceptors in the water and more efficient operations, we’re collecting more trash for every dollar. Take action today: visit.theoceancleanup.com/4u4skm7

Niall is the most thoughtful and serious critic of the Iran war. He approaches it with history and wisdom and not TDS. So his critique deserves a response. The biggest danger right now is confusing Iranian regime survival with Iranian strength. Niall’s analysis rests on that. Let me take his points in order. 1. Nobody serious expected regime change during military operations. The bet was severe nuclear and military degradation now, with political fracture later if Iranians return to the streets. Iran didn’t emerge stronger. It lost senior commanders, nuclear infrastructure, and major war-making capability. Measuring the war against a peacetime baseline is the wrong frame. The honest counterfactual is Iran at 90%+ enrichment within months, hardened sites, ICBMs, a tested weapon possibly within a year, and all the leverage that confers. Every cost we’re weighing has to be measured against that alternative. That was the JCPOA or do nothing trajectory. 2. The IRGC didn’t take over because of this war. It has run Iran for years. The war stripped away the clerical façade and removed many of its most experienced commanders. Niall implies this is worse because it removes clerical restraint, but a stripped-down, discredited IRGC with degraded capabilities and no nuclear path is objectively weaker than a clerical-IRGC hybrid with a bomb option. Naked brutality is also harder to legitimize than Shia-inspired theocracy. This is now a military dictatorship with less ability to inspire the faithful across the region. It accelerates internal fracture. 3. Military success was never about finding every missile or launcher. It was about degrading Iran’s ability to threaten breakout and regional war. Destroying half its missiles and launchers and driving missile production from roughly 100 a month to near zero is a major setback especially given projections that Iran would go from 3,000 pre-war to 11,000 ballistic missiles in 2.5 years. Trump overstates everything — “obliterated,” “destroyed,” “regime change” — but the material reality for the regime is very serious. 4. The Strait of Hormuz is leverage, but it chokes Iran’s own economy harder than ours. Economic pressure continues: $300B in direct damage, $435M per day in blockade costs mounting, triple-digit inflation, currency collapse, fuel shortages, steel and petrochemical production severely damaged. Better strategy: Ceasefire on one front; intensify pressure on the other. Trump still needs to be clear that reopening Hormuz will require CENTCOM to move through the various stages of force. 5. The “escalation vs. diplomacy” framing aren’t alternatives. Instead, they’re complementary. The blockade, sanctions enforcement, and implicit threat of renewed strikes are the escalation that runs in parallel with talks. Diplomacy only happened because force changed Tehran’s calculus, and diplomacy only succeeds if force remains on the table. Treating the choice as binary makes Trump look like he blinked. The reality is a pressure campaign with a negotiating track. Let’s reserve judgement to see who blinks. 6. The key now is no enrichment, the fatal flaw of the JCPOA, and real limits on missile reconstitution. A rolling ceasefire with a U.S. blockade and intense sanctions enforcement hurts Iran more than us. Their economy collapses before ours deteriorates. It’s a matter of political will, not capability. The real issue isn’t headlines or TruthSocial theatrics — it’s whether Iran keeps enriched uranium, missile production, and a path back to breakout. 7. Iran didn’t “survive regime change” because regime change hasn’t been tried. What exists now is a rare opening: maximum economic pressure, maximum regime fracture, maximum support for the Iranian people. Trump seems committed to the first two. The question is whether he joins Israel and Iranians on the third. More below…

When you experience a social event that makes you feel really really good or really really bad, those are dopamine spikes and dips. Without cognitive framing, the brain will default to using those modulations to update its base model: the self. This is how your self-worth can get so insidiously, incestuously tied to metrics. The only way to win the game is not to play it. Detach self-worth from the world. You have worth because you exist.

Reflection: When I wrote Lifespan, I hoped it might become a classic, something that would last and shape how people think about aging I didn’t expect it to become part of the zeitgeist What has surprised me most is the level of engagement. Readers don’t just absorb the ideas, they question long-held assumptions about aging and health It’s been a genuine joy to have people come up to me and say the book transformed their lives and even their families Lifespan also revealed to readers something important: there’s a gap between what scientists understand about aging and what the public hears from mainstream and social media Lifespan, the book and the show, helped narrow that gap, at least a little. That’s why I’m restarting the show in the coming weeks. And as I deal with another mainstream media story tonight, one reminder: if you want to change the world, never give up - even when the system tries its best to trip you up and bring you down Onward!

@Markmanson Extremely simplistic. People and life are complicated.

The most powerful form of love is when you give someone permission to simply be who they already are.

Age reversal is natural

@agingdoc1 Thanks for posting 🙏 We lost 3 of our team making that paper - Mike Bonkowski, Jay Mitchell and Norm Wolff. It means a lot to us when people appreciate the work

Loss of epigenetic information as a cause of mammalian aging “we find that the act of faithful DNA repair advances aging at physiological, cognitive, and molecular levels, including erosion of the epigenetic landscape, cellular exdifferentiation, senescence, and advancement of the DNA methylation clock, which can be reversed by OSK-mediated rejuvenation…” cell.com/cell/fulltext/…

@nikitabier wtf, I post about science, in English, for the world, not for Germans

Western civilization has reached unparalleled heights of prosperity and flourishing. Denying this achievement means never investigating why. Specifically, it means failing to discover the institutions, principles, and values that underlie the progress that the West has made. It means taking for granted the necessary ingredients for how a society can transform from a worse one to a better one. It means putting those very ingredients at risk in the West. It means hiding the virtues of the West behind a veil of self-criticism and self-hatred that makes it harder for the non-West to access the same levels of prosperity we enjoy.

Colombian 🇨🇴 beaches are a scam I went to Santa Marta expecting Valencia or Benidorm 🇪🇸... And instead I got dirty sand, zero infrastructure, and a vendor harassing me every 5 seconds trying to sell me fruit I didn't ask for Sorry but someone had to say it You need to go to places like Tayrona (which IS great), Playa Blanca or Bahía Concha to have a good experience The ACTUAL beach cities of Latin America: 🇧🇷 Rio de Janeiro: iconic for a reason 🇧🇷 Floripa / Balneário Camboriú: Europe-level development 🇺🇾 Punta del Este: clean, organized, world-class 🇦🇷 Mar del Plata: unpretentious and genuinely good Colombia is great for many things Beaches? Not even close

Our 2026 focus is to scale up our river operations: we are kickstarting our 30 Cities Program to stop up to 1/3 of the plastic currently flowing from rivers into the ocean. But what about the Great Pacific Garbage Patch? Alongside the deployment of more Interceptors, this year we will continue running AI and drone tests and advancing our computational modeling to help us locate and map plastic hotspots in the GPGP. The goal: to make ocean operations more efficient. Stay tuned for updates!

We’re not all Americans! When a group of supposed “Americans” marches through the streets of New York and chants “we support Hezbollah here” and “we support Hamas here,” not to mention their overt, clear, and unequivocal support of the fascistic Islamic Republic of Iran’s regime, we’ve reached a point where it is critical, however uncomfortable and controversial, to make explicit declarations and take clear stances. Clueless Americans, including “paper Americans” who are Americans in name only and are mere extensions of their backwards and violent native homelands, insist that celebrating terrorists and Jihadis, are not actually American. Being an American entails much more than merely being a U.S. citizen; Americanism is a spirit, a way of life, an ethos, a willingness to reject what is harmful, unjust, regressive, backward, and despicable. You can disagree with U.S. and Israeli actions all you want, and I certainly do in numerous instances. However, such disagreements should never translate to overt support for terrorists like Hamas, Hezbollah, and the Ayatollah’s regime. Such disagreements should never justify ceaseless attacks on Jews, synagogues, and Israeli-Americans, while hiding behind the fake guise of “Islamophobia.” It is time that Americans begin the messy journey of cleaning house, recognizing the failure of endless immigration, boundaryless multiculturalism, and suicidal tolerance of the inherently intolerable. It is time to make access to freedom and Western privilege available to individuals who will actually enhance and bolster our societies, not to those who seek to destroy them from within. It’s time to reject Islamism, political correctness, fascism, and “Third-Worldism”, which is a disease that seeks to import the ills and disasters of developing nations, not their strengths and unique characteristics. This does not at all mean endorsement of hate, violence, bigotry, racism, xenophobia, or anti-immigrant sentiments, for multiple things can be true at once. Immigrants are and have been the backbone of American ingenuity, especially those coming from rough backgrounds and struggling nations. Plus, many of the most toxic, horrendous ideas are promoted by natives, often white, far leftists, who have no real appreciation for their privilege, and endorse the most destructive ideas and proclamations using academia, journalism, or “social justice” activism.

Super grateful to @TheAudaciousPrj community for kick-starting our 30 Cities program with $121m in support!