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Ecthelion

@LDani97

Into macro economics, RE development, sports, diving, hiking, meditation, conservation, Planet Earth and Middle-earth. Fix the money, fix the world. #bitcoin

Vancouver BC, Canada Katılım Aralık 2011
3.1K Takip Edilen662 Takipçiler
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Ecthelion
Ecthelion@LDani97·
You think you have a future guaranteed, but you don’t, because it doesn’t exist, the future is just an idea. Appreciate your extremely limited time on earth, not just the “good moments”. Life is always only right fucking now and everything else is hallucinations in your head.
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Ecthelion
Ecthelion@LDani97·
If this is worse than Covid like many claim it is, pls explain why we haven’t hit down days with circuit breakers? Is the entire market this stupid? To me it’s reacting very similar to the Ukraine war, which was also supposed to be WW3 and the end of the world…doomers gonna doom
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Ecthelion
Ecthelion@LDani97·
@Bogachan_1971 So you’re saying the fed can’t fix high oil/prices but it could fix Covid? You’re saying agriculture partially slowing down is worse than GLOBAL and TOTAL lockdowns with EVERYTHInG fully screeching to a halt?
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Bogachan Ozdemir
Bogachan Ozdemir@Bogachan_1971·
Comparison between current 💩💩 show and Covid 19 Covid 19 became obvious to me and many other by mid January 2020. I was running rates and credit in Singapore for an Australian Bank and told my traders to pull the plug, sell everything in inventory. I put a lot of bearish positions for myself and market rallied against all that until late February. Everyone started to question me... I told them I know how to trade a hurricane and to leave me alone. Normal people trade day by day... for example when I told you to short the bond, I see someone posting me if I saw the bond auction... who cares? Normal people do. In normal times it is ok, during an event a day, even 2 weeks is not important. If I cut your arm, it is an event... eventually you will realize it... not feeling it under heavy morphin does not mean anything. During an event check the facts and assumptions. During Covid, the assumption was to rely on news from China... I post a warning against that and got into trouble. Remember there were a few thousand dead in Wuhan... but somehow millions died in the rest of the world. Same presstitutes who repeat Trump's nonsense 10 times a day now, was all up in arms about his correct stance against China. They went to Chinatown to hug people. See how everything tumbled down after Feb 27, 2020... as we started to see some real numbers in Europe, especially Italy. Then with a few weeks, markets went down 35%. FED printed trillions to get it back. You can do that with demand shock but not supply shock. What we face today is much worse than Covid. First of all, we do not know when it will end. Trump followed a rabid dog who sold him a dummy... war was supposed to be over within 100 hours.. instead it had been a month now and Iran has no incentive to talk at all. Even if war ends today, it will take 3-5 years to fix things to get back to cheap energy. Meanwhile it can get worse... entire region can become inhabitable if they hit freshwater plants and/or exchange nukes. World's 30-40% fertilizer source is from this region. It means disaster for poor people around the world, which means political instability in many places. It means a lot of manufacturing bases will be in trouble. Due to expensive diesel, many fishing boats stopped. Flying will be very expensive, which means tourism will be over for a while. Can FED fix all this by printing money? Herd have two problems: Not to understand the severity of the situation and not to understand the fact that FED is useless in this situation. It will not be a V... it will be a sharper move and an L.
Bogachan Ozdemir tweet mediaBogachan Ozdemir tweet media
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Ecthelion
Ecthelion@LDani97·
@AsaRehman @dlicps Laryea spends half his time trying to draw fouls and doesn’t know how to shoot or take defenders on with pace. Yes he’s a decent defender but decent is not good enough this is the World Cup.
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Asa Rehman
Asa Rehman@AsaRehman·
@dlicps I don’t understand the fascination in moving one the best LBs in the world out of position. Especially going into a tournament where you want to be strong defensively.
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Ecthelion
Ecthelion@LDani97·
@SteveSaretsky @ChrisSpoke It’s oversupplied now, if there’s no building in the next two years and immigration ramps up again, what happens then? On another note why is Ontario getting all this preferential treatment and not BC or other Provinces? Selective market intervention is kind of ridiculous
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Steve Saretsky
Steve Saretsky@SteveSaretsky·
@ChrisSpoke True but do you really want to be adding more rental in a market that is oversupplied today and probably for the next few years
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Steve Saretsky
Steve Saretsky@SteveSaretsky·
Federal, Ontario governments to spend $8.8-billion to cut municipal development charges. The question now, is will developers willingly push projects through in an already oversupplied market? theglobeandmail.com/canada/article…
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Ecthelion
Ecthelion@LDani97·
@BenRabidoux Why is Ontario getting preferential treatment both on HST and on development charges? Why not BC?! If you’re gonna mess with the market at least mess with it equally.
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Ben Rabidoux
Ben Rabidoux@BenRabidoux·
New condo sales down 97% from peak. Absolutely bombed out levels. Govt just made it significantly cheaper to buy through elimination of HST, and all I see is people saying the market has further to fall. You want to bet that this goes LOWER? Y'all are too bearish
Ben Rabidoux tweet media
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TSN
TSN@TSN_Sports·
Jesse Marsch calls for a ‘red out’ at #FIFAWorldCup games where all fans wear red... and throws at jab at @TSNScianitti in the process 🤣🇨🇦
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nika77
nika77@nika7725440013·
@MikePMoffatt @Devi10ptions I believe the Soviet Union, Cuba and Venezuela have tried this. Can we learn something from them?
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Ecthelion
Ecthelion@LDani97·
@nanotitan28 Thx for the update! Are you scaling in or just holding?
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Ecthelion retweetledi
Kyle Riley 🇨🇦
Kyle Riley 🇨🇦@Smileyyeg·
It is very funny that the NDP uses equity cards to ensure that white men are essentially never allowed to speak in the process of electing a rich old white dude who has never worked a day in his life.
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Ecthelion
Ecthelion@LDani97·
@M_Borgholm @EquityBrian so the majority of traffic before was going towards China, and you're saying they can take control by allowing traffic, to select players like... China? Stuff will be priced in yuan, that was mostly already priced in Yuan? wow these are such game changers
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zero fox
zero fox@M_Borgholm·
@LDani97 @EquityBrian This war has unhinged Iran, as this is already their worse case scenario. So now they have nothing to lose, but everything to gain. They want to implement a whole new order for the strait. As they have control, it can be closed for everyone except those that they allow through.
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Brian Coughlin
Brian Coughlin@EquityBrian·
You’re out of your mind if you think the Trump put is gone just because the market didn’t buy the first round of saving headlines. At the end of the day, he’ll do what he has to do to save the market.
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Ultradeep
Ultradeep@Ultradeep3·
Just going to leave this right here
Ultradeep tweet media
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CS.10
CS.10@cs107sc·
@Ultradeep3 The target is not the us energy market but the usd petrodollar system. That's why they want yuan in payment. If they can topple the petrodollar that will end the us empire
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Ecthelion
Ecthelion@LDani97·
Schrodingers Straight of Hormuz - according to some clowns it can both be closed and open at the same time and not hurt Iran or their allies. Also, most of the oil goes to China so pls enlighten me as to why China would permit a full stop to those flows.
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Ecthelion
Ecthelion@LDani97·
@M_Borgholm @EquityBrian The majority of Iran’s exports were already price in Yuan pre-conflict, so that’s a non-issue. Also pls decide, the straight cannot be both closed AND they’re exporting more than before, it’s one or the other.
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zero fox
zero fox@M_Borgholm·
@LDani97 @EquityBrian Iran will implement an end to the petrodollar system. The US cannot accept this. So they have to keep trying, even though that it is a suicide mission. Iran is actually earning much more now, than before the war, as they are exporting more at higher prices and charge a toll.
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zero fox
zero fox@M_Borgholm·
@EquityBrian You still don’t get it: It’s. Not. Up. To. Him. He can’t just TACO his way out of this. If he could, he already would have by now. But Iran won’t let him. So now they have to try and finish the job. Which they can’t. This is a question of geopolitics, not just financial markets.
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Wander Aesthetic
Wander Aesthetic@NatureRoot88·
Tatry Mountains, Poland 🇵🇱
Wander Aesthetic tweet mediaWander Aesthetic tweet mediaWander Aesthetic tweet mediaWander Aesthetic tweet media
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