LifeisGood Capital

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LifeisGood Capital

LifeisGood Capital

@LIGCapital_

SP, Brazil. Research Analyst, Partner at Global LO Fund

Katılım Nisan 2020
1.1K Takip Edilen221 Takipçiler
LifeisGood Capital
LifeisGood Capital@LIGCapital_·
@JerryCap Agree this will pick up momentum and be an interesting fight... but wonder if momentum fades once Apple / Google launch their versions of AI glasses late this year / early next year.
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Jerry Capital
Jerry Capital@JerryCap·
$META AI implemented into Meta Glasses will give Zuck a true iPhone moment. It's happening. While Google turned into Alphabet last year. Facebook will finally turn into Meta.
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Alexandr Wang@alexandr_wang

Meta AI is up to #6 in the App Store overnight, and still growing :) Also who knew the 7-Eleven app was so popular

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LifeisGood Capital
LifeisGood Capital@LIGCapital_·
@MikeFritzell this podcast almost seems a bit fake to me... 500k subscribers in no time with somewhat niche content
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WTCM
WTCM@WTCM3·
on $AAPL vs. $META
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LifeisGood Capital retweetledi
NIK
NIK@ns123abc·
Remember OpenAI Sora? disappeared like it never existed lol
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Unemployed Capital Allocator
Unemployed Capital Allocator@atelicinvest·
You've got companies posting 30-40% growth trading at 1x ARR with zero indication that something is off. Genuinely never thought I'd see this again Too bad I'm out of cash long ago but that's how it is many times.
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4drant
4drant@4drant·
$CRM
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✨ Constellation Hathaway Capital
✨ Constellation Hathaway Capital@NotMarkLeonard·
19 acquisitions by Harris in 2025 $CSU.TO 6 countries 14 verticals Expansion into India w/ acquisition of eNoah, global industry leader offering cutting-edge solutions worldwide to Fortune 500 companies in the Integrated Health, Insurance, Manufacturing, and Automotive domains
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Matt Slotnick
Matt Slotnick@matt_slotnick·
i totally get the terminal value argument but it's really wild that software has been taken to the shed despite maybe $250M in total ARR attributable to their AI native "replacements"
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LifeisGood Capital
LifeisGood Capital@LIGCapital_·
@TheRealJunto Contradiction #5: Software is now easily replicable with AI, but Nvidia has a software moat with CUDA
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Warbucks
Warbucks@TheRealJunto·
Contradiction #1: It’s consensus that LLMs are commoditized, yet a commodity will steal the economic value from SaaS going forward
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Jerry Capital
Jerry Capital@JerryCap·
When do you get office for free? $MSFT
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Andrew Freedman, CFA 🦅
Andrew Freedman, CFA 🦅@HedgeyeComm·
It is called competition! Do better…
Sam Altman@sama

First, the good part of the Anthropic ads: they are funny, and I laughed. But I wonder why Anthropic would go for something so clearly dishonest. Our most important principle for ads says that we won’t do exactly this; we would obviously never run ads in the way Anthropic depicts them. We are not stupid and we know our users would reject that. I guess it’s on brand for Anthropic doublespeak to use a deceptive ad to critique theoretical deceptive ads that aren’t real, but a Super Bowl ad is not where I would expect it. More importantly, we believe everyone deserves to use AI and are committed to free access, because we believe access creates agency. More Texans use ChatGPT for free than total people use Claude in the US, so we have a differently-shaped problem than they do. (If you want to pay for ChatGPT Plus or Pro, we don't show you ads.) Anthropic serves an expensive product to rich people. We are glad they do that and we are doing that too, but we also feel strongly that we need to bring AI to billions of people who can’t pay for subscriptions. Maybe even more importantly: Anthropic wants to control what people do with AI—they block companies they don't like from using their coding product (including us), they want to write the rules themselves for what people can and can't use AI for, and now they also want to tell other companies what their business models can be. We are committed to broad, democratic decision making in addition to access. We are also committed to building the most resilient ecosystem for advanced AI. We care a great deal about safe, broadly beneficial AGI, and we know the only way to get there is to work with the world to prepare. One authoritarian company won't get us there on their own, to say nothing of the other obvious risks. It is a dark path. As for our Super Bowl ad: it’s about builders, and how anyone can now build anything. We are enjoying watching so many people switch to Codex. There have now been 500,000 app downloads since launch on Monday, and we think builders are really going to love what’s coming in the next few weeks. I believe Codex is going to win. We will continue to work hard to make even more intelligence available for lower and lower prices to our users. This time belongs to the builders, not the people who want to control them.

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LifeisGood Capital
LifeisGood Capital@LIGCapital_·
@viggy_krishnan @a16z "but I think the next generation of business companies can still be much bigger than the previous generation of companies given the capability gains."...
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a16z
a16z@a16z·
AI can capture much larger markets than traditional software.
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Andrew Freedman, CFA 🦅
Andrew Freedman, CFA 🦅@HedgeyeComm·
It did kind of sound like a little bit of Zuck's soul died when he said peak reality lab losses $META
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LifeisGood Capital
LifeisGood Capital@LIGCapital_·
@JaredSleeper Great presentation!! Tks for sharing! Maybe I missed this somewhere in the slides, but what are the details behind the surveys - i.e. N of how many? Profile of buyers participating, etc. Would love to know as I think helps paint a better picture.
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Jared Sleeper
Jared Sleeper@JaredSleeper·
At Avenir, we’ve followed the emerging bear cases on SaaS closely. This 46-page deck contains our reflections and research on the path ahead. We see opportunity and risk as SaaS companies vie with AI natives to be "systems of context." Link in replies, excited to discuss!
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TechStockFundamentals
TechStockFundamentals@TechFundies·
$ABNB reported a punkish quarter. Seems like truth here is core property rental business is now mature. Room / experience nights added each year have declined from 93m in 2022 to 55m in 2023 to 43m in 2024 to ~41m in 2025. Not good. Furthermore, competition with $BKNG is increasing as they have nearly as much supply (though more European focused) and are growing 10% yy. The team obviously isn't content with what will be single digit growth soon and so the investments begin. They already are investing in experiences / services (which seem fine, but not particularly differentiated). It's your standard stuff - boat cruises, walking tours, surf lessons, massage, photography. And this call they announced they will be pursuing a full hotel offering - with the obvious question being why are they well positioned to take share here. An initial look at LA / NYC hotels indicates they are mostly lower-end options. I also thought they rather directly stated they want to become an OTA so would expect investments in flights / cars / taxis as well. All of this is going to be expensive and their margins already have been stuck ~35-37%. If revenue is only going to grow single digits, that doesn't leave a lot of room to invest meaningfully without taking margins lower for a bit. They also are easing payment terms so customers don't have to pay some amount upfront which will be a working capital headwind. Story is getting worse, numbers are likely going down. Risk / reward also not interesting here. "Upside" of -1% to 25x my CY2027 GAAP EPS Downside of -22% to 18x street CY2026 GAAP EPS - but I also think their GAAP EPS is likely too high. Kind of interesting - seems like they are now pursuing the BKNG playbook but perhaps 5 years too late as COVID strength misled them as far as where we were in vacation rental opportunity.
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Larry
Larry@LongOnlyLarry·
@LIGCapital_ I don’t think anyone (including myself) will. The investor day was such a stupid idea. The tweet was more so I think relatively NICE > FIVN
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Larry
Larry@LongOnlyLarry·
Man NICE just told you cloud rev growth accelerating to 16% through 2028 (implies total rev growth accelerating from 6 to 10). The stock trades 10x earnings and 8x cash. It’s up 1%. No one believes them/wants to own this thing. Have to see/wait for it to show up in the actual PNL, but baring a PE firm rolling up FIVN, don’t see how a pair of NICE long / FIVN short, doesn’t work.
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