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@virtualbacon This is the next 6 months in Bitcoin:
1. Quantitative Tightening ends, or Quantitative Easing starts, December 1st
2. Fed Rate Change Scheduled for December 10th
3. Clarity Act, with bi-partisan support, coming by X-Mas
4. New Bullish Fed Chair coming in May
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🚨 @RayDalio just dropped one of the most important macro warnings of this cycle. He always goes deep in his analysis and that’s why I respect him immensely for his work. Here is a short summary & what it means for #Bitcoin:
THE OBVIOUS:
The Fed is about to end QT and start QE again.
But this time, it’s not “QE to save the economy”!
It’s QE into a bubble — and that changes everything.
When the Fed usually launches QE, it’s during crisis: Markets are falling, credit markets are frozen, liquidity is gone.
QE then acts as rescue money — printing liquidity to rebuild confidence.
But this time is different.
The economy is still strong, stocks are at highs, credit spreads are tight, unemployment is low, inflation is above target, and AI stocks are in full mania.
So what happens when the Fed starts printing money into that environment?
It’s no longer “stimulus into a depression.” It’s stimulus into a mania. Liquidity will flood already overheated markets.
That means: stocks melt up, gold rips, and #crypto… goes vertical ;)
Because crypto is pure global liquidity beta — it reacts first and fastest.
Expect the usual sequence: BTC → ETH → high caps → memes → chaos.
Short-term (next 6–12 months):
1 - Massive liquidity wave
2 - Inflation hedge narrative returns
3 - “Money printer go brrr” becomes real again
4 - Speculative euphoria across AI, tech, and crypto
NOT SO OBVIOUS:
But long-term (late 2026–2027?):
🔴 Inflation reignites
🔴 Fed forced to tighten again
🔴 Bubble pops violently
That’s exactly what Dalio means when he says “QE into a bubble.”
It’s the final, euphoric stage of the Big Debt Cycle — the part that feels like prosperity but ends in reset.
So yes — it’s extremely bullish for crypto and bitcoin in the short term.
Probably the most bullish setup since 2020.
But it’s not “forever money.” It’s the last big wave before the tide turns. So make sure you make all the money you can before things go south!!!
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Everyone’s throwing random BTC predictions for 2025, so here’s mine.
With no BS, no hopium, just logic.
Let’s start with macro: rate cuts are coming slower than the market wanted, inflation’s sticky, and the Fed’s boxed in. No real QE yet, just balance-sheet stabilization. Liquidity is creeping back, but not flooding. So macro backdrop = mild tailwind, not full bull rocket.
Fundamentally, spot ETF flows are consistent but not explosive. Retail isn’t here yet, but institutions are slowly averaging in. Halving did its job, supply’s down 50%, miner reserves thinning, long-term holders not selling. Supply pressure is gone.
Technically, BTC broke the 2021 downtrend, retested the 200 week MA, and now coiling in a higher-low structure. The longer it consolidates above $60K, the stronger the next leg. Structure looks bullish, but momentum is moderate — not euphoric.
Onchain, wallets holding 1–10 BTC are climbing, exchange balances dropping. Whales are quiet, retail flat. That’s usually what early expansion phases look like — smart money loading before narrative ignition.
Operational/adoption-wise, 401k access, sovereign interest, and corporate custody infrastructure are all building quietly. That’s real foundation — not hype.
Now. Lets combine all this: restrained macro liquidity, halving impact, ETF demand base, strong technical base, healthy on-chain behavior, and moderate sentiment.
Therefore, using all logic and basic common sense.
My call for end of 2025 (assuming no major black swan and at least mild QE or rate easing): #Bitcoin $130K –$150K.
A realistic target. Not moonboy talk, not doom porn. Just what the math, macro, and psychology suggest.
The next real blow-off top? Probably 2026, once QE 2.0 truly begins.
Price then? Nobody knows. Will have to evaluate liquidity.
Deal with it and predict the unpredictable all u want chasing views and engagement haha.
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@TheMoonCarl @MartiniGuyYT Next 132 oct down, then 144 nov down, then 150 but Santa chippychoppy all traders in dec , then 180 Jan 🔥- feb back to 150 🤪, then last blast to 200 match April 🤯then over - the pattern in the last year for step ups - eoy pattern copies last year Eoy/jan FebMarApr… 🤷♂️
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This.
Load up. 3900-4000ish eth is the bottom.
Alex Becker 🍊🏆🥇@ZssBecker
Usually a breakdown like this bounces then leads to a bigger breakdown. Then the next leg begins. Do nothing. Remain retarded.
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