Michael Childers

@matthew_inaus @thomasforth Ireland had nearly 5x population of Scotland in 1800 so even following Scottish demographic change with the modern plateau, you'd end up with 20m+

@thomasforth I doubt it. If your premise were correct about Ireland, Scotland would also have a lot more people, and yet it doesn't.

1/ Yes. 30M easily. 2/ In a world where Britain had properly joined Ireland as equals in 1800 and built a country together, Ireland and we would share that country which would have avoided famine, and we'd be 120 million today. Decent chance. . My favourite what if in history.

@TheMindScourge A deterrent can be reloaded by removing its exercise. Reopening Hormuz may remove the incentive to work around it enough. But it'll depend on execution

Hormuz is a weapon that can only be fired once No one should expect a quick resolution to the current crisis, but across the next decade, even the next 3-5 years, the choke point of Hormuz will be massively substituted for The Gulf Arab states are all very rich, with high per capita GDP - the best single measure of relative state capacity - easy access to global markets, especially financial, and have the favorable backing of the US Everyone has known about the Hormuz vulnerability for decades. The Iranians have continually hinted around closing it, but never did. Now they have, but Hormuz is a gun that cannot be reloaded. Deterrents work only up to the point of use. Once used, they have failed. The purpose of a deterrent is to *not* be used Many analysts have made this basic mistake. They think that Iran is now in a position of strength, having exercised its Hormuz option. But the opposite is true. A state is weakest after it has used its deterrent. The cost of that deterrence is now priced in. The worst having been done, the targets of the deterrent are now free to make other arrangements. Before, they were reluctant to do so because of the switching costs. Now, they have no choice; they will not allow themselves to be controlled in this way again Hormuz may never reopen. But the importance of this is a depreciating asset.

@Myozotiis @uncledoomer Song's about a manchild, not all men etc People taking offence because they have no reading comprehension here

@uncledoomer I’m tired of mainstream women pushing this narrative. Men are amazing and help run this world to make it function.

women are always like "men are useless" but sabrina carpenter is like 4 foot 11, she cant even climb into a mid size SUV without help

@JamesDueck @anthonyhorvath Sounds like 130IQ types need to do their duty and put time in serving as administrators. Not just building the fun stuff, but working those dreary jobs, to make sure they don't get in the way

@anthonyhorvath A man can dream!

A “healthy economy” is when a typical 90 IQ man can hold down a job earning enough to fund a modest lifestyle with his wife & kids. This only works when 130 IQ men are free to build great things as they see fit, with minimal friction from 110 IQ administrators.

@JohnJohnStewart Regardless, it shows the unappreciated expense of driving, and perhaps then driving should be reduce in favour of public transport

It appears from this report that the study only compared walking and cycling with driving. Public transport doesn't seem to feature at all. A serious flaw.

@kristenmag @BetterR0ads If speed limits are lowered but drivers don't now follow the law, it's hard to shift the burden to the government and say it's a money grab Drivers have full power to prevent the money grab by driving below At some point, gotta take responsibility

@BetterR0ads It’s not that simple. If the goal is to reduce speed then we need to look at how speed limits actually affect driver speed. x.com/kristenmag/sta…

Does Mamdani really have any evidence that 15 mph is safer in school zones than 20 or 25? I’m skeptical. It’s a money grab. And it’s also a control grab.

@dylanypyen Cars are 2 tonnes and wider (more likely to hit things) Bikes are 100 times lighter and narrower (less likely to hit things) These are risk profiles A car can go 70mph on a freeway because it has a lower risk profile That is all

and yet your lawyers sued the city when it implemented the same 15mph speed limit for cyclists because 15mph would cause “irreparable harms”. cyclists have a god given right to be above the law, I guess.

@atlanticesque Blocks like these are fully occupied in many London areas. Lack of shops and a high service fee with not enough return from it kills these blocks That street is likely the main access street so is wider (though not as wide as arterial). Likely a lot of narrow alleys there

Others have commented on the bland architecture, but the real problem is how wide this street is. Narrower streets are ALWAYS the best thing that could be done to improve a neighborhood.

@PaulRCove @xGPhilosophy @EmenaIo Ignore it then. Why get bothered by other people looking at things?

@xGPhilosophy @EmenaIo For the billionth time xG is a bullshit metric. Ffs when will people learn and wake up. Please let’s get all this data bollocks out of football. We’re working with humans, in a sport, not computers and software or money or finances or math. This is a game of intangibles!

On aggregate: Chelsea (2.88) 2-8 (2.23) PSG

@ZoomerHistorian Why is Serbia not the same, then?

Poland isn’t full of disgusting third world savages who work for slave wages and murder people That’s literally it

@ECOuteSvp @SerenaHellbent @Boenau Okay sure but the discussion is a out speed restrictions being on cars but not aircraft

@MatDurh @SerenaHellbent @Boenau Aircraft kill everyone. Just invisibly and slowly. But of course we ignore that due to ignorance of those who fly

Maybe we're doing public engagement wrong.

@Nowooski Why is there an artificial potting of one against the other? Bali has advantages: warmer waters, Southeast Asian styled food, paddy fields etc. Your need to rank places to dunk on your political opposites is from a brain that cannot see past political tribes

@TogetherHackney Parklets, to be used by the minority who drive

These ‘parklets’ were indeed meant for the local community. Hackney Council recently changed their purpose making them exclusive to customers. With no real benefit to the locals these spaces now only benefit a limited, non diverse clientele. Gentrification in action.

@Otome_chan311 @ary050703 You're not ethnically Latin

@MatDurh @ary050703 Say you know nothing about ethnicity without saying you know nothing about ethnicity

I struggle to believe an Italian is this retarded.

@a_y_y_o @m200klb @simongerman600 He's providing trivia, not speaking in legal language Do you have the ability to take words in their context? For example, I am clearly not illiterate, but I won't call you stupid for using that word not in its literal sense

@MatDurh @m200klb @simongerman600 “These countries are NOT landlocked but still don't have access to international waters.” I will ask you again: are you illiterate or stupid?

Crazy geography trivia that I had never seen before! These countries are NOT landlocked but still don't have access to international waters. Source: reddit.com/r/geography/co…

@a_y_y_o @m200klb @simongerman600 Mate, the guy was providing 'trivia' about borders and you've turned this into some sort of argument in your heid about access, when the post was not making any comment about that

@MatDurh @m200klb @simongerman600 Please educate yourself about the difference between innocent passage and transit passage. Transit passage through international straits cannot be suspended, even in time of war.

@Triegaardtau79 @OfficialS2G Every year, coal goes down in percentage of China's energy Everything is about culture war or political bullshit with you lot. F1 innovates, and electric engines are where the future is heading for all sorts of good reasons

@OfficialS2G It’s all about virtue signalling China builds 4000 coal plants an hour But we have to watch formula one worry about electric cars

Can someone explain why F1 has gone down this battery/EV route? We already have Formula E for that. Why not just let F1 be about the best and most powerful combustion engines?

@a_y_y_o @m200klb @simongerman600 But the post is making a trivial point about borders. Jordan gets shipping via Aqaba, and Slovenia gets shipping through, too. Access is available during peacetime, sure The post is merely making a remark on borders, you've read way too much into this

@MatDurh @m200klb @simongerman600 “These countries are NOT landlocked but still don't have access to international waters.” If you think this correctly describes Singapore’s access to international waters, you are either deeply ignorant or deeply stupid. Good night.

@a_y_y_o @m200klb @simongerman600 Singapore have domestically made minesweepes (Bedok class) & a lot of naval strategy precisely because of old fears of Malaysia or Indonesia blocking access. Current diplomatic relationships make this unlikely, but they don't mess about with the possibility

@a_y_y_o @m200klb @simongerman600 I think you're overstretching an argument that does not exist. Singapore does not have direct access to any international waters technically, but the waters are nonetheless navigable. That is all the post is saying. Just something technically correct, even if there are nuances

@MatDurh @m200klb @simongerman600 What access to international waters is Singapore lacking that a state bordering international waters has? In terms of navigation, what does Malaysia have that Singapore does not?