MisTKy

@Annabelle_Noir I just traded, didn't think it's true

@MiSTkyGo You changed your opinion on the UAE attacking Iran very fast, huh?

One of the best things about being a Polymarket trader is that you can do it almost anywhere. @Polymarket @PolymarketTrade #OfficeforToday

@banan_crypto foxbusiness.com/video/63890045…

@MiSTkyGo And what do u think on Trump's words? What did he mean??

Two things are infinite: the universe and the stupidity on polymarket; and I'm not sure about the universe.

@ruslanbes it is a good strategy like this also, if you have info or you see EV why not

@MiSTkyGo I'm very scared to bet No on Iran strikes currently. Just from the pure military buildup they can do it any day. I preferred buying buy Yes at 0.7c and selling half at 1.5. Worked very well for me and was much safer.

I assess that the United States is unlikely to launch direct military strikes against Iran in the immediate future. Instead, Washington will probably rely on a combination of pressure tactics, including: -Tightening or expanding economic sanctions and embargoes. -Intercepting or seizing Iranian oil tankers involved in sanctions evasion. -Conducting provocative operations to test Iran's air defense systems (e.g., through increased reconnaissance flights, electronic warfare, or close approaches by naval/air assets). In essence, this approach amounts to sustained psychological and economic warfare, designed to increase internal stress on the regime. The hope is that prolonged pressure could erode cohesion within the military and the IRGC, potentially leading to defections or in an extreme scenario even a coup attempt. Of course, the situation remains highly fluid so stake accordingly.

Did some digging into the $POLY token trademarks, if anyone's curious to learn more. Several filings done for "Polymarket", "The World's Greatest Prediction Market", etc, were filled last week or so, but at around 7 PM ET today, the words "$POLY" and "POLY" were filed. What's notable is that under the goods and services, it was filed for "Cryptocurrency services, namely, providing a digital currency or digital token for use by members of an on-line community via a global computer network; cryptocurrency services, namely, providing a digital currency or digital token, incorporating cryptographic protocols, used to operate and build applications and blockchains on a decentralized computer platform and as a method of payment for goods and services; financial services, namely, providing a virtual, digital and cryptocurrency currency for use by members of an on-line community via a global computer network;" If you want to check it out for yourself, the case numbers are 99637026 and 99637043. Overall, seems quite standard for a trademark filing of a token, even Tether did this for USDT. Big developments on the horizon! Exciting stuff!

@fengdubiyiing scam

@phosphenq He makes his profit in different ways, there are not 10 times a day those opportunities. Stop inducing people in error

@MiSTkyGo What's wrong?

this trader made $1M on polymarket doing the most boring thing possible Anjun buys YES at 99.9¢ on markets that will obviously resolve YES makes 0.1¢ per share but buys 200,000 shares at once $202,000 position → $200 profit sounds terrible right? except he does this 10 times per day $2,000 daily $60,000 monthly $1M in under 2 years while you're trying to predict elections and find "alpha" he's just farming guaranteed 0.1-1% edges with massive size the strategy: find 99%+ certain outcomes, buy everything, wait for resolution if you have $100k sitting around doing nothing this prints $100-300 per day risk-free check him: @Anjun?via=520" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener">polymarket.com/@Anjun?via=520

@ruslanbes Thank you for the question. I have made a post with the answer x.com/MiSTkyGo/statu…

@MiSTkyGo Everyone likes to show their positive PnLs, but no one ever brags about the crazy negative PnLs :) Survivorship bias. I'm interested how you handle big losses (where you were very confident in a market) or sudden drops in price right after you buy. Can you share your learnings?

This year marked my first full year trading on Polymarket. I started with a $20,000 balance, and it turned out to be an incredible journey filled with valuable experiences and hard-earned lessons.I witnessed some truly wild moments: bonds crashing from 99¢ to 0¢, attempted (and sometimes successful) rule exploits, people losing millions due to unexpected or controversial resolutions, and others winning millions simply because they understood a market's nuances better than anyone else.Heading into next year, I'm genuinely excited. With the experience I've gained and the amazing friends and contacts I've made along the way, I believe I'll be far more successful in 2026.

Someone asked me how I handle big losses or sharp price drops. This are my 2 rules: First and most important: position sizing / staking discipline Before I enter any trade, I ask myself one simple question: Am I comfortable losing 100% of the money I’m putting into this position? If the answer is no try to I reduce size or I skip the trade. This mental habit removes (or at least massively reduces) the emotional shock when a trade goes against me. It’s much easier to accept a loss when you already decided before you clicked that the money was “already gone” the moment you risked it. This is also very helpful with drops as you are not so stressed about the drawdown. Second rule: know your “enough” When I take a loss that feels heavy, I stop for the day, or take a longer brake. I broke this rule exactly twice last year. Both times it cost me roughly 5x-10x the original loss by the end week. How I rebuild confidence after a serious hit ? Decrease position size Trade/bond with lower risk for a couple of days/weeks

@nilslang @Polymarket You should educate yourself , nobody rigged anything...if you wanted you could have disputed, i have bought the June market because the March went to yes. Stop accusing and maybe you learn how Polymarket works.

The meta on Polymarket these past few months has been all about chasing 'insiders' but take a look at this guy. Sure, I believe he was an insider, but his info was clearly limited. The key point: Don't automatically assume that just because someone has some edge or makes a huge trade, that trade is guaranteed to be on the winning outcome."

An insider's scooping up massive value in this market but what does he know that we don't? Normally it'd price at 85-90. What would you do in this situation ?

Started the day down $4,500, but as a trader,I remind myself that a loss only takes me closer to a bigger win.

@TradeandMoney Hi , i am intrested , from where can i get the software

If interested, reply here, and I'm happy now to give a limited number of free 30-day trials (let's cap it at five as I'm busy and the process is not yet automated), as we are looking to elicit feedback. The price is a mere $60/month for a one-year license. Note that there is roughly a 0% chance we'll ever make back our development costs on this project, but we just like to build stuff and were super impatient with poly's UI. In return, if you want something added to it that we think is useful, we'll do it. Note If you trade often, you'll make the annual fee back in a week with a smoother trading experience. If you don't make the free trial now, you'll see a public version out soon. Tagging some well-known prediction market traders here who may be interested: @IDF @ericadamsfornyc @real_lord_miles @OpenAI @IvanCryptoSlav @GaetenD @aenews @CryptoMoonday @polibettingclub @iabvek @0xpredboy @Ianmakesmarkets @0xTone @SatoshiAncap @MartinShkreli @Prithvir12 @probabilitygod @PolymarketBuild @LanceupperPI @primo_data

I'm a huge fan of @Polymarket the product. Huge congrats to @shayne_coplan for creating the best prediction market of all time. That said, I haven't always loved all aspects of the UI. Thus, together with legendary trader @aenews, we've built a trading terminal for polymarket that uses the API. It works so well at first we were hesitant to share the alpha to rival traders. But, we've built something cool and useful and would like to share it with the world, and so we are gearing up for a public release of PolyTraderPro.

@TradeandMoney Hello , i can i get the software ? do you have any official website ?

I'm happy to give anyone who wants a go one free month to trade.

Here's a sad story of a @Polymarket trader who, during the election, got rule-cucked in a bad way. Luckily, he discovered the issue, and went to sell. Unfortunately, polymarket's UI did not come through in the clutch, and his sell button was broken. He took a nearly $9k loss, giving back half of his entire PnL. Rumors have it that he's now taken to rum in the Carribbean. There are some lessons here for the young traders out there: 1. Always read the rules carefully. 2. Have a backup to poly's UI. I am happy to recommend my own trading terminal, created by myself and the legendary trader @aenews. Both of us have over $1.5 million in prediction market profits lifetime.