denizz

62 posts

denizz

denizz

@denizz_poly

Polymarket Middle East specialist https://t.co/AVL8vwVojQ

Katılım Kasım 2025
60 Takip Edilen697 Takipçiler
denizz
denizz@denizz_poly·
@WillyDiBa7 @tenobrus I've been doing 15% -- something wasn't good but still ok 20% -- usually, for good service 25% -- rarely
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mikchaelvratetbel@WillyDiBa7·
@tenobrus 10% is for awful service, literally dogshit but you’re a good person so you don’t tip 0 15% for average service, especially if it’s a pricey place 20% for great service, truly making the experience better That’s how I’ve always done it
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MEPP
MEPP@MEPPonPM·
Podcast and twitter space announcement. Myself and the middle east END BOSS @denizz_poly are going to be discussing everything IRAN tonight sunday march 8th 9 pm east. More than 7 figures in earnings between the 2 of us. The show is going to be cohosted by Polymarket and I will be giving a 150$ to the 3 best questions during the live show. If you enjoy Geopolitics and want to learn about Iran, I wouldnt miss it!!!!
MEPP tweet mediaMEPP tweet media
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denizz
denizz@denizz_poly·
@Polymarket continues to resolve many markets erratically...
Thonker@ProThonker

I cannot use @Polymarket anymore. There have been iffy clarifications but this by far takes the cake. There was no consensus. You resolved this market off of an unsourced claim from a two-sentence blurb in a morning newsletter article from a random NYT reporter living in the UK who most likely got the information from Hezbollah statements. This site is a joke. It was legitimately unclear who performed this strike or if it was a joint operation from the Israel or the US. Nobody was expecting a single offhand unsourced claim from a single article to resolve this market which is why it traded at 95c for No the night prior and why the previous market resolved the way it did. longwarjournal.org/archives/2026/… Thanks to everyone who has supported me through my journey on the site but it's time to leave. So long, and thanks for all the fish. 🫡

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Moses
Moses@holy_moses7·
@ProThonker @Polymarket Love you Thonker but the clarification is correct. The only wrong outcome would be to resolve both Israel and US strikes on Iraq to No.
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Thonker
Thonker@ProThonker·
I cannot use @Polymarket anymore. There have been iffy clarifications but this by far takes the cake. There was no consensus. You resolved this market off of an unsourced claim from a two-sentence blurb in a morning newsletter article from a random NYT reporter living in the UK who most likely got the information from Hezbollah statements. This site is a joke. It was legitimately unclear who performed this strike or if it was a joint operation from the Israel or the US. Nobody was expecting a single offhand unsourced claim from a single article to resolve this market which is why it traded at 95c for No the night prior and why the previous market resolved the way it did. longwarjournal.org/archives/2026/… Thanks to everyone who has supported me through my journey on the site but it's time to leave. So long, and thanks for all the fish. 🫡
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denizz
denizz@denizz_poly·
@holy_moses7 I'd like to resolve it to yes if we can find sourcing.
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Moses
Moses@holy_moses7·
Probably one of the best bets I ever made on Polymarket. Bought this bet at ~1.5c average for the past week or so with last shares bought yesterday. This thing eventually hit 70c but I couldn't manage to sell all. Did the US struck Iraq?
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denizz
denizz@denizz_poly·
@Eltonma How do you split your time between predictions and farming? Is there overlap between predicting and farming?
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Elton Ma
Elton Ma@Eltonma·
I know I don’t have a lot of followers now but today I will do a Q&A section, ask me anything. And I promise I won’t lie
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MEPP
MEPP@MEPPonPM·
🚨🚨🚨 ALPHA IRAN PODCAST ALERT🚨🚨🚨 DO NOT MISS THIS I will be joined by the best PM middle east trader (IMO) DENIZZ to talk about everything IRAN, we will discuss the current situation and tension, the likelihood of an imminent war and more!!!!. show will be co-hosted By Polymarket.💪💪💪 Close to 1 million $ in winnings between the 2 of us.🍔🍔🍔 bonus: We will be answering a few live questions and I will likely offer a 100-200$ giveaway if I find the questions interesting.🫡 here is his account: @denizz?via=mepp" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener">polymarket.com/@denizz?via=me… x.com/i/spaces/1qxvv…
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CSPTrading.eth
CSPTrading.eth@CSP_Trading·
KALSHI STEALS FROM ITS USERS Today im launching KalshiSteals.wtf to keep a running tally of how much Kalshi has stolen from its users by not paying out interest on time. Again, Polymarket pays out 4% yield on 2028 positions that are sent EVERY DAY out of their own pocket
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decap
decap@_decap·
@CSP_Trading Is it true that they’re insolvent? Hearing things on discord
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denizz
denizz@denizz_poly·
@mustafap0ly @sixcart @Polymarket Seems like this will lead to bounty spoofing. Better for bounties to be irreversible. Maybe with an additional warning before committing >$5-10K?
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🕯️@sixcart·
hello ive accidentally added 70k in rewards to the jesus market can anyone at @polymarket help ty and god bless
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Hive@HiveLiveHQ·
@InterceptorNews just completely fake news. please don't believe this
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denizz
denizz@denizz_poly·
@Analista_pm @Polymarket Chief national security correspondent of Fox, as part of her professional duties. Reports by Channel 11 and YA were independent. 4 independent sources were enough.
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Analista.@Analista_pm·
@denizz_poly @Polymarket Fox journalist tweeted on a personal capacity, no articles. All the israeli media reported Barak's scoop. You knew this wasn't enough to determine wether a relevant market meeting did happened. x.com/RyanRozbiani/s…
Ryan Rozbiani@RyanRozbiani

JUST IN 🇮🇷: Iran's FM Confirms U.S. and Iran Diplomats Shook Hands Abbas Araghchi: "There was no direct meeting, but we had an encounter - for diplomatic courtesy, when delegations arrive, there was a handshake and basic politeness."

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Analista.@Analista_pm·
1/ This is honestly embarrassing. The clarification on the Polymarket market about direct US–Iran talks in Oman on Feb 6 claims there’s a “consensus of credible reporting.” Let’s look at that “consensus.” 🧵
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Analista.
Analista.@Analista_pm·
8/ If this counts as a “consensus of credible reporting,” then any single-source scoop repeated three times becomes market-settling truth. That’s not verification. That’s echo. @Polymarket
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denizz
denizz@denizz_poly·
@BigRabbit_poly Yes and I would say the negotiations are certainly not a ruse. They could fail, tho.
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BigRabbit
BigRabbit@BigRabbit_poly·
@denizz_poly Are you still heavily on the NO train for strikes and Khamenei out this year? I can’t help but feel like these negotiations are just buying time for the US and that they’re definitely gonna strike eventually. Please talk me out of buying more YES 😅
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Gregory Brew
Gregory Brew@gbrew24·
It's now been reported in two credible outlets that Iran--and Khamenei specifically--may be prepared to surrender its stock of enriched uranium and suspend enrichment. This would effectively end the threat of a nuclear Iran, at least for the foreseeable future.
Gregory Brew@gbrew24

It's getting drowned out a bit, but if Iran is willing to surrender its stockpile of 60% uranium, it would be a massive concession and would reset the break-out clock to pre-2021. The risk of Iran successfully dashing to a bomb would fall significantly. A notable achievement.

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Hive
Hive@HiveLiveHQ·
We will be hosting Polymarket whales @MEPPonPM and @denizz_poly (two of the best Middle East prediction market traders), to answer YOUR questions and discuss Iran They will be LIVE on spaces today (Sunday) at 4pm EST Tune in! 👇
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denizz
denizz@denizz_poly·
@ProThonker A tip call from a schizo rando does feel a bit cheap. Wld have been a fun dispute.
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Thonker
Thonker@ProThonker·
It simply doesn't demonstrate blackmail. The blackmail alleger last time was much more credible, cited by the investigators as a victim of Epstein and already had rapport. Here, the caller is not named. Anyone can call the FBI and say anything. This person called in 2020, well after the arrest, five times in an hour, talking about child sacrifices and saying "the STDs then turned the victim's brain to mush." It really seems like some random crazy person from the internet called in; I don't think this is plausible at all or should qualify as evidence. I really feel like this was a good argument and would've won in UMA and clarification, provided there was no other file. All water under the bridge now though, of course.
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Thonker
Thonker@ProThonker·
Re Epstein blackmail, I 100% would've disputed. Unfortunately I boneheadedly went to sleep instead of staying up or even proposing and disputing myself to force it to a vote. I had publicly offered to cover anyone to dispute if I was away/asleep and even paid up backup escrow to another user. Unfortunately nobody came through when it was proposed. :/ I genuinely feel I would've won. Had 50,000 shares too. Oh well, life moves on. It's just money. Thanks for the post, Domer. ❤️
Domer❤️‍🔥@Domahhhh

The still-broken Polymarket expiration system has produced another doozy. A written log of a crank caller talking about baby sacrifices and brains being turned into mush was determined to be "evidence of blackmail" uncovered in the Epstein files. Users trading the $2m market woke up to YES being paid out overnight this morning based on...unsubstantiated nonsense. Stop me if you've heard this one before, but the biggest profiter was aenews, who determined the crank call "should qualify" as evidence!🙃 When prediction markets smuggle made-up crap as "truth" and "evidence", then these markets are actually a very bad thing, instead of a good thing. The markets wind up endorsing lies, and overturning reality. Users on both Polymarket and Kalshi** have to be mindful that these markets are still a bit of the Wild West, and both platforms kind of just ignore ongoing rules challenges. There are occassionally vague apologies, and in very egregious cases they are shamed into giving refunds. But, by and large, you're meant to just grin and accept a total loss when they screw up. **An example on Kalshi is they recently ruled that Netflix saying "Warner Brothers" on its earnings call should be a LOSS for anyone holding YES in "Warner Bros" because they didn't say the slang term bros. Their young kid rules guy said he "simply had no idea" they were saying Warner Brothers, and indicated he thought they were saying Warner Bros. The two terms are, of course, completely synonomous in every single way and the people who bet on the truth/reality lost all of their money for reasons that defy logic and common sense. If you use these sites or are interested in using these sites, there are still lots of questionable decisions and oversights that happen on a routine basis, and you have to keep your head on a swivel. gl gl gl.

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