Kevin For Oregon

Friends in SE Portland. If you have not yet voted, please consider voting Kevin Levy for House District 46. I believe we share many of the same values and I will be a powerful force in the Oregon State Capitol. VoteKevinLevy.com

@USPollingWatch Someone explain this to me. Biden won the female vote by less than 5% in 2020. Harris is up 16 and 20% F voters. (yes dropped in M voters) More importantly, Women tend to vote in a much LARGER majority than men. That alone is huge for Harris and everyone is silent. Why?

#EarlyVoting - PENNSYLVANIA, PRESIDENT 🗳️ Early voting results (as of 10/10 8 AM ET) Democratic 🟦 238,877 (+162,641) Republican 🟥 76,236 Others 🟨 29,102 Ballots requested (total): 🟦 972,274 🟥 445,097 🟨 185,945 Ballots returned: 🟦 24.6% 🟥 17.1% 🟨 15.6%

@ByronJo34131043 Someone explain this to me. Biden won the female vote by less than 5% in 2020. Harris is up 16 and 20% F voters. (yes dropped in M voters) More importantly, Women tend to vote in a much LARGER majority than men. That alone is huge for Harris and everyone is silent. Why?

@E_DataGuy Someone explain this to me. Biden won the female vote by less than 5% in 2020. Harris is up 16 and 20% F voters. (yes dropped in M voters) More importantly, Women tend to vote in a much LARGER majority than men. That alone is huge for Harris and everyone is silent. Why?

PENNSYLVANIA EARLY VOTING - 10/11 (2) Below are today’s early voting totals and their change from 2020 alongside my models output for the final result. New votes released for today:

@Amy_Siskind Someone explain this to me. Biden won the female vote by less than 5% in 2020. Harris is up 16 and 20% F voters. (yes dropped in M voters) More importantly, Women tend to vote in a much LARGER majority than men. That alone is huge for Harris and everyone is silent. Why?

PENNSYLVANIA EARLY VOTING DATA THRU 10/11 Mail in ballot returned: 🔵 Democrats 279,225 (29.2% of requested) 🔴 Republicans 91,960 (21.0% of requested) 🟡 Other 34,573. (19.0% of requested) This is what I mean about banking votes. Polls don't vote! When you knock and phone bank, you are doing the work of converting interest into an actual vote! LFG!!! 💙🩵 (Source: PA Secretary of State)

@tommysantos14 Someone explain this to me. Biden won the female vote by less than 5% in 2020. Harris is up 16 and 20% F voters. (yes dropped in M votes) More importantly, Women tend to vote in a much LARGER majority than men. That alone is huge for Harris and everyone is silent. Why?

🚨 BREAKING: Democrats Lead in Pennsylvania Early Voting Over 1.5 million mail-in ballots have been requested in Pennsylvania, and 61% of those requests were Democrats. More impressive, almost 267,000 people have already voted in Pennsylvania, and DEMOCRATS ARE LEADING WITH 71%!!!

@blockedfreq Someone help explain this to me. Biden only won the female vote by less than 5% in 2020. Harris is up 16 and 20% female voters. (yes dropped in M votes) And… Women tend to vote in a much LARGER majority than men since 1980. That alone is huge for Harris and everyone is silent.

🦅Pennsylvania - 2024 General Election - Day 5 📥 416,652 votes cast 🔵 DEM: 285,072 - 29% returned 🔴 GOP: 95,666 - 20.1% returned 🟡 IND: 35,914 - 18.9% returned VBM Splits: 🔵 68.4% / 🔴 23% / 🟡 8.6% 🔷 DEM firewall: +189,406 📈 Return Edge: D+8.9 Thoughts ⬇️

@ProjectLincoln If this video is only shared on here, X, it won’t go far. This video is to be shared to the battleground states and it leave a powerful mark.

Fathers, think before you vote.

@WWhitney78 @Politics_Polls @atlas_intel Based off of your thoughts, then Trump would’ve won 2020 election. Unless of course you’re one of those election deniers with zero evidence yet multiple claims of tons of evidence.

#NEW @atlas_intel Swing States Poll: MICHIGAN Trump 51% (+4) Harris 47% . PENNSYLVANIA Trump 51% (+3) Harris 48% . WISCONSIN Trump 50% (+2) Harris 48% . ARIZONA Trump 50% (+1) Harris 49% . GEORGIA Trump 50% (+1) Harris 49% . NEVADA Harris 51% (+3) Trump 48% . NORTH CAROLINA Harris 51% (+3) Trump 48%

@TheLawyerCraig @PpollingNumbers I am here in the state of Oregon. 21 years. Trust me when I say it is a dark blue state. I am closely following the political environment. Flipping red is just not gonna happen anytime soon.

@PpollingNumbers Why's this little guy light blue?

🚨 #New Electoral college map - Real clear Politics 🔵 Harris 275 🎖️ 🔴 Trump 262 🗓️ 43 days to election! ______ Polymarket (Chances) 🔵 Harris +3 polymarket.com/elections

@dellavolpe @SimonWDC John, I’m having a hard time understanding these numbers. It’s not being super clear. Who is this good for? Can you please put it in a layman‘s term what that graph is exactly pointing out? Thank you kindly

There's not a lot of nuance in this edition of Harvard Youth Poll. See change in Dem margin vs Trump & the field from March to Sept among likely voters under 30. Men +12 Women +25 White +17 Non-college +18 Black +21

@ProjectLincoln This video would’ve been more impactful if it straight away from all of that fluff. Should’ve gone from the CEOs of the US directly to “they would never hire a convicted felon. A convicted sexual predator. Never!” All of that: good people on both sides. we’ve heard 1000x. Bam!

No CEO in their right mind would go anywhere near a convicted felon and sexual predator like Trump. So why would you trust him in the Oval Office?

@PpollingNumbers Trump had a silent majority in 2016 and a few less shy voters in 2020. Harris will have the silent majority in 2024. The woman of America and youth being drawn out because of this abortion ban has sparked motivation to vote in the likes we will never see again.

What do you think the numbers will be in these states?📊 1. AZ 2. GA 3. NC

@admcrlsn Furthermore, the majority of those states have Democratic secretary of states helping to oversee the election.

A big reason why 2022 mattered: Not a single swing state has a MAGA governor that’ll play footsie with overturning election results: AZ: Hobbs (D) GA: Kemp (R) — normie Republican MI: Whitmer (D) NV: Lombardo (R) — normie Republican NC: Cooper (D)* PA: Shapiro (D) WI: Evers (D)

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@jdazura @Redistrict @CookPolitical It’s all gonna come down to Montana IMO. But I think there may be a couple surprises for the D’s

What will we wake up to on November 6? Here are four Harris/Trump scenarios I consider plausible, created using the 2024 @CookPolitical Demographic Swingometer: cookpolitical.com/analysis/surve…

Why has the majority of my Twitter feed become mostly Maga followers praising Trump and also a bunch of random violence. Just right wing extreme and violence. I’m not even following these people yet there algorithms show up on my feed. Is this why @elonmusk bought Twitter?

@SimonWDC I believe the youth turnout is going to be much like it was for Obama. Soooo much more enthusiasm than for Hillary Clinton or Biden. Especially after Swift. It’s going to be much higher than what polls are estimating. Even a couple points higher than Biden and game is over.

Pro tip: - After Dobbs 2022 did not behave like a typical midterm - After Dobbs 2024 is unlikely to behave like 2016 or 2020 Those counting on a Trump overperformance of polls this year need to first explain why GOP/Trump have been *underperforming* polls since Dobbs.

@NUCLRGOLF @ziregolf ....but then she put that cigarette in her mouth.

👱🏻‍♀️🚬 “Charley you’re gorgeous” 👀 (Via: rblock_fit/IG | @ziregolf)

@iantheCROAT Beatles 1967

When I say "psychedelic" what's the first song that pops into your mind?