Myles Bugbee

4.1K posts

Myles Bugbee

@MylesBugbee

Founder, Persuasion & Pixels. Called “Mr. Technology” by a 7-fingered dirt farmer

DC Katılım Haziran 2011

4.3K Takip Edilen983 Takipçiler

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Yamil Ricardo Velez@YamilRVelez·3d

New paper with @patrickpliu! Though a consensus is forming on the persuasiveness of bots, we study an underexplored application: scaling personalized multimedia. Key finding: issue-based personalization outperforms other personalization methods. See the 🧵 below for more!

Patrick Liu@patrickpliu

New paper w/ @YamilRVelez! A lot of great research on political microtargeting discounts personalization: tailored ads (using AI or not) rarely beat a single-best message. We define two types of microtargeting, clarify when tailoring matters, & showcase a novel audio-based design

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Myles Bugbee@MylesBugbee·18 Mar

For the political ad nerds: the poison parasite counter in action. This ad effectively scores a double hit, introducing negative information to voters while undermining the opponent's main branding device pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/34592110/

Frank Calabrese@FrankCalabrese

NEW: Juliana Stratton’s campaign launches a sharp anti Raja Krishnamoorthi commercial, saying he took millions from Trump donors and crypto. And of course, attacking him for voting to thank ICE. #ILSen

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Yamil Ricardo Velez@YamilRVelez·9 Mar

Conditionally accepted at the APSR (w/ @scottclifford & @patrickpliu): Why does political information so often change beliefs but NOT attitudes? We highlight the role of belief relevance, or the extent to which beliefs bear on attitudes.

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Jonathan Robinson@jon_m_rob·16 Mar

Provocative (research-based) conclusion from innovative & well-connected Dem opinion research outfit Tavern Research. Audio is, on average, now more important than video content in political advertisements. Worth replicating by grad students, etc (esp now w/ AI video gen tools)

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Kevin Roose@kevinroose·14 Oca

By popular request, I'm making Stash, my vibecoded read-later app, public so you can download and use it yourself: kevinroose.com/stash/ Enjoy the fruits of my (Claude's) labor!

Kevin Roose@kevinroose

Claude Code is so good. I built a Pocket clone over the break and it kept adding new features (TTS read-alouds, video summaries, spaced repetition emails, Kindle sync, etc.) and now I have a perfect external brain? From like 12 prompts? How does any app developer survive this?

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Senator Andy Kim@SenatorAndyKim·8 Ara

A few weeks ago, my dad was diagnosed with Alzheimer’s. I won’t lie—it's been incredibly challenging for me and my family. Now, I’m embarking on a journey to answer the questions so many of us face when it comes to providing care for our loved ones. I hope you’ll join me.

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Senator Reverend Raphael Warnock@SenatorWarnock·21 Eki

Truth. @PaulNoth

Senator Reverend Raphael Warnock tweet media

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Myles Bugbee@MylesBugbee·26 Haz

@davidshor @ZohranKMamdani There's evidence that R practitioners have also picked up on this. At a recent political industry conference, a GOP consultant noted that the Moreno campaign in Ohio prioritized :15s to increase the volume of impressions delivered to primary targets.

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David Shor@davidshor·26 Haz

Traditionally there's been a quant/qual split on ad length in Democratic politics, with [usually more moderate] quants pushing for shorter 15 second ads and [usually more progressive] qual folks pushing for 60 second ads. Great to see @ZohranKMamdani sided with the nerds!

David Shor@davidshor

@ksusys @bhtyson @mattyglesias @cwarshaw Yes - treatment effects are generally proportional to log of length but cost is mostly linear except on the very low end (precisely because of the log). You see this in industry where most of the action has moved to 15 second and even six second ads as measurement has improved.

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Derek Thompson@DKThomp·18 Mar

Three years ago, I published my "abundance agenda" essay. Today, ABUNDANCE, the book I co-wrote with @ezraklein, comes out. This morning's adaptation, published in The Atlantic, is my distillation of our theory of abundance vs. Donald Trump's personal politics of scarcity

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Senator Ruben Gallego@SenRubenGallego·14 Mar

Why I’m voting NO on the Republican spending bill

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Senator Mark Kelly@SenMarkKelly·4 Şub

Dismantling USAID is dangerous.

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U.S. Senator Bill Cassidy, M.D.@SenBillCassidy·4 Şub

PEPFAR is the epitome of soft power. It is a Republican initiative, it is pro-life, pro-America and the most popular U.S. program in Africa. There’s even a waiver acknowledging this, yet I’m told that drugs are still being withheld at clinics in Africa. This must be reversed immediately!!

U.S. Senator Bill Cassidy, M.D. tweet media

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DCCC@dccc·4 Ara

#CA13 FLIPS BLUE! @AdamGrayCA is a native son of the Valley who understands firsthand the issues that families in his district care about most, and he's going to bring his track record of service and bipartisanship to the halls of Congress. Congrats, Congressman-elect!

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Nicholas Stephanopoulos@ProfNickStephan·19 Kas

These are excellent ideas that should be studied closely (especially in the context of the U.S. House). It’s also highly encouraging to see Democratic *moderates* — the pivotal votes for such reform in a future Congress — leading the conversation.

Katherine Swartz@kv_swartz

NEW: Fresh off re-election wins, MGP and Jared Golden have proposed a bipartisan task force to reform elections. Proposals on the table: ⁃Open primaries ⁃Multi-member districts ⁃Increasing House membership beyond 435 notus.org/congress/blue-…

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Andy Kim@AndyKimNJ·7 Kas

We’re on an unsustainable trajectory as a nation if we don’t address this distrust. On election night I said “I believe the opposite of democracy is apathy.” I still believe we can heal the country and restore trust and integrity to public service. Let’s get to work. END

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Ben Wikler@benwikler·7 Kas

The red wave hit this year: a ~6% national swing to Trump, from 2020 margins. In Wisconsin, thousands of heroes pulled the swing down to 1.5%. More D votes statewide & in 46 counties. Tammy Baldwin won. Huge wins in the state legislature. Deeply grateful to all—it mattered. 🧵

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Derek Wakefield@DerekJWakefield·7 Kas

So it seems my forthcoming paper is especially relevant. Some takeaways: 1) Latino Democrats/Republicans are partisans 2) Latino independents vote for whoever talks about the economy 3) Republicans emphasized economics in Latino outreach while Dems emphasized race/immigration

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Jonathan Robinson@jon_m_rob·7 Kas

Dan Osborn was able to generate John Tester levels of incumbency advantage merely by eschewing the Democratic label and moderating. Powerful stuff

Andrew Prokop@awprokop

Good @DKarol point. Divide the above numbers by two to get the D vote share difference (rather than margin difference). MT: Harris at 38%, Tester at 45% (+7) NE: Harris at 39%, Osborn at 46% (+7) AZ: Harris at 47%, Gallego at 50% (+3) etc. x.com/DKarol/status/…

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Jon Tester@jontester·7 Kas

Thank you, Montana. Serving as your senator was the honor of my lifetime. This is the greatest state in the greatest country in the world and I’ll always be proud to call Montana my home.

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Jonathan Robinson@jon_m_rob·7 Kas

I don't think you'll find a bigger @Catalist_US & @yghitza post-election analysis stan than me, but I'm going to allow myself to have a little AP Votecast...as a treat. Scraped JSONs of both '20 & '24 & will be updating them. You can do stuff like...this. tiny.cc/APV_FNA_24_20_…

John Sides@johnmsides

I cannot say this enough: - Early exits are not suitable for demographic analysis or comparisons. - AP/Votecast is still preliminary -- should be adjusted for final vote counts. - We don't have Catalist. Or Pew validated voters. It's just too early to have confident takes!

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Keşfet

@patrickpliu @ScottClifford @PaulNoth @davidshor @ZohranKMamdani @ezraklein @AdamGrayCA @elonmusk