NFW

83 posts

NFW

NFW

@NFW987

Katılım Nisan 2026
14 Takip Edilen9 Takipçiler
NFW
NFW@NFW987·
@oguzerkan Sorry are you saying that Ken griffin is Wall Street? That’s the most confusing part of this tweet. Citadel =\= “Wall Street”. Very very different things
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Oguz Erkan
Oguz Erkan@oguzerkan·
Ken Griffin says AI is the most overhyped tech cycle he has ever seen. Most of Wall Street still doesn't understand where we are headed. They aren't aware that there'll be no more manual coding. They aren't aware that somebody made a cancer vaccine for his dog using AI. They aren't aware that somebody created a billion-dollar company completely alone, using just AI tools. They still don't see the potential and where we are headed.
Big Brain AI@realBigBrainAI

Citadel CEO Ken Griffin on why the AI boom might be the most overhyped tech cycle we have ever seen: This year alone, data center spending in the United States is projected to exceed $500 billion. And Griffin wants to know what all of that money is actually buying. "You're not going to generate this kind of spend unless you're going to make a promise. You're going to profoundly change the world." In his view, the scale of the capital commitment demands the scale of the promise. And when the promise has to be that big, hype becomes inevitable. "Is it hype? Of course." Griffin isn't arguing that AI is worthless. He sees real impact in certain areas like call centers and software engineering. But for the broader white collar workforce, he's far less convinced. He points to a recent Harvard paper that coined the term "AI work slop." It looks impressive on the surface, but falls apart the moment you look closer. He saw it firsthand inside Citadel. A colleague running their commodities business handed him a report generated by an AI engine. "The first few sentences like, 'Wow, that's really insightful.' And then you go down below that and it's all garbage." For Griffin, this is the defining tension of the current AI cycle. The industry needs to promise transformation to justify the investment. But the actual productivity gains, for most jobs, haven't shown up yet. We have seen this pattern before. Transformative technology attracting massive capital well ahead of proven results. When the hype finally settles, will AI have actually changed anything at all?

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NFW@NFW987·
@LeylaKuni Wow first you proved you don’t understand private credit, now you’re showing that you don’t know how secondaries markets work either. What’s next??
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Leyla
Leyla@LeylaKuni·
Global zombie fund AUM is likely at $1 trillion at this point. Secondary market pricing: - Funds less than 5 years old are priced at an average of 95% of NAV. - Tail-end funds more than ten years old are priced at 73% of NAV. All links here: accreditedinsight.com/p/1t-in-pe-zom…
Leyla tweet media
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NFW@NFW987·
@tyillc Gaslighting prick. You actually have no clue where to find facts or what most of your own investments even are. You think somebody’s stamp of approval is a fact and not an opinion, and you don’t even know how to read a filing to confirm (or what filing to even read)Scam Artistry
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Richard Field
Richard Field@tyillc·
No place in our exchange of tweets have I remotely confused the buy side with "Wall Street" ... When I observed Wall Street prefers to sell high margin, opaque products over low margin, transparent products anyone who works in finance immediately knows the reference to Wall Street refers to the sell side of the Wall Street firms ... But you are right we need to end this exchange ... I will leave you with this observation from the late Senator Moynihan: everyone is entitled to their opinion, but they are not entitled to their own facts ... our exchange clearly reveals you have a preference for your opinion over facts ... And with that, it is time to mute you ... good luck with your Private Credit investments ...
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NFW@NFW987·
@tyillc The fact that you think the buy side is “wall street” says everything I need to know. Guarantee you’ve never read a prospectus or even know where to find them. Or what commercial paper is (hint it’s in your dumb etf that you promote). Good luck out there bud
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Richard Field
Richard Field@tyillc·
The #TransparencyLabelInitiative doesn't provide a "stamp of approval" and say an investment is a good investment ... the presence of its label indicates the issuer discloses the info investors need to know what they own ... Saying you are an institutional investor isn't particularly impressive ... institutional investors showed in 2008 they were perfectly capable of losing hundreds of billions investing in opaque subprime mortgage related securities where they Trusted Wall Street's valuation story without the info needed to Verify if it was true or not ...
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NFW@NFW987·
@tyillc You don’t understand anything. It’s hilarious. There’s no chance you understand what the securities are in your 3% yield etf (which btw is the least efficient way imaginable to own fixed income). I’m an institutional investor and don’t need hacks providing a stamp of approval
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Richard Field
Richard Field@tyillc·
In 2007, the rating firms testified before Congress and said no one should trust their ratings as they provide ratings because they are paid and so rate securities even in the absence of the necessary information. Since you aren't a client of the #TransparencyLabelInitiative I am certain you have no idea if the Initiative attaches its label indicating an investor can know what they own to all, some or none of the AAA rated short duration ETFs ...
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NFW@NFW987·
@AKAZmarin @BarbarianCap He’s super astute! I bet he can almost pronounce “prospectus” and “unitranche” correctly!
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Norfman
Norfman@AKAZmarin·
@NFW987 @BarbarianCap Bob from Iowa can see that the regional sandwich chain backed by the BDC is a giant pile of garbage.
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NFW@NFW987·
@ramit The paperclip guy from Word pops up when you open your brokerage account and tells you. He hasn’t visited you yet?
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Ramit Sethi
Ramit Sethi@ramit·
How will you know when you have enough money?
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NFW@NFW987·
@toddsaunders @BillAckman lol sounds like you’re gearing up for another funding round. Great way to butter up some of the cap table. Bravo
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Todd Saunders
Todd Saunders@toddsaunders·
I know nothing about this situation but Table was an investor in Broadlume and they were incredible to work with. I got the chance to personally meet with @BillAckman 1x/year and it was always a pleasure and value add. Can't say enough good things about him and the team we worked with.
Bill Ackman@BillAckman

I am reaching out to the @X community for advice with the likely risk of sharing TMI. I have been sufficiently upset about the whole matter that I have lost sleep thinking about it and I am hoping that this post will enable me to get this matter off my chest. By way of background, I started a family office called TABLE about 15 years ago and hired a friend who had previously managed a family office, and years earlier, had been my personal accountant. She is someone that I trusted implicitly and consider to be a good person. The office started small, but over the last decade, the number of personnel and the cost of the office grew massively. The growth was entirely on the operational side as the investment team has remained tiny. While my investment portfolio grew substantially, the investments I had made were almost entirely passive and TABLE simply needed to account for them and meet capital calls as they came in. While TABLE purchased additional software and other systems that were supposed to improve productivity, the team kept increasing in size at a rapid rate, and the expenses continued to grow even faster. While I would periodically question the growing expenses and high staff turnover, I stayed uninvolved with the office other than a once-a-year meeting when I briefly reviewed the operations and the financials and determined bonus compensation for the President and the CFO. I spent no time with any of the other employees or the operations. The whole idea behind TABLE was that it would handle everything other than my day job so that I would have more time for my job and my family. Over the last six years, expenses ballooned even further, employee turnover accelerated, and I became concerned that all was not well at TABLE. It was time for me to take a look at what was going on. Nearly four years ago, I recruited my nephew who had recently graduated from Harvard and put him to work at Bremont, a British watchmaker, one of my only active personal investments to figure out the issues at the company and ultimately assist in executing a turnaround. He did a superb job. When he returned from the UK late last year after a few years at Bremont, I asked him to help me figure out what was going on with TABLE. When I explained to TABLE’s president what he would be doing, she became incredibly defensive, which naturally made me more concerned. My nephew went to work by first meeting with each employee to understand their roles at the company and to learn from them what ideas they had on how things could be improved. He got an earful. Our first step in helping to turn around TABLE was a reduction in force including the president and about a third of the team, retaining excellent talent that had been desperate for new leadership. Now here is where I need your advice. All but one of the employees who were terminated acted professionally and were gracious on the way out (excluding the president who had a notice period in her contract, is currently still being paid, and with whom I have not yet had a discussion). The highest compensated terminated employee other than the president, an in-house lawyer (let’s call her Ronda), told us that three months of severance was not enough and demanded two years’ severance despite having worked at the company for only two and one half years. When I learned of Ronda's request for severance, I offered to speak with her to understand what she was thinking, but she refused to do so. A few days ago, we received a threatening letter from a Silicon Valley law firm. In the letter, Ronda’s counsel suggests that her termination is part of longstanding issues of ‘harassment and gender discrimination’ – an interesting claim in light of the fact that Ronda was in charge of workplace compliance – and that her termination was due to: “unlawful, retaliatory, and harmful conduct directed towards her. Both [Ronda] and I [Ronda’s lawyer] have spoken with you about [Ronda’s] view of what a reasonable resolution would include given the circumstances. Thus far, TABLE has refused to provide any substantive response. This letter provides the last opportunity to reach a satisfactory agreement. If we cannot do so, [Ronda] will seek all appropriate relief in a court of competent jurisdiction.” The letter goes on to explain the basis for the “unsafe work environment” claim at TABLE: “In early 2026, Pershing Square’s founder Bill Ackman installed his nephew in an unidentified role at TABLE, Ackman’s family office. [His nephew]—whose only work experience had been for TABLE where he was seconded abroad for the last four years to a UK watch company held by Ackman—began appearing at TABLE’s offices and conducting interviews of employees without a clear explanation of his role or the purposes of these interviews. During this period, he made a series of inappropriate and genderbased [sic] comments to multiple employees that created an unsafe work environment. Among other things, [his nephew] made remarks about female employees’ ages (“Tell me you are nowhere near 40”), physical appearance (“Your body does not look like you have kids”), as well as intrusive questions about family planning and sexual orientation (“Who carried your son? Who will carry your next child?”). These incidents were reported to senior leadership at TABLE and Pershing Square. Rather than being addressed appropriately, the response from senior management reflected, at best, willful blindness to the inappropriateness of [his nephew]’s remarks and, at worst, tacit endorsement.” The above allegations about my nephew had previously been brought to my attention by TABLE’s president when they occurred. When I learned of them, I told the president that I would speak to him directly and encouraged her to arrange for him to get workplace sensitivity training. The president assured me that she would do so. When I spoke to my nephew, he explained what he actually had said and how his actual remarks had been received, not at all as alleged in the legal letter from Ronda’s counsel. I have also spoken to others at the lunch table who confirmed his description of the facts. In any case, he meant no harm, was simply trying to build rapport with other employees, and no one, as far as I understand, was offended. Ironically, Ronda claims in her legal letter that TABLE didn’t take HR compliance seriously, yet Ronda was in charge of HR compliance at TABLE and the person who gave my nephew his workplace sensitivity training after the alleged incidents. In any case, Ronda, as head of compliance, should have kept a record or raised an alarm if indeed there was pervasive harassment or other such problems at the company, and there is no evidence whatsoever that this is true. So why does Ronda believe she can get me to pay her nearly $2 million, i.e., two years of severance, nearly one year of severance for each of her years at the company? Well, here is where some more background would be helpful. Over the last two months, I have been consumed with a major family medical issue – one of my older daughters had a massive brain hemorrhage on February 5th and has since been making progress on her recovery – and I am in the midst of a major transaction for my company which I am executing from a hospital room office next to her . While the latter business matter is publicly known, the details of my daughter’s situation are only known to Ronda because of her role at our family office. Now, let’s get back to the subject at hand. Unfortunately, while New York and many other states have employment-at-will, there has emerged an industry of lawyers who make a living from bringing fake gender, race, LGBTQ and other discrimination employment claims in order to extract larger severance payments for terminated employees, and it needs to stop. The fake claim system succeeds because it costs little to have a lawyer send a threatening letter and nearly all of the lawyers in this field work on contingency so there is no or minimal cash cost to bring a claim. And inevitably, nearly 100% of these claims are settled because the public relations and legal costs of defending them exceed the dollar cost of the settlement. The claims are nearly always settled with a confidentiality agreement where the employee who asserts the fake claims remains anonymous and as a result, there is no reputational cost to bringing false claims. The consequences of this sleazy system (let’s call it ‘the System’) are the increased costs of doing business which is a tax on the economy and society. There are other more serious problems due to the System. Unfortunately, the existence of an industry of plaintiff firms and terminated employees willing to make these claims makes it riskier for companies to hire employees from a protected class, i.e., LGBTQ, seniors, women, people of color etc. because it is that much more reputationally damaging and expensive to be accused of racism, sexism, and/or intolerance for sexual diversity than for firing a white male as juries generally have less sympathy for white males. The System therefore increases the risk of discrimination rather than reducing it, and the people bringing these fake claims are thereby causing enormous harm to the other members of these protected classes. So what happened here? Ronda was vastly overpaid and overqualified for the job that she did at TABLE. She was paid $1.05 million plus benefits last year for her work which was largely comprised of filling out subscription agreements and overseeing an outside law firm on closing passive investments in funds and in private and venture stage companies, some compliance work, and managing the office move from one office to another. She had a very good gig as she was highly paid, only had to go into the office three days a week, and could work from anywhere during the summer. Once my nephew showed up and started to investigate what was going on, she likely concluded that there was a reasonable possibility she would be terminated, as her job was in the too-easy-and-to-good-to-be-true category. The problem was that she was not in a protected class due to her race, age or sexual identity so she had to construct the basis for a claim. While she is female and could in theory bring a gender-based discrimination claim, she reported to the president who is female and to whom she is very close, which makes it difficult for her to bring a harassment claim against her former boss. When my nephew complimented a TABLE employee at lunch about how young she looked – in response to saying she was going to her 40-year-old sister’s birthday party, he said ‘she must be your older sister’ – Ronda immediately reported it to our external HR lawyer. She thereby began building her case. The other problem for Ronda bringing a claim is that she was terminated alongside 30% of other TABLE employees as part of a restructuring so it is very difficult for her to say that she was targeted in her termination or was retaliated against. TABLE is now hiring an external fractional general counsel as that is all the company needs to process the relatively limited amount of legal work we do internally. In short, Ronda was eminently qualified and capable and did her job. She was just too much horsepower for what is largely an administrative legal role so she had to come up with something else to bring a claim. Now Ronda knew I was a good target and it was a good time to bring a claim against me. She also knew that I was under a lot of pressure because on March 4th when Ronda was terminated, my daughter had not yet emerged from consciousness, she was not yet breathing on her own, and my daughter and we were fighting for her life. I was and remain deeply engaged in her recovery while at the same time I was working on finishing the closing for the private placement round for my upcoming IPO. Ronda also knew that publicity about supposed gender discrimination and a “hostile and unsafe work environment” are not things that a CEO of a company about to go public wants to have released into the media. And she may have thought that the nearly $2 million she was asking for would be considered small in the context of the reputational damage a lawsuit could cause, regardless of the fact that two years of severance was an absurd amount for an employee who had only worked at TABLE for 30 months. She also likely considered that I wouldn’t want to embarrass my nephew by dragging him into the klieg lights when her claims emerged publicly. So, in summary, game theory would say that I would certainly settle this case, for why would I risk negative publicity at a time when I was preparing our company to go public and also risk embarrassing my nephew. Notably, she hired a Silicon Valley law firm, rather than a typical NY employment firm. This struck me as interesting as her husband works for one of the most prominent Silicon Valley venture firms whose CEO, I am sure, has no tolerance for these kinds of fake claims that sadly many venture-backed companies also have to deal with. I mention this as I suspect her husband likely has been working with her on the strategy for squeezing me as, in addition to being a computer scientist, he is a game theorist. My only advice for him is to understand more about your opponent before you launch your first move. All of the above said, gender, race, LGBTQ and other such discrimination is a real thing. Many people have been harmed and deserve compensation for this discrimination, and these companies and individuals should be punished for engaging in such behavior. Which brings me to the advice I am seeking from the X community. I am not planning to follow the typical path and settle this ‘claim.’ Rather, I am going to fight this nonsense to the end of the earth in the hope that it inspires other CEOs to do the same so we shut down this despicable behavior that is a large tax on society, employment, and the economy and contributes to workplace discrimination rather than reducing it. Do you agree or disagree that this is the right approach?

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NFW@NFW987·
@NickNemo17 Dude just hang it up. A&L is easily managed, unlike property and casuality. You’re making up ghosts when you have no clue about the underlying industry. Yet again
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NFW@NFW987·
@askjussi If you think a 5 cap is the right number in a 4-5% rate environment, boy have I got some things to sell you
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Jussi Askola, CFA
Jussi Askola, CFA@askjussi·
Apartment REITs today trade at higher cap rates than private real estate. Public markets: ~6-7% Private markets: ~4.5-5.5% That gap rarely lasts. Either private values fall… or REITs go up.
Jussi Askola, CFA tweet media
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NFW@NFW987·
@StevenSattem @ronhung @BoringBiz_ Ain’t no chance Joe from down the street is taking my company for free when I have to loan him 90% of the value and be subject to his leadership vs mine. Nor Timmy the recent MBA trying to make a search fund…Market and sellers would be massively worse off
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NFW@NFW987·
@ronhung @BoringBiz_ Why is it a problem that someone will buy your business vs no one buying it? Joe from down the street can’t write you a $25mm check to take over your business
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Ron Hung
Ron Hung@ronhung·
The real problem isn't PE. It's that for most small business owners, PE is the only exit that exists. You build something for 30 years. You're ready to be done. Who shows up with a check? PE. Because they actually built the infrastructure to find you and close. Meanwhile nobody else even knows your business is for sale. Make it easier for search funds and local operators to acquire and PE stops being the default. Right now it's the villain because it's the only one in the room.
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NFW@NFW987·
@TaxAlphaInsider This info already exists from the GPs. It’s the core part of investor diligence. Everyone who needs this info already has access to it…most people on twitter don’t even qualify to invest in these things…
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Brent Sullivan
Brent Sullivan@TaxAlphaInsider·
Tax-aware long/short (130/30, 250/150, etc.) strategies receive dividends on the longs and make payments in lieu of dividends on the shorts. How are they taxed? Long dividends are taxed at long-term rates if the underlying is held for 61 of 121 days surrounding the ex date. Short positions (common stock, normal dividends) remit dividends via payments in lieu to the lender, and if held open for more than 45 days, become investment interest expense, an itemized deduction at ordinary rates, otherwise the payment is plowed into the basis of the covering shares when the short is closed. The value of the itemized deduction obviously assumes the taxpayer itemizes, and has sufficient income to offset. Today's blog is all about the taxation of long/short dividends, including what custodians are required to track and what they're not. *Educational material. Not tax advice. Hire an adviser for personalized guidance.
Brent Sullivan tweet media
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