NazeeMoinian

On the 46th anniversary of the revolution that unleashed political Islam, ousted a strong American ally, and changed the ME and the national security imperatives of western countries and Israel a simple thread as to what happened and why:

“We don’t have a partner for PEACE in Iran.” Nazee Moinian says those in power are committed to preserving the regime. “They don’t share Western values — and any agreement they sign isn’t worth anything.”

Congratulations on the 1st anniversary of Iran Breakdown. @mdubowitz smart and engaging conversations on all things Iran. Episode Feb 13 @CharlieLaderman and I compare communist Poland to Islamic Iran, with a deep dive into Iran history. Are there any lessons to be learned?

The audacity of calling yourself "the voice of Iranians" when there are tens of thousands who have forever lost their voice to bullets, and tens of millions who are held hostage to the fear of reprisals. @margbrennan

@miadmaleki What is the escape route for the people who live on Kharg?

1/4 Great question. The pipelines from mainland fields (Ahvaz, Marun, Gachsaran) to Kharg aren’t an escape route; they’re the dependency. Kharg doesn’t produce much oil itself; it receives it from the mainland via pipeline and loads it onto supertankers. Control Kharg, you control the exit valve for ~90% of Iran’s exports.

@mdubowitz @FDD Well deserved!

I’m overwhelmed with the hundreds of messages of support for @FDD’s work that I’m getting from Iranians from all over the world. Thank you 🙏 🇮🇷

#Kharg island is the hub of Iran’s oil exports and is considered sacrosanct in its oil industry. @POTUS kept the oil facilities intact “for reasons of decency” but ordered bombing of its military/missile structures. For now, US has messaging, military and escalation dominance

@therealBehnamBT Taeb

Genuinely curious besides Mojtaba, Larijani, Vahidi, and Ghalibaf, who USG is thinking of here, unless they mean institutions (SNSC, IRGC…)

According to senior Israeli officials, Iran has laid mines in the southern parts of the #Strait so it can force ships to pass closer to Iran’s munitions. The Countries that have open safe passage: Russia, China, Pakistan and Spain.

@mdubowitz @FDD Bernard is a super star!

Honored to welcome Bernard Haykel to the @FDD team as a senior fellow. One of the foremost experts on Saudi Arabia and the Gulf, he is a professor at Princeton. He is completing a book, titled “The Realm: MBS and the Transformation of Saudi Arabia.”fdd.org/team/bernard-h…

@Amine72607085 I am so sorry you are so misguided. I don’t come from money. I paid for myself tutoring English and math since 13. The Iranian civil society under the Shah was upwardly mobile but humble. Perhaps lessen your hate and address your confusion. I have no enmity towards you.

@NazeeMoinian @FoxNews You left Iran in 1979 because your rich family lost its power and the poor people of Iran took it back. You're not Iranian anymore and you will never be back.

We left Iran in 1979 fully thinking that we will go back. I grew up with a longing for the country that held so much promise and yet had so much heartache. My story as an Iranian/American and an analyst @FoxNews. radio.foxnews.com/2026/03/07/aft…

Clarification: Mojtaba Khamenei is the new leader of the old Iran. @POTUS and Iranians want a new leader for the new Iran. There’s time for that.

There’s an honorific title for a brave Iranian woman “SHIR-ZAN” a Lioness. A woman who protects herself, family, community and country at all costs. (👇🏻video) 5 Iranian female footballers in Australia have defected against all odds. Thanks @POTUS who has offered them asylum.

@AlinejadMasih She was awesome. A true lioness!

A speech at the UN today by one of my heroes, Iranian national football player Shiva Amini, brought tears to my eyes. She spoke about how Iran’s regime threatens female athletes even with rape, simply for competing freely, playing against Israeli teams, or refusing compulsory hijab. And now we see it again. Five players from Iran’s women’s national team had to flee their hotel in Australia and seek police protection just for refusing to sing the regime’s anthem. Imagine that. Playing football can make you an enemy of the state. Everyone needs to hear @Shiva_amini_11 and be the voice of athletes who have been killed or those who were still in prison. In Iran.

@AmitSegal He may already be dead.

Trump to his aides: I will support the assassination of Mojtaba Khamenei if he refuses to give up the nuclear program (Wall Street Journal)

@AlirezaNader @dannydanon @MarjanKg @UN Under #Jihadism the WORLD looks pretty dark, not just Tehran.

@NazeeMoinian @dannydanon @MarjanKg @UN I hope so. It looks pretty dark right now.

Today at the United Nations, I hosted the lionesses of Iran, including Raheleh Amiri, Shiva Amini, @NazeeMoinian and @MarjanKg On this International Women’s Day, I call on the world not to remain silent: While the regime in Tehran threatens the world and spreads terror, it also shoots brave citizens who seek freedom. The international community cannot continue to ignore these crimes.

@AlirezaNader @dannydanon @MarjanKg 💔 As my co-panelist who lost an eye to regime’s bullets said today at the @UN “light will beat darkness.”

@dannydanon @NazeeMoinian @MarjanKg Tehran

Honored to have been invited to speak on the history of women’s rights initiated and expanded by the #Shah in 1963, and their subsequent struggle once Khomeini came to power in 1979. We can all learn from the bravery, sacrifice and endurance of #Iranian lionesses. @PahlaviReza

Maybe they anticipated exactly this but concluded that trying to weaken the regime at a future date will incur much more costs to American and Iranian lives and livelihood. Right now the clerics are on their toes. A future attack could have them in their seats drinking tea and sweets and threatening a nuclear retaliation. What to do then?

All the adverse consequences of US-Israeli war in Iran were easily foreseeable: Tehran's retaliation vs Gulf states; threat to Amcits; elevation of Mojtaba; oil price spike; disproportionate impact on Iranian civilians. How did the Trump admin fail to anticipate & plan for this?

Agreed. Mojtaba does not represent a break from the past. It’s a continuation of the same regime but more theologically and militarily entrenched. Khamenei the father was a Hojat ol Islam. Also a “light weight” in Trump speak who under the halo of an Ayatollah and the protection of the IRGC “gained” legitimacy. The Islamic regime doesn’t want a leader it wants a wax. They already have the mold.

.@AlanEyre1 You are mistaken on both the facts and the interpretation. What we are witnessing is not “regime change.” It is the continuation, indeed the natural evolution, of the same regime that has ruled Iran since 1979. First, the supposed break with the “theological” nature of the system is not new. The Islamic Republic has always been a hybrid in which clerical legitimacy masks the power of security institutions, especially the IRGC. The Guards have been the regime’s real enforcement arm for decades. What we are seeing now is simply that reality becoming more explicit, not a structural transformation. Second, the argument about religious credentials is historically weak. When Ali Khamenei was elevated to Supreme Leader after the death of Ruhollah Khomeini in 1989, he himself lacked the clerical rank and scholarly standing that the constitution originally required. The system simply changed the rules to accommodate him. In other words, the regime has already shown that theological credentials are flexible when political survival demands it. Calling this “regime change” therefore misunderstands what is happening. If anything, such language risks giving the regime exactly what it wants: an off-ramp narrative that suggests transformation without actually dismantling the system. It creates the illusion of change so the war or international pressure can wind down.