Nik Sheehan
686 posts

Nik Sheehan
@NikSheehan
Filmmaker, writer, friend of the Earth. https://t.co/kNHMrkvtDq Portrait by Vince Mancuso.


There are moments in war that pierce through the abstractions of strategy and power. The sinking of the Iranian warship Dena in the vast expanse of the Indian Ocean is one such moment. A ship far from its home waters, sailors far from their families, suddenly consigned to the deep, dark silence of the sea. Whatever the legality of war, the image is haunting: young men swallowed by an ocean that knows nothing of geopolitics. The Indian Ocean has always been, for me, a space of memory, trade, music, and human exchange — not a graveyard of sailors lost to distant rivalries. That an Iranian vessel returning from naval exercises could meet such a fate so far from its shores feels like something from another age, almost like a War of the Worlds moment where the machinery of war intrudes upon the human world with brutal indifference. One cannot help but think of the families waiting for news that will never come, of the letters unwritten, of lives ended beneath cold waters thousands of miles from home. Strategy may justify such acts. Law may permit them. But the ocean keeps its own counsel. It reminds us that every war, however rationalised, leaves behind human sorrow in its wake. The question lingers uneasily: for what purpose were these lives lost in the depths of a faraway sea? #IndianOcean #WarAndHumanity #RememberTheSailors


@jonkay Have you ever enjoyed a work of art in your life -- a poem, a novel, a movie? Or is everything just culture war polemics to you?







I am finding it quite funny that so many non-academics who obviously, at the time, misinterpreted Carney’s Davos speech in the same hopeful way I did — as him professing he’d stand up to a bully, not simply focus purely on pragmatic self-interest for Canada — are now pretending they knew the true nature of the speech all along. We got duped, folks. We heard what we wanted to hear, not what he actually intended. That may have been his intent. It’s okay to admit it.


I really want people to see the story above the story here, which is that whether you're reading Citrini, or listening to Jamie Dimon at a cocktial party, the conversation about AI is a marketplace of competing science fiction narratives. That's not to say I think the technology is a parlor trick. But rather that the level of uncertainty is so high, and the quality and supply of real-world, real-time information about AI's macroeconomic effects so paltry, that very serious conversations about AI are often more literary than genuinely analytical. And I think that observation sets up another important point: I feel lucky to be able to have conversations about the frontier of AI with executives and builders at frontier labs; economists at AI conferences; investors in AI; and other AI folks at off-the-record dinners where important truths can theoretically be shared without risk. I can't emphasize enough that "nobody knows anything" is about as close to the reality here as three words are going to get you. Nobody what's going to happen this year, or next year, or the year after that. There is no secret cigar-filled room of people who have unique access to some authentic postcard from the future. When you drill down underneath the bluster, the boosterism, the fear, the anxiety, what's there at the bottom is genuine uncertainty, a vacuum into which storytelling is flooding. The frontier labs don't really know what they're building exactly, and economists don't really know how to model the thing they claim they're building (genuine recursively self-improving AI agency isn't really analogous to something we know about). I wish more people talked about and thought about this subject thru that sort of lens: We're trying to model the economy-wide effects of a technology whose properties the frontier labs can't even really describe yet. Whatever you think about AI today, be prepared to change your mind soon.


@EricIdle Weird, because I have always found you guys creasingly funny but this- I think you need to be British and I’m too Canadian










