Zed
14.2K posts


This is why I don't just watch the index.
$XLE Energy has been grinding higher all year. A big part of that? Oil spiking on geopolitical risk. That's been the fuel.
$XLF Financials, the opposite. Broke its trendline, selling off hard, sitting near the lows.
The question worth asking: when this oil spike runs its course, does money rotate back into financials? Because that's the kind of sector rotation trade most people don't see coming until it's already happened.

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Gold is being sold not because it's no longer a safe haven, and not because the macro is bad. No, Gold is only being sold because leveraged funds are getting margin called, and want to sell their best performing and most liquid Gold asset to cover their losses. The last time this happened in 2020 COVID, Gold saw new highs within 3 months. Just sayin'.
GIF
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$USO
Basically the current US Administration is acting like pirates stealing oil already contracted to some party and using the way they want. Another great move!
gulfnews.com/business/energ…
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Zed retweetledi

@SProcissi32298 @GiovanniZibordi esatto. E come al solito gli amici del buffone sostengono la borsa che rimane unico dato positivo di una presidenza da vomito
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@GiovanniZibordi La scarsità (che c'è, eccome) non c'entra una palla, è una grave crisi di liquidità, si vendono "alla disperata" gli asset più spendibili per coprire le gigantesche perdite accumulate a seguito dei ribassi sui mercati occorsi a causa della guerra in Medio-Oriente...
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@TaviCosta all maturing t-bills will be invested in precious metals. We will see
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The selloff in silver over the past 15 days has been one of the most extreme moves we’ve seen in history.
Only two other episodes are comparable:
One marked a major peak, the other a major bottom.
Personally, I have never seen a true peak in precious metals under conditions like these:
· Supply historically constrained
· The capex cycle still near record lows
· Large new discoveries virtually nonexistent
· Stagnant production
· No meaningful new projects coming online
More importantly, the entire industry still represents only ~1% of global equity markets.
Let’s dive into a few ideas:
tavicosta.substack.com/p/gold-time-to…

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@icooperTrades quite weird today crude ended at the lows but gold and usd sold!
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#Oil (or at least $WTI ) down 4.5% today and currently right at the $95 support level. I started my short last night at just under $100 and now looking to see if it can break down from this $95 level.
I still like the triple negative divergence, bear flag formation and peak fear in the media.
BUT, this is a volatile asset in a war so it could still spike up and I will add if it gets towards $120.
Below, I would probably take profits at around $85 if it gets there.
#USoil #Brent #Crude

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@SKmacro @michaellebowitz people do not have any idea about what's happening
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Narrative Laundering? @grok any evidence of this? We were told #GOLD was a safe haven!? 😆
Most people aren't aware that the MIDDLE EAST is a key DISTRIBUTION POINT for PHYSICAL GOLD
Traders in London are dumping because they can't receive the physical delivery with #War
If you KNOW GOLD market you would've figured this out
The dumping is rampid
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