@LordOfTardaria Isn’t espn fpi what strength of schedule/strength of record calculated on? That would make it pretty important
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Trev
136 posts
Just for clarity sake, this isn't a ranking for those screaming and wailing about the SEC again.
This is a power rating based on future projections and who would be the favorite if they played on a neutal field.
It serves quite literally no purpose and has no ties to any sort of preseason ranking.
On3@On3
NEW: ESPN FPI ahead of the 2026 College Football Season📈📉 on3.com/news/college-f…
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NEW: NBC News projects AG Phil Weiser defeats Sen. Michael Bennet for the Democratic nomination for Colorado Governor.
Weiser will almost certainly be Colorado's next Governor as Coloradans have elected just one Republican Governor in 55 years.
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@ryanhammer09 The Midwest would have the best team, the third best team, the sixth best team, and a 23-3 4 seed. That would be the toughest region in history
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Interesting scenario: 7-seed St. Louis would be allowed to play in St. Louis in the first weekend because they aren't the host school and haven't played 3 games in that site's arena.
So hypothetically, the 2 seed in that region would have to play SLU in the 2nd round there.
Evan Miyakawa@EvanMiya
Last four in, from best to worst: Georgia, Miami OH, Missouri, Santa Clara First teams out, in alphabetical order (since we didn't rank them): New Mexico, Ohio State, San Diego State, TCU, UCLA
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@TheRealMrACL I’d rather see the undefeated or 1 loss team in the tourney than the 12th place sec team
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It sounds crazy, but despite being undefeated, I don't think Miami-Ohio will get an at large bid if they lose in their Conference Tourney, even if they remain undefeated in the regular season.
Their SoS is 305th out of 365 teams. Their best win (by far) is a 3-pt win vs Akron. The MAC is also down this year, 17th out of 31 Conferences in net power ranking.
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"It's the ticking off of our constitutional protections one by one." - Nick Wright
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@chrisfallica In 2016 Florida state finished ahead of Louisville and in 2022 Alabama finished ahead of Tennessee, so it would be the third time it happened not the first.
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Or zero, which is the number of times two p5 teams finished with identical records and the team which won the head-to-head in the regular season finished behind the team it beat in the final CFP Ranking.
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Time to find out what number will prove to be more accurate - the 11% number I saw for Miami's playoff chances at halftime of the Big 12 game...
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@MattNorlander @NicoleAuerbach I don’t think the mistake is doing these releases weekly, it makes sense for fans to want to know the current standings of their sport. It only seems like a mistake because the criteria the committee uses changes week by week, while college basketball’s committee is consistent.
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@NicoleAuerbach Doing like seven of these has been such an obvious mistake from the start.
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Given CFB's low number of data points, shouldn't tonight's penultimate CFP bracket reveal be the true *selection* show? Regular season's over. That way, a conf 🏆 game W can't help—but an L can't hurt a team's *inclusion* case. Next Sunday should be for seeding, not selection.
Nicole Auerbach@NicoleAuerbach
Biggest questions heading into tonight's CFP rankings: - Will Miami make a move? Will the win over Notre Dame actually, finally come into play? - How close will Texas get to the 12-team field? - How solid is Oklahoma's No. 8 spot?
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@BrooksAustinBA The two teams have identical resumes and identical records. The team that won the head to head matchup (even if it was in August cause it was still an equal part of the season) should be ranked ahead.
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Head to head matters.
So does context when the head to head was back in August.
Don’t know why that’s so hard to understand in regard to Notre Dame & Miami.
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@Juicy_J_713 Why even play the games if hypothetical results are more important than actual results? There was a year Penix’s Washington team beat Bo Nix’s Oregon team twice, and the Vegas lines and power rankings still said Oregon was better.
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That being said, I’ll provide an Olive Branch.
At their best, Miami can go toe to toe with anybody. They have the ingredients.
But that’s the difference. At ND’s worst they’re 3 points worse than Miami’s best on the road.
At Miami’s worst, Miami can repeatedly lose to unranked teams.
By the way - I’d apply the same to Bama and Oklahoma.
Bama is better than Oklahoma. They lost, but they’re better.
John Massingale@JohnMassingale4
This is very simple. The committee is saying that losing to two unranked teams is worse than losing to two highly ranked teams in the final seconds. It’s particularly emphasized when ND’s two losses were games 1 and 2 and they look better and Miami’s losses were in October or later and they look worse. Who you lost to and when you lost to them is the rationale they’re using. ND wins that battle. You may not like it, but that’s how they’re looking at this.
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@phila_fel @flasportsbuzz Then what is the deciding factor for ranking notre dame over Miami? They have nearly identical resumes. Why is notre dame so high and Miami so low?
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ACC has begun publicly lobbying for the obvious: Head to head should matter when 2 teams have the same record. The committee's failure to understand that is troubling
ACC Football@ACCFootball
Don't just take it from us.
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@bruce_straughan You know the notre dame over Miami argument is rock solid when we have to do whataboutism of a championship from 32 years and 2 playoff systems ago
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Booger believes Notre Dame is the rightful owner of the 1993 National Championship. Confirmed!
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@joewheat27 @GoCanes330 Notre Dame lost to Northern Illinois last year and still made the playoffs, so that clearly wasn’t the standard last year. The committee can’t just switch the standard to whatever helps Notre Dame
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@MilesGarrettTV Miami’s game control 10, Georgia techs game control 36th. Miami’s average win probability 5th, Georgia tech’s 30th. Georgia tech is lucky to not be lower in the rankings.
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Someone help me out here, why is Miami ranked ahead of Georgia Tech
CFP@CFBPlayoff
November 1️⃣1️⃣ College Football Playoff Selection Committee Rankings 1️⃣6️⃣. Georgia Tech // @GeorgiaTechFB #CFBPlayoff 🏈🏆
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@JaredHalusGT @CFBPlayoff Georgia tech has a strength of record of exactly 16th and is ranked … exactly 16th. They are fortunate to be ranked as high as they are. The other important resume stats are all outside the top 30.
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#GaTech should be appalled by their latest ranking in the @CFBPlayoff, and equally as disgusted with some of the teams in front of them.
The committee has made it very clear: Bigger brands can have mulligans, but the Jackets will have to go an extra mile.
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@J5_Sports1 Miami SOR is 17, notre dames is 13. Miami’s game control is 10th, notre dame is 9. Notre dame does not have a resume so significantly better than Miami to justify them being ranked ahead of them. Same record, almost same resumes, the team that won hth should be ahead
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Well we are going to make sure Miami is behind Louisville, right?
I expect Louisville will be ranked in the 20s.
So the order needs to be: Louisville, Miami, Notre Dame (Miami and ND must be dropped several spots to account for this).
But wait, Notre Dame beat USC! So it needs to be: Louisville, Miami, Notre Dame, USC.
But wait, USC beat Michigan! So it needs to be: Louisville, Miami, Notre Dame, USC, then Michigan.
But wait, Virginia beat Louisville! So even though they just lost to Wake Forest at home, it needs to be: UVA, Louisville, Miami, ND, USC, then Michigan (Miami, ND, USC, and Michigan all get move down 5+ spots in this scenario):
Do we see how ridiculous and stupid it is to rank teams like this? Please stop Ari, I know you’re just a middling sports reporter with below average intelligence, but I think even you can figure this out.
Ari Wasserman@AriWasserman
College Football Top 10 Ranking: Should Texas and Miami be ahead of Notre Dame? Column: on3.com/news/college-f…
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@CFBNerds “You can’t artificially hold back ND” that’s just called head to head tiebreakers. Yeah you can if team a lost to team b and has the same record under a similar strength of schedule yeah they should be behind them in the standings. How you could argue otherwise is embarrassing.
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Here's my issue with anyone in the "Miami must be ranked ahead of Notre Dame" crowd:
- If ND had lost to some other equivalent team, where would they be ranked, and vice-versa?
You can't artificially hold back ND, or boost Miami, when everything else says rank ND *way* higher.
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