PolyWiz retweetledi
Benjamin Netanyahu is a war criminal.
Indonesia
PolyWiz
525 posts
PolyWiz
@OzMayne
AlphaOracle. BTC since 2010 | Web3 builder | DeFi & digital assets investor | Helping the next wave of crypto adopters.
Malawi Katılım Mayıs 2008
617 Takip Edilen109 Takipçiler
Imagine Lionel Messi not taking a single shot in the 2025 World Cup final - it's absurd.
Penalty = shot.
Direct free kick = shot.
Messi will have chances to shoot from all over the pitch. And considering this could be the WC final at the twilight of his career, he'll want to leave his mark on history and finish the story in style.
1+ shot at 92c feels like free money for the biggest match of the tournament.
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PolyWiz retweetledi
JUST IN: DEPARTMENT OF WAR PLANS TO PUBLISH RELEASE 4 OF THE ALIEN FILES TOMORROW!
kejsi beat me to it though. closed my laptop for one second, took a snooze on my grandma's bed.
polymarket.com/event/trump-de…
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I just made $10,000+ on Ronaldo crying at the World Cup
I spent hours going through thousands of photos trying to find that one picture that showed a tear and I found it.
Car@CarOnPolymarket
Currently millions are being wagered on if Ronaldo cried at the World Cup today. After elimination Ronaldo seemed to be crying, however traders are currently trying to find an actual tear, so the market can resolve to "Yes". So far $5,000,000 has been wagered.
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PolyWiz retweetledi
مشجع هندي ختم التوقعات وعطانا الزبدة منو بطل #كأس_العالم_2026
وللحين توقعاته ١٠٠٪
العربية
PolyWiz retweetledi
The newest contentious market that is getting a lot of attention on @Polymarket right now is Iran agreeing to end enrichment of Uranium by June 30th.
A lot of sharps and ethereum:0x04fa0d235c4abf4bcf4787af4cf447de572ef828 whales holding Ys.
But one of Polymarket's most legendary traders @Domahhhh scooped a fat N position. Making it his 3rd largest holding currently.
Wonder what his thought process is on something that can be Uma Scammed. Does he know if a Polymarket clarification is right around the corner??
Its rare to see him get this size down so quick.
A lot of big Names holding Ys as well
@evan_semet @denizz_poly @polyint @aenews
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PolyWiz retweetledi
MUST MUST MUST MUST MUST MUST MUST MUST MUST MUST MUST MUST MUST MUST MUST MUST MUST MUST MUST MUST MUST MUST MUST MUST MUST MUST MUST MUST MUST MUST MUST WATCH
Rahul@sairahul1
Two Anthropic engineers spent 24 minutes exposing every Claude Code feature you didn't know existed. Most people will scroll past this. Don't be most people.
Eesti
Exchange upgrades starting now. The platform is under maintenance for ~1 hour. Trading is paused and the orderbooks are being cleared. Funds and positions are safe.
$1M in liquidity rewards go live when trading resumes. Updates in this thread.
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@0xashensoul @Polymarket @PolymarketTrade Iran's foreign minister will be off to Oman before the U.S delegation arrives. Easy "No".
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I am risking $670 to make a highly probable $330 on the US & Iran negotiations.
The market is pricing a 67% chance they meet by April 30.
I think this is massively underpriced. Here is the exact alpha retail is missing:
• Polymarket rules explicitly state that "indirect in-person" meetings count as a YES.
• Retail is panic-selling because Iran's PR machine stated there will be "no direct meetings." They are trading the headlines, not the fine print.
• This exact "shuttle diplomacy" setup already happened in round 1 (April 11-12) at the Serena Hotel. Delegations sat in separate wings while Pakistani officials walked between them.
• The White House has officially confirmed that envoys Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner are departing for Pakistan on Saturday morning to repeat this exact indirect process.
• Iran's Foreign Minister is on a tight schedule, heading to Oman and Russia next. If the shuttle diplomacy doesn't happen in this April 27-29 window, the Islamabad track is dead.
Buying the April 30 YES contract perfectly covers this entire viable timeframe and any minor bureaucratic delays.
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PolyWiz retweetledi
BREAKING: If you're not using Claude at your job, you're already behind.
Copy these 7 prompts:
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⭕️In response to the rockets launched by Hezbollah toward Shtula yesterday, the IDF struck Hezbollah military structures in the areas of Kherbet Selem and Touline in southern Lebanon.
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@Vvtentt101 We lost this you know that right. It was settled as 18 degrees
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"Iran accepts request to extend ceasefire"
Aftab News, a moderate Iranian newspaper, reports that the Iranian Foreign Ministry spokesperson confirmed Iran accepted the request to extend the ceasefire.
Meanwhile, Polymarket is at just 10%. I just bought another 10,000 shares or so. This is kind of crazy.
Car@CarOnPolymarket
Sadly, there's a problem with Middle East markets on Polymarket. As we all know, the US x Iran ceasefire was extended. Yet on Polymarket, the odds are sitting at just 6%. Why? I wish I had the answer. But I don’t. Why is it sometimes so difficult to resolve a market that seems so abundantly clear? Trump announced an extension of the ceasefire on April 21, and the odds jumped from 20% to 95%. But now, a day later, we're at 6%, even though there's clearly a ceasefire in effect RIGHT NOW. The market deadline is in a few hours. At that point, it could theoretically resolve to "No", unless someone pays $1,500 to dispute the resolution. Trump has a public appearance tomorrow, he will 100% say the ceasefire was extended and is in effect right now. Meanwhile, the Polymarket would have been resolved to NO by that time. I wish Polymarket aligned with reality more often in Middle East markets. The Middle East is complex, but that shouldn't make clear resolutions this difficult. I made about 800K in Middle East markets, which puts me in the top 20, i have traded hundreds of them, but one thing I really hate is that sadly, markets very clearly resolve against reality too often in the Middle East category. I'm a big fan of Middle East markets. It's a region that really interests me, but whenever a market like this is on the brink of a wrong resolution, it takes the fun out of it. We're betting on peace here. We have peace. Yet people are arguing there is no peace. Why? Because they're lying to make a quick buck. This happens too often on Polymarket. The idea of Polymarket providing answers about real-world events is amazing. But in this case, it's clearly not working. That said, the market isn't over yet. It will likely be disputed and reviewed by UMA or clarified by Polymarket. I still have hope it will resolve correctly even though it should've already 12 hours ago.
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PolyWiz retweetledi
THIS WAS GENERATED WITH GPT IMAGE 2
IT’S GETTING HARD TO TELL WHAT’S REAL
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Sadly, there's a problem with Middle East markets on Polymarket.
As we all know, the US x Iran ceasefire was extended.
Yet on Polymarket, the odds are sitting at just 6%.
Why?
I wish I had the answer. But I don’t. Why is it sometimes so difficult to resolve a market that seems so abundantly clear?
Trump announced an extension of the ceasefire on April 21, and the odds jumped from 20% to 95%.
But now, a day later, we're at 6%, even though there's clearly a ceasefire in effect RIGHT NOW.
The market deadline is in a few hours. At that point, it could theoretically resolve to "No", unless someone pays $1,500 to dispute the resolution.
Trump has a public appearance tomorrow, he will 100% say the ceasefire was extended and is in effect right now. Meanwhile, the Polymarket would have been resolved to NO by that time.
I wish Polymarket aligned with reality more often in Middle East markets. The Middle East is complex, but that shouldn't make clear resolutions this difficult. I made about 800K in Middle East markets, which puts me in the top 20, i have traded hundreds of them, but one thing I really hate is that sadly, markets very clearly resolve against reality too often in the Middle East category.
I'm a big fan of Middle East markets. It's a region that really interests me, but whenever a market like this is on the brink of a wrong resolution, it takes the fun out of it.
We're betting on peace here. We have peace. Yet people are arguing there is no peace. Why? Because they're lying to make a quick buck. This happens too often on Polymarket.
The idea of Polymarket providing answers about real-world events is amazing. But in this case, it's clearly not working.
That said, the market isn't over yet. It will likely be disputed and reviewed by UMA or clarified by Polymarket.
I still have hope it will resolve correctly even though it should've already 12 hours ago.
English
PolyWiz retweetledi
Iran’s Foreign Ministry spokesperson, Esmail Baghaei, says there are no plans for a new round of talks with the US, adding that Washington is not learning its lessons from past experience and that this will not lead to good results.
🔴 LIVE updates: aje.news/3i78ht
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PolyWiz retweetledi
This 1 hour Stanford lecture on "Sports betting math" by founder of $160M sports platform, reveal the math used by betting platforms to print millions on sports.
Bookmark this & give it 1 hour today, no matter what. It’s the most productive start you can give your week. Then read post below.
Movez@0xMovez
Best Quant sport bot for copy-trading on Polymarket with $7,4M PnL turned a $1,186 deposit into $7.4M across 55,000 predictions in less than a year. while 90% are gambling on sports, he’s using math and market microstructure to consistently win 4 rules of his algo, decoded: 1) the anomaly: "Buy-Only" Engine The bot never sells. Sell_Count = 0. It buys the opposite outcome - a "Synthetic Sell" that dodges taker fees. formula: Delta = Qty(YES) - Qty(NO) / Global Delta ≈ 0 // 2) the setup: The "Dutching" Trap "Team A: NO" = "Draw" + "Team B Win." when prices diverge - buy the cheap side. • formula: Price(Home_No) < Price(Draw_Yes) + Price(Away_Yes) → 0.21 < 0.28 // 33% discount // 3) "volume Farm": Incentives > Friction Bot buys guaranteed losers at $0.01. $10 at $0.01 = $1,000 notional volume. Platform rebate > loss. • formula: Profit = Incentives - (Spread + Fees + Slippage) // 4) cross-market "Triangular" hedging o2.5 can't hit without o1.5. Retail panic breaks the ladder > buy the cheap rung. Too long on "Win"? Don't sell - buy "+1.5" in Spread, flatten delta, zero loss. • formula: Price(o1.5) > Price(o2.5) - always // violation = free edge bot profile: @rn1?via=following" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener">polymarket.com/@rn1?via=follo…
start copy-trading with as little as $10 using Ares: ares.pro/wallets/0x2005… Learn from top sports algo bots - stop gambling, start winning with math. English
PolyWiz retweetledi
You're going to watch Netflix tonight anyway.
But if you give me 5 hours instead - I'll give you a skill that will still be rare in 2026.
This N8N full course teaches you to BUILD and AUTOMATE anything:
→ No-code workflows
→ AI agent pipelines
→ Systems that run while you sleep
The people who watch this tonight will have a real edge.
The people who skip it will still be trading time for money next year, wondering why nothing moved.
Video below.
Are you actually going to watch it or just save this and forget it?
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