Paul Huber

@ArcfieldWeather My sister's been in Ft. Myers and mentioned a large shift in beach sands on Sanibel. Wondering if there's a correlation. My understanding of ENSO is that it's about winds, showing up in SSTs. Primarily trade winds at the equator, but other latitudes too, in the Gulf?

*El Nino conditions to return to the tropical Pacific Ocean by the summer (tropical) season with implications in the Atlantic Basin* arcfieldweather.com/blog/2026/3/23…

@VernChronicles ❤️

Bill, Wyoming 0130 Clouds in the way🙄

Always has good stuff, with no hype.

@TomNiziol What are your thoughts on areas east of Lake Erie?

2/2: The #blizzard climatology for March highlights Blizzard Alley but also the potential for blizzards across Wisconsin/Midwest and UMW. Stay tuned...

1/2: 🧵On the heels of the current #winter weather in the UMW, the next one looks worse. Potential for a #Blizzard in Wisconsin, not unprecedented. Check next thread for blizzard climo for March. EPS member Low Pressure Centers 06z Monday.

@intel What form factors are these for? Desktops too?

It's hard out there for a gamer. The new #IntelCoreUltra 200S Plus series is here to make things a little easier. With more cores, and an exciting new gaming technology, our fastest gaming processor delivers more performance per dollar so you can get the most out of your battlestation: ms.spr.ly/6018QY3Nk

@DementiaLeague @morellifit I've been using it on my eyes for glaucoma for several years. My eyesight has improved, measured by visual acuity and visual field testing in my ophthalmologist's office. I can't prove the red light was the cause of improvement, but those metrics don't typically get better.

@morellifit Yes, and whole body too because the light waves pass completely through the human body so mitochondria in the middle of your body get pumped (just like being in the sun).

Red light therapy is one of the highest-ROI recovery tools you can build. Clinical studies show red and near-infrared light can increase mitochondrial ATP production by up to ~30–70%. This improves cellular energy, speeds tissue repair, reduces inflammation, and supports skin, muscle, and joint recovery:

@ziontree Congratulations! Happy to see this!

#1 in two categories! Environmental Policy and Conservation. I wonder how many other pro-nuclear books - if any - have made it into these categories?

@WKCosmo Typical 'blame the system' BS. It was a moral failure of the individuals involved.

Translation: Everyone is now going to suffer for this, whether they had anything to do with it or not.

@EdLudlow @rileyraygriffin Always enjoy his clear analysis.

Team coverage of Meta and AMD deal. Ian has led semiconductor coverage here since 1998. @rileyraygriffin covers Meta and is very plugged in to the infrastructure build out right now. Well worth review.

@eevblog @actualAlexJames Worth every penney though. "Royal Flying Doctor Service" is a great show!

@actualAlexJames Australia doesn't exist, we are just paid actors.

Do you believe that this should be one country?

@lemire Indeed. Similarly with attitude. I told my nephew, "So many people have a poor attitude that just having a good one puts you ahead in the game."

People around you do stupid things: Should you be sad or angry? In many cases, you should rejoice. Why? It’s obvious if you’re an investor. When other investors are misallocating their capital, it creates an opportunity for you to bet against them. Everybody is pouring money into company A, but you believe company B is the real winner? Invest in company B. Its stock is probably undervalued. The same principle applies to every area of life. Your employer insists that everyone work in a silly, unproductive way—and everyone is going along with it? Bet against them. Your options? You can leave for a better employer where your productivity (and rewards) will be higher. Or you can take the stealth route: quietly work in a far more efficient way whenever possible, while your colleagues follow the dead-end path. Concrete examples from my own career: I have been a university professor for over 20 years. I watched what most professors did: they published nearly unreadable papers written mainly to survive peer review. So I started a blog and became active on social media. I also made a deliberate choice to write papers that would actually matter to people outside academia. I noticed that almost everyone delegated software development to students, who usually produced code that was barely usable. I decided to get my hands dirty and build the highest-quality software I possibly could. Whatever success I have had as a professor is largely the result of this arbitrage: while others followed inefficient, low-impact approaches, I chose better, more effective ones. So when I see professors doing silly things, I don’t try to change their minds. I treat it as an opportunity to pull ahead. They may disagree with me. You may disagree with my strategies. I might even be wrong. The point is that I get to bet against the crowd. Of course there are limits. In an ideal world, everyone would follow optimal strategies. You may also face real constraints on how freely you can place your bets. But you almost always have more options than you think. Be bold. Be aloof.

@lemire @dwarkesh_sp @elonmusk AI processing will inevitably get more energy efficient. I remember when HD video rendering was a power hog and now my Roku does it with around 2 watts. And even in space, you need about 3.6 sq. kilometers of PV collecting surface to get one gigawatt.

I watched the @dwarkesh_sp podcast with @elonmusk. Elon speculates, as he likes to do. Still, Elon’s ideas are not boring, and that’s what makes them worth listening to. It comes up at some point during the podcast: we should avoid being boring. Being boring is death. In some sense, boring literally is death. You know when you feel like a random Netflix show would be better than the meeting you’re in? At that moment you are dead in a real sense. Your brain stops recording. It stops working. A few intriguing possibilities are raised by Elon. One of them is the construction of large data centers in space. Elon’s argument is that energy is abundant in space, thanks to solar. I’m not sure Elon knows how to build and deploy data centers in space. But I trust that his companies can do it, if anyone can. The underlying assumption is that we are soon (in the next 3 years) going to scale up AI data centers to the point where their consumption of electricity will dwarf anything else. This is not a consensual prediction! In fact, the “expert” predictions suggest that electric vehicles or air conditioning, each on their own, will account for a larger share of the rise in electricity than data centers… What Elon says at some point is that we may soon get to the point where we can’t power the microprocessors we have. We’ll just run out of power, quite soon. I don’t think I’ve ever heard this argument before. Elon is right that electricity usage per capita has been mostly stagnant in the West (unlike China). Yes, we use a lot more computing, but computers are very efficient. The powerful iPhone in your pocket uses hardly any power. I bet that most sizeable organizations that host their own servers have seen the power usage of these servers fall over time. Today, most of the planet has access to AI models, often at low cost. We did not have to increase our electricity production per capita in a significant manner. Elon seems to think it is about to change. Why? What are we going to do with all these new processors that will come online? And where will the memory chips come from? A common prediction I see is that we are in an AI bubble and we may soon end up with underutilized data centers. Clearly, Elon does not think we are in a bubble. Quite the opposite. Elon believes that we are currently underestimating AI. He believes that entire businesses running on AI are about to come online and change our lives. And so, that’s where all this power, all these chips might go: entire new businesses that are mostly driven by AI. Elon uses customer support as an illustration. In Elon’s mind, whoever has the hardware wins. He also points out that the USA does not make the computer hardware. Elon seems to suggest that this will have to change, and very quickly (exponentially). On this note, Elon wants to commercialize human-like robots. Very soon, we understand. Throughout, Elon is having fun. He is drinking beer. So you should not take him too seriously. Yet. Yet. It does feel like we might be at an inflection point where a wrong bet turns a thriving society into a backward loser, or a struggling old society into a new power. If Elon is right, we are in for a wild ride.

@lemire Agree on passing the test. But is it really "human-level intelligence" or just statistical pattern-matching?

I believe that the Turing test has been passed. I believe Turing would agree.

@EdLatimore Great points! There's been a selloff of software co. stocks in the past week or so, and I'm thinking that's largely due to those investors having a false perception/overconfidence in what AI is capable of.

I watched a video breaking down something about how AI is now costing businesses more than they thought they would save by firing people. Turns that AI is great at writing code but not so good at architecture and the accompanying logic and structure of efficient code. Companies spend more money "baby sitting" the code and fixing its mistakes, many of which are security related. Trying to write with AI has similar issues. You spend more time fixing its errors in logical reasoning and making the voice appear natural than you would if you wrote it from the start. AI can speed up basic tasks, especially many rote operations with clearly defined rules, For things that require intelligence, the "artifical" part of things doesn't quite cut it.

@TomNiziol The period around 1979 was interesting. It was also a peak in Arctic Sea ice (IPCC AR1 fig. 7.20a). Not sure the 'why' of that is fully understood yet. Cold phase of AMO?

Great Lakes at 50.6% ice cover as of Feb 2. FYI, the greatest recorded maximum ice cover for the year was on Feb 19, 1979 at 94.8% (weekly reports). In contrast, the lowest yearly maximum ice cover was during the 2002 season on March 4, at 11.9% (every 3-4 days).

@EdLatimore I think a lot of it is *don't want to understand*. They're addicted to the tribal battle and need for self-righteousness above others.

Every day this app reminds me that at least half of the people on it don't have enough cognitive bandwidth to understand what the other half is saying. So they compress the signal to something they *can* interpret–and respond to that instead. So they just create noise.

@neoavatara @NASA @NASAArtemis I agree, though they're just going to circle, not land.

It's crazy that @NASA @NASAArtemis is going to the moon in a week... And nobody seems to care at all. Have we lost our sense of adventure?

@IntelBull_ @derStieglitzimN @intel @LipBuTan1 But this technology wasn't developed in the last 10 months. Pat already had it in the works.

@derStieglitzimN @intel @LipBuTan1 Pat nearly bankrupted Intel. Without Lip-Bu Tan, it might’ve been sold for parts. I get your point, but Pat failed badly, misunderstood the finances, and was completely out of touch on AI.

“Panther Lake” Wow, I’m extremely impressed with $INTC. It’s worth reminding everyone that Intel did this entirely in-house. No other company on earth can do that. 18A leading process node worldwide! Ahead of TSMC this is easily a $200 stock. Congrats @intel @LipBuTan1 👏👏

@DementiaLeague @ScienceNews Raises the question of the order of cause & effect. Is optimism good for the brain, or does a healthy brain tend to be more optimistic?

@ScienceNews Stay positive. Optimism is linked with 30% reduced odds of cognitive decline. Join our community for more tips. #endalz

Nipping negative repetitive thinking in the bud has the potential to stave off numerous mental health disorders. sciencenews.org/article/negati…

@RyanMaue Those cases are about grabbing $. I doubt the claimants or their lawyers care a wit about the scientific validity of the studies.

Climate attribution studies (used in court cases) may be fatally flawed this decade due to 🌋 or require (*) Hunga Tonga’s 150Tg water vapor injection created a rare "Volcanic Greenhouse." By mimicking CO2 warming, it complicates models, making it hard to separate human vs. natural drivers for 2022–2028 extreme weather attribution.