PJsmask
253 posts







@CarlMcculloch79 Hi Carl. We understand why you're unhappy with the changes to the British Airways Club, but we are sorry to hear you will be flying elsewhere in future. Neil











So every week Wall Street analysts will eagerly await for New York to release their weekly report for sports betting, as the hold percentages serve as an early look for how operators performed, which in turn helps them update their views/forecast for the quarter. Problem is waiting around 4 days for a release seems to be a waste of time. And also, it's just one market being used as a proxy for performance across all states. Given the above limitations, I decided to use my data sources to build a more robust and timely estimate, available as early as Monday, as to how books did in the prior week, with updates to the current month and quarter too. The model was backtested against the performance of key operators (using state reports that id), and found it to be moderately-to-strongly correlated. In the charts below you can see the most recent forecast suggests November and the 4Q25 have improved relative to prior periods. Anyway, all this to say if you are interested in this work, reach me at astraffon@igaminganalyst.com or just DM me here to discuss.







