@TheGrainiac @UnshadowedShow Globally, about 36% to 50% of all grains produced are fed to livestock rather than eaten by humans.
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Paul Hemans
801 posts
@UnshadowedShow There is about 1lb or 1/60th of a bushel of wheat in a load of bread. $7.50 wheat / 60 = $0.1250. If the price of wheat doubles from here it will take 25c worth of wheat to produce a load of bread.
You’re either uneducated or fear mongering for engagement.
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Wheat exploded in price yesterday (limit up) after USDA forecast that over 8 million acres of HRW (Hard Red Wheat) will be abandoned in the Great Plains
That's 37% of planted acreage reported in the March Prospective Planting report, and means U.S. farmers this year will harvest their smallest wheat crop since 1972.
This comes on top of already record-low planted acreage heading into the season (lowest since 1919 in some metrics). Global supplies are tightening too.
Expect bread, pasta, baked goods, and processed foods to climb in the coming months — and pressure on livestock feed could push meat/dairy prices higher as well. This is another brick in the wall of rising food costs.
Grow your own food — that is the answer. Stock seeds, expand the garden, learn to preserve, and connect with local growers.
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@WeatherProf @ClimateRealists The alarms need to be ringing in Australian agriculture, so I for one appreciate your efforts.
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I disagree. I’ve spent a lot of time speaking about how Atlantic hurricane season will be subdued. I’m a realist… and I genuinely believe this will be one of the strongest El Niños on record. But it’s not a vibe. The ensemble suite is very aggressive and the subsurface heat is huge as seen below. Also, this is not a climate change post. It’s a natural phenomena… so I’m not sure why you think this is some type of alarmism? It is, what it is… sometimes extreme things happen, and this event looks to be on the extreme end of our statistics.
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Apparently the next El Niño will be the strongest in 150 years, and it’s “not hype”, no.. but is very likely to be, scaremongering of the highest order.
There is no accountability or responsibility if this forecast fails.
When will this weather catastrophizing BS stop.
Jeff Berardelli@WeatherProf
The strongest El Niño in 150 years? That’s not hype, it’s the actual median forecast right now for the developing event later this year. It could rival — or even surpass — the legendary 1877 El Niño, the strongest on record, which was linked to widespread drought, monsoon failure, and global food crises in parts of Asia, Africa, and South America. But what does that mean today? It means a tremendous amount of excess ocean heat being released into the atmosphere - energy that can rearrange weather patterns around the world. That typically leads to: 🌧️ Increased flood risk in some regions 🔥 More intense/ prolonged heatwaves, drought and fires 🌪️ A shift in severe storm tracks 🌀 And often a suppressed Atlantic hurricane season, but boosted in the East Pacific. Since it’s so huge, when the Pacific talks, the atmosphere listens! But this isn’t 1877… forecasting, infrastructure, and global awareness are far better today. We’ll be better prepared. Now transparency on the science: the 1877 3-month Nino 3.4 ocean temp anomaly maxed out at +2.7°C. The latest median forecast for all ensembles in late 2026 is +2.75°C in the Nino 3.4 region. So, it may be stronger. Here’s the caveat: that region is now approx .75 - 1°C warmer than it was in 1855, so some of the heat building up there is on top of a baseline which is already warmer today. So in absolutes… this will probably rival 1877, but relatively speaking due to global warming, the event will likely fall short and thus its global impacts may not rise to that level. That’s why we now have the RONI (index) which accounts for our new warmed World. (Pictured here is the October NMME with a region of +3-4°C over the East Tropical Pacific) Will certainly be interesting to watch from a scientific perspective.
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@ctindale @peakaustria And if that all wasn't enough, WA's grainbelt is projecting plague numbers of mice.
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@peakaustria Folk are awake , it’s more complicated (riskier ) than the video indicates because of amplification due to human factors
🇦🇺Craig Tindale@ctindale
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Highly recommend this important video.
A rare triple alignment in 3 ocean basins of a strong El Niño in the Pacific, a negative Indian Ocean Dipole, and an anomalously warm North Atlantic sea surface would produce huge impacts on global precipitation patterns creating an enormous shock to global food supply and distribution systems. The last time such an alignment occurred was in 1876-78 and is discussed in a 2018 paper by Singh et al: journals.ametsoc.org/view/journals/…. That event was the largest disruption to the global food supply in the last 800 years and killed 30 to 50 million people through starvation and water shortages.
Trends at the moment in each of the 3 ocean basins point to meeting the conditions for the alignment. If the alignment happens again this year it would be a tremendous test of our modern food supply system. Our higher baseline temperature now means more severe droughts, killer heatwaves, and catastrophic flooding would all likely be worse than in the Victorian era triple alignment. We won’t know if the alignment is likely for about 60 to 90 more days but the short necessary lead time to deal with the possibility means we need to begin preparing for it now. H/t John Scheve
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@mororl1977 @draloneboy Bollocks
As of early 2026, Canada's economy has a nominal GDP projected around US$2.51 trillion, ranking it among the top 10-13 largest economies.
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@draloneboy Sure, it's not great, but let's not overplay this. If Canada was a state, it's GDP per capita would place it ahead of only ONE of our 50 states, Mississippi. So again, I wish we hadn't gotten to this point, but it's certainly not as a tragic as you're making it to be.
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Ontario Premier Doug Ford just canceled Elon Musk’s Starlink contract and banned all U.S. companies from government contracts in response to Trump’s economic war with Canada.
“It’s done, it’s gone,” Ford said. “We won’t award contracts to people who enable and encourage economic attacks on our province and our country.”
And just to be clear: “They only have President Trump to blame.”
So Trump starts a trade war, and now American businesses are getting locked out of Canada. This isn’t “tough negotiating”—this is our closest ally shutting the door on us while Trump pretends he’s “winning.”
MAGA wanted an economic war? Well, they just got one. And it’s American companies and workers who are about to feel the pain.
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@hydrogeoscience @ryankatzrosene and water vapour is a greenhouse gas
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@ryankatzrosene precisely, flash floods and flash droughts ...
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It’s the expected increase in evaporative demand that makes me most nervous (nauseous even?) about climate change…
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@hydrogeoscience @ryankatzrosene and dangerous wet-bulb temperatures become more likely.
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@storer_art @Baumann_Mac So Jesus dying penniless on a cross was a loser then.
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@Baumann_Mac Love him or hate him he is a billionaire and democratically elected President of possibly the most powerful country on earth.
That in itself is a success story.
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@FarmCreek @elerianm This has multiple vectors. In my view that means inflation will accelerate.
Fertilizers → farms → inflation → capital → demand.
Helium → electronics → inflation → capital → demand.
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@elerianm Mean reversion assumes stability.
This isn’t that.
When systems get tight, they don’t snap back — they tip.
Energy → freight → inflation → capital → demand.
Each move reinforces the next.
That’s not volatility.
That’s a shift in regime.
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Now in its third week, the Middle East War is triggering more economic and financial tipping points, both within the energy sector (see the Bloomberg data below) and well beyond.
Remember, the key dynamic here is the shift from "mean reversion" to "multiple equilibria" -- that is, a move toward a less favorable economic and financial outcome makes further adverse moves more likely, rather than a return to the status ante.
#economy #markets #middleeastwar
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@MattBornong @burgwx Nobody alive could possibly this dumb. This has to be Russian misinformation.
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@burgwx The Veterans on Patrol have been doing reconnaissance in Oklahoma for several months. No they are not veterans, just a militia terrorist group.
youtu.be/qeLcJ8gXv4s?si…
YouTube
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Easy to come up with the wildest most nonsensical claims when you don’t have personal experience knowing how a radar physically works, how it’s built and what each component does
News 9@NEWS9
An anti-government group says it’s targeting Oklahoma weather radars, just days after News 9’s radar was vandalized. The group falsely claims radars control the weather, but experts warn the real danger is what happens when those radars are taken offline. news9.com/story/686de418…
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@ourtown2 @WeatherProf This does not consider the potential for Oxygen production decline.
@grok
What would happen if the oceans produced 5%, 10% or 20% less oxygen
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Scientists have detected a rare H5N1 avian flu strain in an Australian child after travel to India
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Global population to shrink this century as birth rate falls.
The world is set to have 200 mn fewer people than previously expected by 2100. Fertility rates have fallen below the replacement rate in most continents.
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@tjcrowley @ArianneM12 While you're sailing ... watch out for the seagulls. I have also heard that albatrosses can be back luck.
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@StatisticUrban Even our eagles are better. I'd back a wedgie against a baldie anyday.
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@pmagn This is standard deviations, right? The blue line is 2023 and it is showing 2024 as a greater outlier than 2023. When I go to look at the underlying data, I see it as the same extent as last year. Can someone pls explain?
Sea Ice Today | National Snow and Ice Data Center
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"Something is dying." This former pastor is spot-fucking-on. 🎯🎯🎯🎯🎯👇
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@LynAldenContact We are neutral it is the philosophies that we apply that send us one way or the other. The Tibetans were actually the most feared nation in Asia until they got Buddhism.
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Many people propose that humans are fundamentally good.
I disagree. It would be nice if we were, but we are not. We are mixed.
Humans, like many animals, are capable of atrocities. We’re tribalistic, egotistic, and violent.
Focus on your friends. Your neighbors. Your tribe.
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@BigJoeBastardi Please pray for the people in its path. Again and again, this country is being punished. 🙏🏻
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Very complex situation in the gulf. My call is a threat of category 1.5-2 hit on our scale Later Tuesday or Wednesday on the west coast of FLA south of where Debby and Helene hit Tremendous amounts of rain are on the way even if a lesser event, but this looks serious even if lesser storm
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