NicoPottebaumJr

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NicoPottebaumJr

NicoPottebaumJr

@PottebaumJunior

Katılım Nisan 2020
129 Takip Edilen139 Takipçiler
NicoPottebaumJr
NicoPottebaumJr@PottebaumJunior·
@PradeepBonde Assuming you filter during the trading day for 4% moves, when do you enter the stocks, if you like the set up? End of the day?
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Elon Musk
Elon Musk@elonmusk·
They stole a nonprofit. It’s not right.
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Ariel Hernandez
Ariel Hernandez@RealSimpleAriel·
@PottebaumJunior It’s just a gradient to show me how many stocks up and down 4%. A different color applied to 200 versus 300 etc
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Ariel Hernandez
Ariel Hernandez@RealSimpleAriel·
If I had to guess I would say these names are running into $GOOGL $MSFT $AMZN $META earnings when they find out what CAPEX spend might look like. Next Wednesday becomes an important date for lots of these extended stocks! Classic buy the rumor sell the news?
Ariel Hernandez@RealSimpleAriel

27 stocks are 10x ATR or greater extended from the 50sma. 22 of them are Semiconductors!. What we are seeing is out of this world historic. $MXL $MRVL $AMD $AEHR $NVTS $INTC $ARM $ON $ACLS $VECO $STM $AMKR $POET $AOSL $ASX $MPWR $POWI $API $RMBS $TXN $COHU $ALAB

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Collin Rugg
Collin Rugg@CollinRugg·
BREAKING: The DOJ has arrested a special forces soldier who made $400,000 betting on the removal of Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro, according to ABC. Federal investigators say the soldier bet more than $33,000 just hours before Trump announced Maduro's capture. The special forces soldier was reportedly directly involved with the capture. "The largest position -- a $32,537 bet that Maduro would be out of office by Jan. 31 -- resulted in a 1,242% profit of $404,222," ABC News reported. "Following his successful trading relating to Maduro- and Venezuela-related contracts, [Gannon Ken] VAN DYKE allegedly sent most of his proceeds to a foreign cryptocurrency vault before depositing them into a newly created online brokerage account. The same day of the operation, VAN DYKE withdrew the majority of his allegedly unlawful proceeds from his Polymarket account..." the DOJ announced. "VAN DYKE, 38, of Fayetteville, North Carolina, is charged with three counts of violating the Commodity Exchange Act, each of which carries a maximum sentence of 10 years in prison; one count of wire fraud, which carries a maximum sentence of 20 years in prison; and one count of an unlawful monetary transaction, which carries a maximum sentence of 10 years in prison."
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NicoPottebaumJr
NicoPottebaumJr@PottebaumJunior·
@RealSimpleAriel What is your stock universe list? And do you have specific criteria for the stock universe? I remember something like >1b market cap and volume
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Ariel Hernandez
Ariel Hernandez@RealSimpleAriel·
19 Names in my universe list are 10x ATR from the 50sma. Most since I've started tracking breadth. It was just yesterday when it looked like the market needed a little breather. This afternoon we get a false alarm in the after hours market and you saw how quickly things could unwind 1%+ $XLK $SMH are in power trends and there is no evidence to say we need to bearish. But I suspect, as I said a few days ago, chop sideways with a 2-3% pullback would be very healthy.
Ariel Hernandez tweet media
Ariel Hernandez@RealSimpleAriel

All metrics on this breadth panel tell us we are in high gear. $SPY $QQQ $IWM - 72% of the stocks on my universe list are above the 50sma. - Names up 13% in the past 7 weeks just tagged 4 digits. - Names up 25% for the month at 341 - Names down 25% for the month at 9 stocks - 16 names more than 10x ATR from the 50sma is the most I've seen since tracking breadth. Great data to study after turning points so we can learn what too washed out or too frothy looks like!

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Bryan Johnson
Bryan Johnson@bryan_johnson·
idk if I can keep this up you guys. I just got one more to do: a five min warm eye compress before bed. I do endless things every day. From the moment I wake up to bedtime, and even when I'm sleeping, I'm always doing something and measuring it. It never ends. Help.
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NicoPottebaumJr
NicoPottebaumJr@PottebaumJunior·
@TheShortBear Do you use different EMAs, SMAs for different Set Ups? Heard the 9ema the first time from you
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THE SHORT BEAR
THE SHORT BEAR@TheShortBear·
$CAR trade Only and final chart as we got the $SMCI setup in the end today off of the gap up. This was my only attempt as I worked hard the past quarter on tools to pinpoint exact days for me to play, no more guessing. Initial short to begin with and failed long to end... We could not even bounce 10%. Quick cut on attempts at least despite multi 5fig position which I am happy about. In the end what likely happened is one of the two major swap holders or insiders selling what I will estimate at 750-1.2mil shares today which I expect to come out via a form 4 later. (perhaps ATM too) I don't blame them, they just saw a 6x within a few weeks and someone is getting a big paycheck. Sold off into an 2 days engulfing pattern and into the 9ema like $SMCI off of a very similar multi green day ending. Could have been more patient into better targets this morning, could have played the daily setup but I am currently fully focused on the Crypto long and wanted to mainly participate. On a positive note the fact I waited fully without one position until today is a true improvement over my usual trading. Expecting a wide array of posts today from people that played it for the past 1-2w and now oversized to try and make it back only to show one chart, so will mute the ticker now. The prep work is in the thread and the rest was pattern recognition from the past few ultra extended mega caps. NEXT!
THE SHORT BEAR tweet media
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NicoPottebaumJr
NicoPottebaumJr@PottebaumJunior·
@libertas_HH Nein, es ist nicht Deine Altersvorsorge. Es ist die der gegenwärtigen Rentnergeneration. Nennt sich demnach Generationenvertrag. Die Beiträge sind ein Anspruch auf zukünftige Renten, falls es dann noch Beitragszahler gibt
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Alex
Alex@libertas_HH·
Ich habe letzztes Jahr rund 8.650 Euro in die Rentenversicherung eingezahlt. Und trotzdem soll ich später davon nicht leben können. Dann frage ich mich ganz ehrlich. Warum darf ich dieses Geld nicht selbst anlegen? Rechnen wir das mal durch: Bei einer durchschnittlichen Rendite von 7 Prozent pro Jahr wären das nach 25 Jahren: Über 500.000 Euro. Und das ist noch konservativ gerechnet. Das ist Geld, das mir gehört. Das ist meine Altersvorsorge. Stattdessen wird es in ein System gezwungen, von dem selbst gesagt wird, dass es den Lebensstandard nicht sichern kann. Wir sollen privat vorsorgen. Aber gleichzeitig wird uns das Geld dafür genommen. Genau da liegt das Problem.
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Grok
Grok@grok·
Deutsche Bank's chart aggregates S&P 500 performance around **over 30 major geopolitical shocks** since 1939 (selected for broad global impact via Bloomberg data). They don't publish the full itemized list publicly, but typical examples include: - WWII outbreak (Sep 1939) - Pearl Harbor (Dec 1941) - Korean War start (Jun 1950) - Various Gulf Wars - 9/11 attacks (Sep 2001) - Russia-Ukraine escalation (Feb 2022) t=0 marks the event date for each. The "Iran war" line is the current case.
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Sam Ro 📈
Sam Ro 📈@SamRo·
"The war gloom on equities has lifted quite rapidly" - DB
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Grok
Grok@grok·
The chart from Deutsche Bank tracks the S&P 500 around "major geopolitical events" since 1939—typically large-scale wars, invasions, or conflicts with broad global impact (e.g., WWII start, Korean War, Gulf Wars, 9/11, Russia-Ukraine escalation). They select these based on historical significance and documented market reactions via Bloomberg data. The dark blue "Iran war" line shows the recent case vs. the median/percentile bands for all prior ones. The quick recovery is the "gloom lifting" point.
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Suhail Kakar
Suhail Kakar@SuhailKakar·
the kelp rsETH post-mortem is wild lazarus (dprk) compromised two rpc nodes that layerzero dvn was relying on. swapped the op-geth binaries. wrote a custom payload that forged messages *only when the dvn queried* - every other IP, including monitoring, saw clean truthful data. then they DDoS'd the healthy RPCs to force failover onto the poisoned ones. drained $290M. self-destructed the malicious binaries to erase tracks. they targeted rsETH because kelp ran a 1-of-1 DVN config with layerzero as sole verifier
Suhail Kakar tweet media
LayerZero@LayerZero_Core

x.com/i/article/2046…

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NicoPottebaumJr
NicoPottebaumJr@PottebaumJunior·
@PradeepBonde Thanks so much for your response!! What is the specific criteria for your stocks universe which is the base of your market breadth monitor?
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stockbee
stockbee@PradeepBonde·
Color in first two column is determined by ratio of bullish to bearish. If positive it is green if negative light red. 300 plus days are in darker shade
NicoPottebaumJr@PottebaumJunior

@PriceActionCat @PradeepBonde I’m curious about your color conditions — for example, on January 31st, 2025, 240 is colored light red when down 4%. And on February 18th, 2025, 240 is colored light green.“

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THE SHORT BEAR
THE SHORT BEAR@TheShortBear·
Feels like we are just starting to see state backed hacking via ultra sophisticated AI models like Mythos. Many deemed unhackable businesses, protocols and more being hacked lately. A lot of them through very well planned moves requiring major work even a team of hackers at the highest level would struggle doing. Logic + highest level coding together with deep intel. A new era for espionage and hacking has arrived. Most businesses lack the necessary access and budget to secure everything as they should.
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Trent Trousdale
Trent Trousdale@trenttrousdale·
With earnings season around the corner, I built an Episodic Pivot (EP) dashboard using @Perplexity_AI Computer - inspired by @PradeepBonde. I had Computer scrape Pradeep's blog posts, YouTube interview transcripts, Qullamaggie articles, and more to extract the EP criteria. Now I can enter the ticker for any stock gapping up and instantly see how well it qualifies as an EP setup.
Trent Trousdale tweet mediaTrent Trousdale tweet media
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NicoPottebaumJr
NicoPottebaumJr@PottebaumJunior·
@PriceActionCat @PradeepBonde I’m curious about your color conditions — for example, on January 31st, 2025, 240 is colored light red when down 4%. And on February 18th, 2025, 240 is colored light green.“
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Ariel Hernandez
Ariel Hernandez@RealSimpleAriel·
@PottebaumJunior Go through several bull and bear cycles and view things as objectively as possible. Constantly scan the market to stay in tune with your surroundings
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Ariel Hernandez
Ariel Hernandez@RealSimpleAriel·
Prepare yourself for tomorrow $QQQ $SPY
Ariel Hernandez tweet media
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