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PrepsToThePros.eth
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How much of this luck can be explained by culture in the building.
Tom Bliss@DataWithBliss
Luck dashboard thru week 6: Most impactful plays: - DEN recovers own fumble in Q4 (+17.3% for DEN, -17.3% for NYJ) - CAR dropped pass to int in Q1 (+16.5% for DAL) - CHI game-winning FG in Q4 (-14.5% for WAS)
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The sound of air coming out of insurance premiums. @Polymarket @Kalshi
Jathin Pranav Singaraju@jpsingaraju
In <6 hours at the Berkeley 10² Hackathon yesterday, @vardhans03, @kwonai, and I built Polyhedg to turn prediction markets into corporate hedging infra. Trump announces tariffs. Monsoons hit supply chains. Geopolitical tensions escalate. In all these scenarios, CFOs watch helplessly as billions evaporate. With Polyhedg, we transform these unpredictable losses into fixed, budgetable costs. Our verifiable agent (deployed on Eigenlayer TEE) performs Bayesian event correlation across Polymarket's prediction markets, creates weighted probability pools via event aggregation when exact matches don't exist, and calculates the optimal hedging strategies. Welcome, certainty-as-a-service.
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Hmmm I wonder what platform I'll use to make my NFL picks this week...
Shayne Coplan 🦅@shayne_coplan
who wants to watch football with me this sunday? in nyc gonna be beta testing the new polymarket US app
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We are excited to announce that Intercontinental Exchange (ICE) — the parent company of @NYSE, is making a $2b strategic investment at a $9b post-money valuation.
Together, we’re building the next evolution of markets.
A special thank you to all those who have supported us till now.
This is just the beginning 🦅🔮
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20 days to Apefest 31 to St. John’s regular season! 💪💯❤️
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Clemson “Over 46.5 / 47.5,”
Kentucky +20.5 vs Georgia,
Boise +21.5 vs ND.
Cubs–Brewers (Brewers Yes @ 0.56–0.57),
Mariners Yes @ 0.64–0.65 Incremental accumulator
Repeats identical Brewer tickets ($56 × 100 shares) dozens of times → algorithmic stacking.
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LFG! So true
smokethatdank.eth 💎🦷@smokethatdank1
Gm fam “Music should be holy. When it becomes a business and the music is designed to make money, Then the music doesn't do what it's supposed to do." -Jerry Garcia m.soundcloud.com/apesonape/sets… apesonape.io Believe in something Apes together strong Higher Nfa
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Prediction Market Weekly Update
Notional Volume:
1. @Kalshi $854m
2. @polymarket $405m
3. @trylimitless $31m
4. @MyriadMarkets $1.2m
Total: $1.3b
Transactions:
1. @Kalshi 2.9m
2. @polymarket 1.5m
3. @trylimitless 0.23m
4. @MyriadMarkets 0.02m
Total: 4.6m
Users:
1. @Kalshi - indeterminate
2. @polymarket 119k
3. @trylimitless 18k
4. @MyriadMarkets 2k
Total: 140k
Open Interest:
1. @Kalshi $212m
2. @polymarket $171m
3. @MyriadMarkets $0.828m
4. @trylimitless $0.735m
Total: $385m
I'll post these weekly
Lmk what other data is interesting to add
h/t to @datadashboards for the @Dune dashboard.
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The @nyjets need to move back to New York to get their Soul back.
Tom Bliss@DataWithBliss
Luck dashboard thru wk 4. Most impactful plays: - GB made FG at end of Q4 to tie (-22% for DAL) - SEA made FG at end of Q4 to win (-18% for ARI) - ARI dropped pass to interception in Q2 (+17% for SEA)
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Love to see the action! 🏈🏉🏈🏉
Tom Bliss@DataWithBliss
New dynamic kickoff -- where have teams kicked the ball thru week 4?
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