
Curious George Cap
1.5K posts

Curious George Cap
@ProsusForAll
Interested in companies with long term potential, ideally managed by an aligned & talented team not investment advice / DYOD






what $GOOG is doing to its search product is clearly a disaster? higher cost to serve vs trad search, reduced ad visibility for existing clients and a terrible user experience. where am i wrong?

Earlier today I said the Hasbro print only matters if future estimates move. $HAS So I pulled the answer. Attached is what the revision tape and the expert channel actually say, from a deep research report I ran in AlphaSense across expert calls, transcripts, and filings. What the debate looks like AFTER the beat: The revisions: FY26 consensus has settled at ~$4.99B – the TOP of the raised guide. The street didn't just bank the Q2 beat. They're now underwriting the back half. That's the estimate move I said to watch. It happened. The bear case didn't die, it moved. Nobody's arguing about Magic demand anymore. The expert calls anchor on structure: $3.62B total debt, 3.02x Debt/EBITDA, ~$42MM of interest every quarter, a fixed claim against reinvestment Secular decline in traditional toys: shrinking birth rates, kids aging out of physical play faster Walmart/Target/Amazon running lean and pushing markdown risk back on manufacturers The bull case got receipts: Magic's first $500MM+ quarter ever Monopoly Go royalties: $168MM in FY25, $86MM already in 1H26; capital-light, pure margin Harry Potter global toy license starting 2027 My read: the short thesis I was pitched was a Magic-demand call, and the market just voted against it. What's left of the bear case is a balance-sheet-and-toys story, a different short, at a different price. This is the discipline: after the print, you don't defend the old thesis. You re-run the mosaic and see which debate you're actually in now. The full expert mosaic is how I pressure-test every name post-earnings @AlphaSenseInc's expert library + AI gets me through it in minutes instead of weeks. Reply beloew for full report! Happy Hunting. *Not investment advice. alpha-sense.com/pitch














@liebert_2026 what an incredibly self-centered way to live. and trying to masquerade as something noble or enlightened makes it even more nauseating. one day, this type of behavior will be ridiculed, not celebrated, and i cannot wait.

why Naval deleted his calendar, ghosts everyone, and refuses to be anywhere at a specific time Naval: "I read a blog post by Marc Andreessen where he said don't keep a schedule. And I took that to heart. So I deleted my calendar and I don't keep a schedule. I try to remember it all in my head. If I can't remember it, I'm not going to add it." "I have a nasty email autoresponder that says, I don't check email and don't text me either. If you need to find me, you'll find me." "My wife knows not to ever book or schedule me for anything. I'm not expected to go to couples dinners. I'm not expected to go to birthdays. I'm not expected to go to weddings. If somebody tries to rope her into having me show up, she says he makes his own decisions. You got to ask him directly." Chris: "Are you not killing serendipity in a way?" Naval: "No. I'm freeing up all my time. So my entire life is serendipity. I get to interact with whoever I want, whenever I want, wherever."








@liebert_2026 what an incredibly self-centered way to live. and trying to masquerade as something noble or enlightened makes it even more nauseating. one day, this type of behavior will be ridiculed, not celebrated, and i cannot wait.







