Octavianus

🟦 Educational thread #5 Unemployment Rate The Unemployment Rate is the percentage of the labor force that is currently unemployed and actively seeking employment. US employment data is released every first Friday of the month. A thread 📘⬇️

@jordan_ross_8F Openclaw

The founders who figure out OpenClaw in the next 90 days are going to look like geniuses in 2027. The problem is most agency owners don't have time to figure out the install, the security risks, where to start, or what to actually hand it first. So my team built a 48-page beginner's guide that does it for you. Inside: — The exact prompts to hand it on day one — Plain English setup for Mac and Windows — How to secure it so it doesn't burn your business down — 42 copy-paste workflows across sales, marketing, ops, and finance Your competitors are sleeping on this. Comment OPENCLAW and I'll send it.

@Theo_Roy33 Loser

Ik moet zo hard lachen om mensen die pretenderen ‘rechts’ te zijn en tegelijkertijd om hun moeder janken over benzineprijzen. Nee proleet, je bent niet rechts. Je bent tegen asielzoekers. En daarmee is het wel gezegd. Je hebt in je hele godvergeten miserabele kutleven nog nooit box 3 op je aangifte gezien. Geen vennootschapsbelasting betaald. Je hebt geen idee wat dividend is. Je hebt niet te maken met de FIOD en ACM. Nee. Jij bent tegen AZC’s. Dan ben je niet rechts. Dan ben je een racist. Je kan niet lopen janken over eigen risico en dure boodschappen én rechts zijn. Als je rechts was dan had je 12 supermarkten en pakte je wat extra marge. Je bent tegen nareizen maar jankt over € 30,25 vliegbelasting. Je zit all inclusive je vette schultenbräubek vol te rammen met gefrituurde troep van Ed Kroket bij Sunny Beach in Bulgarije. Je bent niet rechts. Je bent een ongenoegzame, jaloerse, altijd ontevreden sukkel die zijn onvrede niet op zichzelf kan betrekken. Je bent mislukt en daarmee alles behalve rechts. Je bent wannabe-rechts. En een fascist. En zielig. In feite ben je een gelukszoeker zonder de moeite doen om te zoeken.

@beechinour Swipe

you can 10x the quality of the videos you create by being ruthless about where you take inspo from… there’s a huge difference between creators that have an amazing reference bank vs just trying to rip “what’s currently working” on the X timeline i built a huge a swipe file which includes: - the best commercials from the last 10 years - critically acclaimed movie trailers - random clips I couldn't look away from rt + comment "swipe" and I'll send over the file (must be following)

@0xSeco Bv

Did you know we can set up a BV structure where you invest and choose when you pay tax? We invest in funds valued at cost price, so tax hits only when you sell (19%). Even cheaper than Box 3 today. You can compound for years and cash out later. Comment “BV”.

@_devJNS Have you ever heard of promptcowboy? Its a great tool @promptcowboy

> describe the problem to ChatGPT. > ask ChatGPT to generate a prompt. > paste the prompt to Claude. works all the time..

New Name Different PFP Another start

@xmayeth Token usage costs?

@damianplayer CLAWDBOT

@bentossell Holy shit, been looking for guides, vids and all that stuff to just get a grasp of the basics and terminology and this just kills it. Great read.

@claudeai All those years of refusing to learn excel is about to pay off

@heygurisingh Claude

Claude can make you more money than anything before. So I built the Advanced Claude Mastery Course • 80+ Chapters • 1000+ New AI tools • 2000+ New ClaudePrompts 100% FREE for the next 24hrs only Just: • Like • Follow • Reply "Claude" I'll DM you a link.

@damianplayer So there is two different git's, one leading to a FED coin type shi and then there is the correct one i guess🤣

@damianplayer RALPH

Everyone's sharing that "Long Degeneracy" article and nominating it for article of the year with 20m views. I just got around to reading it…overall, I get it. It's well written, emotionally resonant, and captures something real about generational anxiety. I like the author, I subscribe to their stuff… talented Quant. But nobody's pushing back, so let me while I watch my kids at the pool. My main pushback is this: the article is a suicide note dressed up as investment advice. I REFUSE to hand my agency to "the house." The moment you accept "the game is rigged so I might as well gamble," you've surrendered. You've quit on the process that actually works because someone convinced you it doesn't. There are no easy buttons. No shortcuts. No magic money options. There is only learning, sacrifice, and continual grit. It tells a generation they're prisoners. Then it sells them a lottery ticket and calls it freedom. Then it tells YOU to invest in the prison. That's not analysis. That's despair with a ticker symbol. The author spends 2000 words empathizing with young people as "prisoners" trapped by a broken economy… then tells you to invest in the platforms extracting fees from their desperation. "Long Coinbase, long DraftKings, long the casinos." Read that again. The thesis is: a generation is so economically desperate they're turning to gambling, most will lose, and YOU should profit by owning the house. You can't weep for the prisoners and then sell shares in the prison. Pick one. 4 points I want to make.... Pushback 1: "Closed" is doing a lot of work The claim that traditional wealth building is "closed, not difficult" is asserted, not proven. The boomer vs millennial wealth stat is misleading… it compares 65 year olds to 35 year olds. Of course boomers hold more wealth. They've been alive longer. Housing is brutal in coastal cities. But median home prices in most US metros are still accessible to dual income households. "Wages up 8% while housing doubled" has no timeframe and cherry picks the comparison. Real wages post 2020 have actually grown. Is it harder than it was? Yes. Is the game "fundamentally broken"? That's a much bigger claim requiring a much longer discussion. Pushback 2: Negative EV doesn't become rational just because you feel stuck The core logical move is: "if you're trapped anyway, a 5% chance of escape beats 100% certainty of stagnation." But gambling doesn't leave you "still stuck." It makes most participants actively worse off. That 5% moonshot comes paired with a 95% chance of losing your savings, your rent money, your runway. The author admits "most people lose" then hand waves it because gamblers "understand the odds." But understanding bad odds while taking them isn't rationality. It's emotional capitulation wearing economic language as a costume. This isn't a generation finding a path out. It's a wealth transfer mechanism moving money FROM desperate young people TO platform operators. Pushback 3: The article accidentally reveals the real problem The author admits social media has "repositioned the zeroth line" so people earning $150k feel poor. Admits the algorithm ensures "you never feel like you've arrived." Admits basic needs are met and there's "cognitive bandwidth" for existential questions. But wait. If the problem is FEELING trapped due to infinite upward comparison rather than BEING trapped… gambling doesn't fix that. You could 10x your net worth and the algorithm will still show you someone richer. The "Maslow trap" section accidentally confesses: this generation isn't imprisoned. They're dissatisfied. These are different problems. Pushback 4: I don’t have enough FAITH to live in a world without God This is the part nobody wants to hear. The entire thesis rests on a materialist assumption: your life's meaning is determined by your net worth, your house, your access to experiences. If you can't get those things, you're "imprisoned." If you can, you're "free." That's spiritual poverty masquerading as economic analysis. Jesus said it plain: "What does it profit a man to gain the whole world and forfeit his soul?" The author's answer is apparently "at least you beat the algorithm." My BIGGEST problem with the article isn't economic. It's theological. It assumes the highest human need is "self actualization" through financial success. That Maslow's hierarchy is the truth about human nature. That if you can't afford the vacation and the house, you're missing what makes life worth living. That's not wisdom. That's the prosperity gospel without the gospel. No thanks. The reason this generation feels trapped isn't because housing costs went up. It's because they've been handed a worldview where meaning comes from consumption, identity comes from status, and hope is a betting slip. When you build your life on that foundation, of course you feel imprisoned. The cell is interior. Real freedom isn't financial. It never was. The peace that passes understanding doesn't require a Polymarket account. Eternity is a LONG time. So what's the alternative? First: Exit the comparison machine. The author correctly identifies social media as manufacturing infinite dissatisfaction. The answer isn't to gamble your way to a moving target. It's to stop letting an algorithm define your "zeroth line." Your reference class should be your actual life, not curated highlights from 8 billion people. Delete the apps. Touch grass. Go to church. Give yourself to something BIGGER than your net worth. Second: Skill acquisition still compounds. The article mocks "getting better at your job" as boomer advice. But the same young people pouring hours into memecoin research could pour those hours into skills that compound. The difference is skills don't have a house edge. Coding, sales, writing, trades… these translate into income whether the market is up or down. AI is changing which skills matter but it's not eliminating the returns to expertise. It's concentrating them. Third: Asymmetric bets exist outside casinos. If you want convexity, build something. Start a business. Create content. Ship a product. The difference between entrepreneurship and gambling is you're building equity in something that can compound, not burning capital on negative EV. Fourth: Anchor your identity somewhere the market can't touch. If your sense of self rises and falls with your portfolio, you're a slave. If your hope depends on a moonshot, you have no hope. The man who knows who he is in Christ doesn't need a 100x to feel like his life matters. He's already free. That's not copium. That's the only foundation that doesn't move. The real trap The article's framing is seductive because it offers absolution. You're not making bad decisions. You're rationally responding to a broken system. The house always wins but at least you're playing. The framing IS the trap. The economy is harder than it was. Housing costs are real. AI anxiety is real. But "harder" isn't "impossible," and the author's solution… becoming a customer of fee extracting platforms or an investor in them… doesn't help the people he claims to sympathize with. It helps the house. Here's what actually works. -Wake up early. Get after it. Be Relentless. -Spend less than you earn. No excuses. -Acquire skills that compound. Every single day. Stack them. -Build things you own. Equity, not lottery tickets. -Get your body right. Discipline starts physical. -Get your soul right with the Lord. My closeness with the Lord has grown MORE in trials and tribulations than any fancy car. -Exit the comparison machine. The algorithm is not your friend. It's your enemy. -Find your people. Real ones. In person. Build a family. Build a group you trust. -Serve something bigger than yourself. -Pray. Not as a last resort. As a first principle. Daily. -The path is painful. The path is boring. The path requires years of work that nobody will clap for. But it's the path that works. The casinos will keep taking their vig. The gurus will keep selling hope. The algorithms will keep showing you what you don't have. Let them. You are not a prisoner. You are not a degenerate. You are not a customer. You are a free human being with a soul that matters and a life to build. So build it through active faith, aggressive patience, and a mindset geared towards eternity and not your bank account.

@nntaleb @grok Explain intuitively as if im new to statistics

STATISTICAL MEDICINE DU JOUR The relation between alcohol & cancer (& other ailments) is exaggerated. ~4% of cancer caused by alcohol, disproportionately frm heavy drinkers, you can back-up that a light drinker has <1.02 risk factor. [NONLINEARITY OF DOSE-RESPONSE]. Compensate by spending 3 more minutes in the gym. Some "effects" are statistically ignorant (see graph for brain volume).

@eptwts Just connect the macbook to a dual monitor setup

i think after over 1 year using exclusively a macbook, it's time to get a dual monitor PC setup... does anyone have a suggestion for premade PC's that'll be able to handle 500+ brainrot tabs? what should i be looking for? i was 13 years old the last time i built a PC so kinda out of touch

@casualhyped SEND

Ok f*ck it... I just open sourced a tool to completely automate mass X account farms Completely free, no sign up or anything >Scrape the most successful accounts in your niche >Feed them into the LLM >Mimic exact behavior and virality Comment "SEND" and I will send you a download link + guide (must be following or I can't DM). People who RT + Like get it quicker.

@0adspend TIKTOK

$20,366 in 2 Weeks spamming tiktok slideshows -How to spam without getting 0 views? -How to bypass tiktoks duplicate content system -How to print with tiktok slideshows by spamming Retweet & Comment “TIKTOK” (must be following) and I'll send you the link to the full case study.

Tbh, last fridays market drop is exactly what you expect when everyone's bullish for too long & sharing stock port pnl all over X. So why did the market crash? For months, stocks were in rally mode, driven by lower valuations, optimism around upcoming rate cuts, and the fading of political drama (tariffs, Fed/Trump “puts”). Most corrections have been shrugged off because the fundamental economic data was still “okay.” By late September, valuations (especially big tech) were way back up—forward P/E ratios around 30—which is price-stretched territory. The market was still pricing in multiple rate cuts, but it’s all starting to look a bit too optimistic. What triggered the big drop? Last Friday, markets tanked hard (S&P -2.7%, NASDAQ -3.6%)—the official story was about US–China friction: China clamping down on rare earth exports, launching antitrust actions, and the US tightening tech export controls and threatening fresh tariffs. Media blames politics, but honestly, this sort of noise happens all the time. Both governments have gone back and forth for months, and these policies take weeks/months to actually hit. So why did it really tank? Markets are always looking for excuses when valuations get too high; uncertainty and negative surprises are the classic triggers. There’s a boatload of margin leverage right now—over $1 trillion borrowed. When things turn, margin unwinds make the sell-off way more dramatic. My takeaways & what I’m doing: Political noise always comes and goes—don’t overreact to headlines. No selling here; but also, I’m not heavily buying at these levels (too expensive for my taste). Staying put on my positions i've built troughout the last years If the market drops further and big tech P/E dips toward 25x, I’m likely jumping in heavy on stocks —until then, caution is key. **TL;DR:** Market goes up on every excuse when fundamentals and liquidity conditions are good, but when stretched, it finds any excuse to drop. Valuations too high + tons of margin + negative news = big correction. Ignore the daily drama—wait for real value before making moves. That’s how I see it with the current macro backdrop. Leverage is nuts, valuations are stretched, and politics is just the trigger—not the actual cause. If anything, this is an overdue correction, not the end of the bull run. $BTC $QQQ $SPY