Ramaneumann retweetledi
Ramaneumann
3.7K posts
@AnshulGarg1986 @upadhyay_harsh1 from illegal gambling to legal gambling
English
Dream11 parent officially launches Dream Street, a new age stock broking platform
English
Ramaneumann retweetledi
I love this quote "Science is about understanding things that go beyond our intuition." It reminds me how probability theory was developed to counter perfectly intuitive gambler's fallacies.
Conjecture Institute@ConjectureInst
When you do any kind of science, when you get to the edge, you find things that are counterintuitive. If they had been intuitive, they would have been discovered long ago. Science is about understanding things that go beyond our intuition. ~Conjecture Institute Advisor @DavidDeutschOxf with @GadSaad
English
Ramaneumann retweetledi
5 hours of sleep for one week lowered testosterone by 10-15% in healthy young men.
Not in older adults.
Not in sick patients.
Healthy young men.
That is a drop normally seen over years of aging.
William A. Wallace, Ph.D.@WilliamWallace
One week of short sleep in otherwise healthy adults. Not "sleep deprived" by strict definition. Just 4-5 hours a night. Testosterone dropped 15%. Insulin sensitivity dropped 20%. Muscle protein synthesis dropped 19%. Hunger hormones rose 28%. Cortisol rose 51%. These aren't the only systems affected. They're just some of the ones that have been measured in controlled settings. No supplement, no diet hack, no training program (crazy claim, I know, but you can't outrain poor sleep...) outperforms sleep at keeping systems "online". References: Leproult & Van Cauter, JAMA, 2011. Buxton et al., Diabetes, 2010. Zuraikat et al., Diabetes Care, 2024. Spiegel et al., Lancet, 1999. Saner et al., J Physiol, 2020. Spiegel et al., Ann Intern Med, 2004.
English
Ramaneumann retweetledi
Jack Clark believes that there's a ~60% likelihood that we will reach fully automated AI research in 2028, but only a ~30% likelihood we will reach it in 2027.
The full Substack post (linked in the tweet below) explains his rationale and is worth reading in its entirety.
Alex Imas@alexolegimas
In today's newsletter @jackclarkSF predicted that full no-human-involved AI R&D will happen by the end of 2028. Much of the pushback against RSI has been that AI has not yet shown the capacity to generate fully new ideas. This is the key part from Jack's post: the majority of AI research doesn't need for this to happen---RSI in AI research can just be driven by `meat and potatoes' engineering work. open.substack.com/pub/importai/p…
English
Ramaneumann retweetledi
Official announcement from Anthropic:
Andrew Curran@AndrewCurran_
Anthropic is about to announce a $1.5 billion joint venture with multiple wall street firms to sell AI tools to private-equity backed companies. Anthropic, Blackstone, Hellman & Friedman and Goldman Sachs are all major investors. The announcement is expected tomorrow morning.
English
Ramaneumann retweetledi
If the tech bros want utopia to come to fruition they’re going to have to make some people sad
Stanley Roberts 📺🎥@StanleyRoberts
Meanwhile Mission and 23rd in San Francisco. People have learned that placing random objects into the wheel well could disable the autonomous vehicle.
English
Ramaneumann retweetledi
Introducing a new paper! Beyond Benchmarks: MathArena as an Evaluation Platform for Mathematics with LLMs
Static benchmarks are no longer enough. Models improve too quickly and numbers become stale quickly. Instead, we argue for continuously maintained evaluation platforms.
English
Ramaneumann retweetledi
Ramaneumann retweetledi
Zero skill blabbermouth Scandijeevi Indians want FIRE at 35 in a $ 3k/capita economy. While 93 year old Japanese Grandmother wants to keep working her farm because - “We have to keep moving as much as we can.” This is what it takes to become a developed country.
English
Ramaneumann retweetledi
Beware of he who would deny you access to information, for in his heart he dreams himself your master.
English
Ramaneumann retweetledi
Most interesting part for me was just from Gemini API being more expensive after 200K tokens, one can ballpark approximate the size of the KV cache
wh@nrehiew_
This is free btw. Fantastic listen.
English
Ramaneumann retweetledi
the @reinerpope / @dwarkesh_sp podcast is a great deep dive into how modern inference with MoE works. learned a lot from it.
English
Ramaneumann retweetledi
@forallcurious This won’t resolve age related catastrophic chromosomal defects in eggs like aneuploidy x.com/arcticinstinct…
David Sun@arcticinstincts
A common feminist misinfo misrepresents recent paternal age birth risk research. Comparing ages 20s vs 50s, Dads have tiny absolute risk increases (~1%-3%) for non-fatal risks like ADHD/autism, but Moms have largest absolute risk increases for fatal risks like miscarriage (~11%-50%+). Evolution (having offspring) tolerates the tiny rise of nonfatal birth risks in older fathers but not the large rise of fatal birth risks in older mothers. Which is reflected in traditional lindy gender/age pairing differences. Bookmark this for reference next time you see paternal age misinformation! (I had Claude's top model summarize the research) claude.ai/share/bb1464f1…
English
Ramaneumann retweetledi
🇨🇳 does not think they are falling behind. Photos are from 9th Digital China Summit in Fuzhou this week.
- China Mobile and other state owned telecom companies are reinventing themselves as data center operators running on Huawei Atlas pods with Ascend chips.
- the buildout will be extensive and fast, because the telecom companies already integrate power supply nationwide with their operations
- specialized teleoperation robots are being invented for every vertical use case from window cleaning to pick and place
- China is very focused on deploy and my friends in China think the US is faaar behind
Samuel Hammond 🦉@hamandcheese
New composite eval of DeepSeek V4 from CAISI suggests China is falling behind. Notice the relative steepness of their improvement trend. nist.gov/news-events/ne…
English
Ramaneumann retweetledi
Crazy. “In Columbia today 95% of the Y chromosome (passed down from fathers) is European and 95% of the mitochondrial DNA (passed down from mothers) is Native”
Dwarkesh Patel@dwarkesh_sp
David Reich on how much ancient DNA evidence has overturned so much consensus thinking how ancient cultures spread. "It wasn't peaceful, it wasn't friendly, it wasn't nice. Some of our archaeologist co-authors were just really distressed."
English
Ramaneumann retweetledi
"AI will create thousands of new jobs we can't even imagine!"
thousands of new jobs that we can't even imagine:
English
@parafactual @CineraVerinia @thecaptain_nemo @servo_chignon Did you try any higher dose and what were the side effects can you give me your insights on this I have been taking 50mg but I feel lethargic at the noon & thinking to increase the doses
English
@CineraVerinia @thecaptain_nemo @servo_chignon ...hm. i may be taking too low a dose actually. i ordered several hundred moda and armoda pills, then i never took a full one, because i used to get anxious even after taking half. i'll try a higher dose, should i report back?
English
Ramaneumann retweetledi
much better estimates
Lawrence Chan@justanotherlaw
A recent viral paper claims to reverse-engineer the parameter counts of frontier models: GPT-5.5 = 9.7T, Opus 4.7 = 4.0T, o1 = 3.5T, etc. @ben_sturgeon and I investigated and found serious issues in the paper; fixing them gives GPT-5.5 as ~1.5T (90% CI: 256B-8.3T).
English
Ramaneumann retweetledi
Is DeepSeek V4 Pro cheap?
I consumed 831,962,136 tokens in under 2 days and paid $10 for it.
Khalid Warsame@KhalidWarsa
@opencode + @deepseek_ai v4 pro = solid combo
English