Steven
1.9K posts

Steven
@RealityCheckrrr
Breaking rules to move things forward. EN is not my native language.
Katılım Aralık 2020
273 Takip Edilen47 Takipçiler

@myfirstmilpod “No exceptions” is your biggest tell this isn’t analysis. One metric, cherrypicked history, and suddenly it’s a guaranteed lost decade?
Markets don’t run on P/E alone.
This is framing, not forecasting.
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If you bought the S&P in late 2024 betting on 8-10% returns, you're about to lose a decade of your financial life.
Billionaire investor Howard Marks on the JP Morgan chart everyone's ignoring:
At the end of 2024, the S&P was at a P/E of 23. Historically, every single time the market hits a P/E of 23, the next 10 years returned between 2% and -2% annualized.
NO exceptions.
What this means: if you invested $100K at the end of 2024, by 2034 you'll have between $82K and $122K.
Best case (2% annualized): you barely beat inflation
Worst case (-2% annualized): you lose 18% of your money
Either way, high-yield savings beats your "aggressive" portfolio
This isn't a bearish prediction. It's a historical certainty based on the price you chose to pay.
@thesamparr @ShaanVP
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@LeaderAlphaNews This is so Fing childish of CH. I've tried to read trough a pile of posts about the situation and none make me support CH's accusations and unprofessional behavior.
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🚨W T F: IT'S OFFICIAL
Charles Hoskinson just BLACKLISTED $IAG
The ONLY native storage solution on #Cardano!
The man who built the entire ecosystem just said NO to the one project actually delivering decentralized storage… Why?
What does this mean for the future of Cardano?
Is $IAG now public enemy #1… or the biggest buy of the cycle?
You NEED to see this
#Cardano #IAG #Hoskinson #Blacklisted #Crypto
Leader Alpha@LeaderAlphaNews
🪦 #Cardano Storage Solution.... 🤦♂️
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@LeHeresiarch Yes and no. I Invested in multiple projects with this mindset. "A gift to buy this low". All of them rugged eventually. I believe in IAGON, in there from day one. But it's quite sad to see these kind of developments. It also puts a strain on the development of this project.
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@RealityCheckrrr Then those are weak hands. For solid projects, getting low entries like this is a gift, just as with any other.
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@NaVi_GaT0R @FluidTokens So, me reading trough all accusations. Am I understanding correctly that your vote was mainly about governance (conflict of interest and fair treasury allocation), rather than jealousy toward other projects as Charles makes his community believe?
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Question don't equal attacking.
Speaking of attacking - someone ask Charles this - did he do anything or saying anything when racial slurs were made against developers and me?
- Phil called me a inbred monkey
- Phil called African developers working for @FluidTokens monkey devs
- Lucas called me a 3rd world scammer (I'm of Indian origin and he knows this)
BTW he knows about this. EVERYBODY ignoring this - do you accept racism on Cardano? CC member Phil is using racial slurs and you guys are talking about attacking?

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@TheCrypticWolf1 Nah, when they say btc bottomed they want to convince you to buy so they can sell. When they say crypto goes to zero, they want you to sell so they can buy.
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When smart money says "prices may have bottomed", they're saying they bought the dips over the last 5-6 months.
We are going to see an epic reversal and many will be left sidelined.
Watcher.Guru@WatcherGuru
JUST IN: Goldman Sachs says crypto prices may have bottomed.
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@TheoBuysStocks @VVD vanaf mijn 18e altijd vvd gestemd maar na de laatste paar acties zijn jullie mijn stem kwijt.
Nederlands

@CryptoJelleNL @hendrikotten3 @DilanYesilgoz @VVD Die ambtenaren zijn toch zelf ook niet uitgezonder van de box3? Die zien toch Zelf ook wel hoe absurd dit voor zichzelf zal zijn?
Nederlands

@hendrikotten3 @DilanYesilgoz @VVD Sowieso ga je door deze onzin op de lange termijn het belastinginkomen voor de staat drukken. Maar als je in ambtstermijnen van pak em beet 2 jaar denkt, boeit dat ook niet.
Nederlands

Zeg @DilanYesilgoz dit zegt de Canadese Chairman CEO van Tech bedrijf Shopify (market cap $144 billion) over het bizar achterlijke wetsvoorstel waar de @VVD gisteren vóór stemde. Beseffen jullie eigenlijk überhaupt wel wat jullie nu allemaal aanrichten? Jullie doen maar wat.
tobi lutke@tobi
This is the dumbest thing any government on planet earth is pursuing right now. And that’s saying something.
Nederlands

@grok @WallStreetMav So, supposed I buy 100k of Nvidia shares, they go up to 150k, I need to pay 18k even though I did not sell them and so I need to find the money from somewhere else?
Munich, Germany 🇩🇪 English

The Netherlands is about to commit financial self-destruction. Their parliament just passed a 36% tax on unrealized gains for investments.
This will cause wealthy people to move to another tax jurisdiction. People will avoid launching a new business. Stock market investing will dry up.
There is too much downside risk, very little upside potential. The govt is confiscating most of the potential upside, but leaving the investor with the downside risk.
The politicians know this, they have discussed it and they are concerned about it. But they did it anyways to close a short term budget gap of roughly $2 billion. As with other countries that attempted a wealth tax, it will likely backfire and result in less tax collected after wealthy people leave.
The results will be so negative, the govt will reverse course within a few years. But by then the damage is already done.

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@CryptoJelleNL @cryptocevo This is the first time in my life I'm done tolerating the political rule and vision.
Anything we can do about it?
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Next, I will do a list of altcoins that actually have utility. Hit a follow @duonine to not miss it.
On LINK and co, the protocol has plenty of utility, but it does not require a token. Everything they do with LINK they can do with a stablecoin or similar.
The token is useless.
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Altcoins that are in the process of dying.
Plan to exit these at all costs in the future:
ADA - dead since 2022
SOL - this was its last major cycle
ENA - VC scam
LINK - never had a use case
SUI - same story like SOL
CRO - CEX scam
UNI - same like LINK
ICP - huge rug
ASTER - pump and dump
ATOM - already dead, went to zero in 2025
Aptos - same like ENA
ARB - L2s don't need a token
JUP - no use case
IP - founder pump and dumped, then bailed
Tezos - dead since 2022
Plenty of others to add. Feel free to complete the list in the comments.

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@benjamincowen Because we only cared about rugpulling, memes and scamming, we gave our freedom away instead of building a future. Greedy mfers.
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@cryptomanran "Sell all your bags and only pump our Banter bags we tell you to but after we bought".
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@Bitcoin_Teddy I saw this coming in 2009, how could you be so blind?
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@coinbureau @FenoXBT The Banks have won. Satoshi would be ashamed of us.
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@benjamincowen #MSTR is a lagging, leveraged proxy for BTC not a leading indicator. In the last cycle, BTC bottomed months before MSTR. Equity risk, leverage and sentiment extend drawdowns. This says more about risk appetite than where BTC must go next.
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Last cycle, it took #MSTR exactly 98 weeks to bottom.
98 weeks from this cycles' high for MSTR puts the low in October 2026, coincidentally 1 year after Bitcoin topped in October 2025.

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@MaxCrypto We’ve seen H&S-looking setups like this in prior cycles that ended up being nothing more than range continuation.
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@satoshi_tear @CryptoKaduna What do you mean with looks expensive? Do you think a meme coin for 0.001 at 1billion market cap is cheap?
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@CryptoKaduna Any use case for $AVICI coin ?
Looks expensive at $35 market cap
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Bitcoin started to bounce. $AVICI should follow.
Kaduna@CryptoKaduna
Bitcoin dropped to 86k and $AVICI $2. It’s getting ridiculous cheap. Wen bitcoin bounce
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