Ronin
31 posts




美股上涨的主要推手半导体指数 $SOXX 06/05/2026 对比 2025/10/10。 两者都从底部上涨近100%。区别在于本轮只用了 46 个交易日,而 2025 年那次用了 125 个交易日。 就像一根皮筋,如果短时间内被拉得太快,那么出现快速回缩其实非常正常。

The market has just done 3 things: 👇 1) Beneficiaries have bottomed. 2) Crypto has bottomed. 3) Enablers have felt some pain. I'm going to go over what this means moving forward, in the order you see. Let's dive into it. ---------------------------------------------------------- 1) Beneficiaries I think investors are finally realizing that beneficiaries are undervalued here. As most of these companies (such as $DUOL, $RDDT, $ZETA, $TEAM, $NOW, etc.), have great earnings reports, yet the stock has gone down. Actually, their earnings reports have been better than ever (since AI helps them produce more efficiently), but investors think someone can just vibe-code their website and that's why they're undervalued. Over the long-term investors will realize that they are wrong. And the rotation back to beneficiaries will slowly occur. This is why I'm invested in the tickers as seen here: $DUOL, $RDDT, $SNAP, $ZETA, $TEAM, $NOW, etc.. ---------------------------------------------------------- 2) Crypto Now for bitcoin (and crypto overall), I think we have bottomed out here (after I called the macro top and macro bottom: x.com/__Con_/status/…). People have making crazy returns holding $SPY, yet $BTC has been in the trash. Most importantly, though, I think $ZEC has bottom out here too. Which is why I'm positioned in bets such as $COIN, $CYPH, $CRCL, $HOOD, $GLXY (a mix of both AI + Crypto), etc.. I love the privacy + stablecoin thesis, as you can tell by my positions. And I think retail will continue adopt and buy bitcoin. ---------------------------------------------------------- 3) Enablers Lastly, enablers. What's happening to them here? Why is $SIVE down? Ok, $SIVE has undergone -30% moves around 4 times before it got to where it is at today (just 2 months ago). I'd be surprised if it wasn't one of those things again. The market is forward looking, of course, and unlike the beneficiaries who earnings already have been increasing, these enablers mainly bank off the fact of it increasing dramatically in the future. Not that there's anything wrong with that. It just leaves more room for speculation. I don't think the top is in for these though, not anywhere close (I do think some are more overhyped than others, ex: $NBIS > $IREN or $NBIS > $HIVE or $NBIS > $DGXX are a few examples). Because as investors seen $SIVE make 1000% returns in 2 months, investors will continue to search for and buy into the other enablers such as $IQE, $ALMU, $ASYS, and $OPTX, that will hopefully hit the same returns (yes I'm in this as well). I'm not saying these will go 1000% by the way, I actually think as time goes on, each pump go to less and less percent (ex: 1000, then 700, then 500, etc.), until investors fully swap to the enablers that actually have a historical past of producing, or beneficiaries. We're not at this stage yet though. We're still in that stage where people can pump up 1000% imo (with the right thesis + people). That's why I'm still holding my enablers for short-term trades. ---------------------------------------------------------- Well, I hope that helps. This is where I'm positioned over the long-run. Crypto, beneficiaries, EVs, undervalued companies in any sector ($LYFT, $NIO, $RIVN, $CELH are some). Then enablers for the short-term.


$MU: I knew it was ready for the breakout. Next stop -> 530 -> 650.





官媒确定了,香港银行卡也要被封禁了😅 现在的措施是: 1.中资银行暂停为内地居民开设投资/财富管理账户 2.储蓄账户开户门槛提高(也就是普通人不让开) 3. 要求新增声明条款——客户须确认资金来源非内地 按照封禁券商的节奏,过两年就要清退账户了😂 如果实在要开香港卡,也别去中资银行🏦

Big Huawei announcement: “By 2031, high-end chips based on the Tau (τ) Scaling Law are expected to achieve transistor density equivalent to that of a 1.4-nanometer process.”



High Tight Flag 是我认为最具爆发力的波段交易setup之一。 很多人在交易这类setup时常犯的错误就是:过早把仓位全部止盈,然后幻想在更低的位置买回,赚更多差价。 但很多人不知道的是,强势HTF的盘整时间和回调幅度往往比很多人想象中的要更短。对于热度极高的动能股来说,往往5-10个交易日就足够完成整理。 这时候如果一味执着于做 T,很可能会错过后面的超级涨幅,最后因小失大。 例: $HIVE 2025/09














