
Sam Winter-Levy
1.4K posts

Sam Winter-Levy
@SamWinterLevy
Fellow @CarnegieEndow, Technology + International Affairs. Previously poli sci PhD @ Princeton, @ForeignAffairs, @TheEconomist.



Fantastic from @chinatalk / Fluegel and Corvino on WuXi AppTec and the Chinese biotech sector and its historical US link. From a strategy perspective, it's surprising how many leading Chinese firms (WuXi, CATL, Foxconn, etc) are pure econ of scale/scope plays.





I don't think automation of AI R&D will rapidly lead to domain-general super-intelligence. I think this will be true even if AIs can do *literally everything* a human AI researcher does today. Even after the full automation of AI R&D, further capabilities progress will only happen through (1) widespread deployment of AI throughout the economy, accompanied by data collection; and/or (2) the wholesale recreation of much of the economy by AI labs. Without access to the real-world signal provided by either of the above, I think that the only thing produced by automated AI researchers would be a "Goodhart Singularity". If I'm right, this is obviously good news. I make the case for this in a new piece on my substack












