SamraN
15.9K posts
@BeckyCNN @HTAlhasan The UAE has proven its resilience in real tests. Energy and security systems held firm, keeping operations stable while others faced disruption. That reliability is what defines progress here.
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Arab and European nations are scrambling for a path out of the Strait of Hormuz crisis. @HTAlhasan tells me Gulf states “cannot live under constant Iranian blackmail” — as pressure grows to secure one of the world’s most vital shipping lanes.
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That 17% isn't a temporary thing..it's a 3 to 5 year thing.
Europe is fucked. Can't buy gas from Russia because America. Can't fill the gap with gas from Qatar because America.
Hümeyra Pamuk@humeyra_pamuk
DOHA — Iranian attacks have knocked out 17% of Qatar's liquefied natural gas (LNG) export capacity, causing an estimated $20 billion in lost annual revenue and threatening supplies to Europe and Asia, QatarEnergy's CEO and state minister for energy affairs told Reuters.
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How did Hezbollah rebuild itself?
If Iran has Mosaic doctrine, Hezbollah has “Mughniyeh spirit”, which has envisioned establishing dispersed, semi-autonomous units, which don’t need direct instruction.
Fascinating read by @adamchams
middleeasteye.net/news/exclusive…
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Netanyahu says Iran has no ability to enrich uranium, produce ballistic missiles.
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I’m convinced most officials & specialists are too immersed in the moment to realize a certain basic fact about why Iran is striking the Gulf.
When Iran was fighting in Syria & Iraq, its field commanders & their proxies (and their ecosystems in countries of Iranian influence) always promised that the next battle would be in the Gulf. This was conveyed, explicitly or otherwise, by Qassem Soleimani and allies like Abu Mahdi Al-Muhandis, Hassan Nasrallah and the Assad regime. It was part of a doctrine guiding Iran’s regional strategy, not mere passing comments.
(The same language that Israel began using against regional countries only recently. “Qatar is next” or “Turkey is the new Iran” etc. Iran has used that language for many years.)
Now, Gulf countries look at Iran and wonder: Why is Iran hitting us when we tried to talk Trump out of striking it? Iran knows we tried our best. Iran’s action is understandable if it targeted the UAE and Saudi Arabia, but why mediators like Qatar? Yes we have US bases, yes we can scream at the US, but it still makes little sense, even from a basic divide-and-conquer strategy.
But Iran sees this war as having begun at least a decade or so ago, and the Gulf states played a vital role in getting Iran to where it is today. The Gulf is the problem, not just Israel or the US. Strategically reckless, but that is the plain IRGC logic. This is clear if those officials had followed the rhetoric over the last 1-2 decades and the nitty-gritty behavior of Iran on a ground level outside Iran.
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@mtracey Just because officials claim Iran’s capabilities are largely degraded doesn’t mean the fighting stops war isn’t over just because one side says “we’ve shattered their military.” They’re still striking deep targets, hitting infrastructure that supports Iran’s ability to fight back
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Hegseth says today, March 19, will be "the largest strike package yet" of the entire war, just like yesterday, March 18, was also the largest to that point.
Trump said on March 14: "We have already destroyed 100% of Iran’s Military capability"
So what are they still bombing?
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IRGC about to get obliterated beyond belief.
FinancialJuice@financialjuice
QatarEnergy CEO: We may have to declare force majeure on long-term contracts for up to five years for LNG supplies to Italy, Belgium, Korea, and China.
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@rparsi @MazMHussain Yes but the bases were not used for the attacks. And iran didn’t just attack the bases but civilian infrastructure
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It is unfortunate what is happening. But if you are hosting military bases of a country that engages in an attack on its neighbor you either have an option to condemn the attack and expel the bases or you inevitably become party to the conflict. There is nothing to be surprised about and only the Omani government has been honest enough to acknowledge this. The GCC states and Iran are destined by geography to need to have a relationship whereas the U.S. presence is clearly what triggered this war while providing no protection once it ensued.
Clash Report@clashreport
Saudi Arabia's Foreign Minister Prince Faisal bin Farhan Al Saud slams Iran: They continue to attack their neighbors, their brothers, while calling for Islamic solidarity. How can they expect solidarity and support while attacking Islamic countries, harming their interests, and targeting their civilians? How can they call for diplomatic solutions while attacking nations that have no connection to the ongoing conflict? If Iran believes that the Gulf states are incapable of resilience or response, then its calculations are wrong. Political responses are available, and non-political responses are also on the table. Iran must review its intentions. If it is sincere in extending a hand of friendship and brotherhood, it must first uphold the principles of Islam, which do not allow a true Muslim to attack their neighbors—especially Muslim neighbors, civilians, and the interests of Muslim nations. It appears that Iran has not taken these considerations into account, and all of this comes at a price.
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@MazMHussain @arash_tehran @rparsi He’s another Iranian frothing at the mouth for more bombing of his own country… best ignored.
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A lot of people are critical of the Islamic Republic’s war strategy and understanding of the war, including its targeting of Gulf energy facilities.
But if you’re the leadership in Tehran, how else would you fight a war aimed at regime change?
Israel hits your gas facility. You can’t reach US gas facilities and Israel’s are difficult because of interceptors and medium-range missile degradation. So what do you do to restore some semblance of deterrence?
Important to note Gulf energy facilities almost all have major investments from US companies, including ConocoPhillips, Exxon Mobil, Baker Hughes, Halliburton, etc.
And by the way, Tehran’s strategy seemed to have worked. Trump is begging for a halt to escalation.
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@HendovRuaGOAT @eugyppius1 @FistedFoucault It's gonna affect everyone and China gets most of its gas from Russia anyhow
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@Samra_D @eugyppius1 @FistedFoucault They just took 20% of their natural gas offline. 20% of all the natural gas the Chinese industrial powerhouse uses. That is no small thing. They knew it when they attacked. Iran just said fuck you China.
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Trump is a scumbag...but there's no point in wanting him removed because all the alternatives, whether (R) or (D) are the exact same shit
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@Samra_D Maybe because that’s precisely the claim he made, that he knew nothing about the South Pars attack?
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Axios reports that the Israeli attack against the South Pars complex was coordinated by the United States and Israel "and approved by Washington." axios.com/2026/03/19/ira…
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@johnfeb285 @lilyslynch I think his pasty white son just hangs out in Miami
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@lilyslynch What does Netanyahu's son doing for Americans? His daughter was a scientist and doctor curing American patients and researching on cancer.
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Ali Larijani's daughter, Fatemeh Ardeshir-Larijani, was an assistant professor in the department of hematology and medical oncology at Emory University in Atlanta until January. emorywheel.com/article/emory-…
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@viviannereim Oman is effectively functioning as a Trojan horse in the region. We must prevent it from gaining deeper access to our strategic sphere, as it operates more as an Iranian proxy than as a genuine ally.
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In a shockingly frank essay, Oman's foreign minister — who mediated talks between the U.S. and Iran — suggests that "America has lost control of its own foreign policy" and that its allies must tell the truth and bring it back to the negotiating table:
economist.com/by-invitation/…
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The closing of the Strait of Hormuz will be judged as one of the greatest strategic mistakes made by the leadership of the Islamic Republic of #Iran.
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Hegseth: Iran a Persistent Threat to U.S. Forces
Pete Hegseth said the US must clearly identify what he described as “Islamist enemies,” whether Sunni or Shia, arguing that Iran has been willing to support multiple groups targeting Americans.
He said Tehran has consistently targeted US forces in places like Iraq and Afghanistan, and warned that President Donald Trump will not tolerate a regime that continues such actions while moving closer to nuclear capability.
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Israel-myopic obsessives seem to have missed that the Gulf Arab states, especially Mohammad Bin Salman, also reportedly lobbied Trump to bomb Iran, and are now urging him to go all the way with regime change. Learning this might upset the weird cartoon world they've constructed
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