Mikhail Doroshenko

223 posts

Mikhail Doroshenko

Mikhail Doroshenko

@SandelloRed

Katılım Temmuz 2020
682 Takip Edilen42 Takipçiler
Mikhail Doroshenko
Mikhail Doroshenko@SandelloRed·
@daniel_271828 I would not be surprised if it matched on some set of cyber benchmarks. That doesn't mean that it will match in actual usefulness
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Mikhail Doroshenko
Mikhail Doroshenko@SandelloRed·
@Jsevillamol I've read this when it just came out: #gid=0" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener">docs.google.com/spreadsheets/u…
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Jaime Sevilla
Jaime Sevilla@Jsevillamol·
Who are the most Epoch-pilled people who don't work at Epoch?
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Wyatt Walls
Wyatt Walls@lefthanddraft·
@SandelloRed @ianchanning Possibly, though I am not sure it would be that easy for a general LLM (as opposed to model specifically trained on the game). They might be able to build good bots though Part of the fun and challenge is using vision to do this.
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Wyatt Walls
Wyatt Walls@lefthanddraft·
@ianchanning Maybe should have done StarCraft Terran = OpenAI Protoss = Anthropic Zerg = Google
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Håvard Ihle
Håvard Ihle@htihle·
With the new ARC-AGI results from GLM 5.2, together with the WeirdML results, we now have 8 private benchmark datapoints on the gaps closed by GLM 5.2, for an average of 8.1 months. This is consistent with the trend in my (pre GLM 5.2) analysis, but is some evidence against the gap growing. I will do a new full analysis in a few months, probably with many more benchmarks included, but for now this is what we get from the same benchmarks as the original analysis. Datapoints: WeirdML GPT-5 → GLM-5.2   10.3 months Gemini 3 Pro → GLM-5.2   6.9 months GPT-5.2 → GLM-5.2   6.1 months ARC-AGI-1 GPT-5 Pro → GLM-5.2   8.3 months Claude Opus 4.5 → GLM-5.2   6.7 months ARC-AGI-2 Grok 4 → GLM-5.2   11.2 months GPT-5 Pro → GLM-5.2   8.3 months Gemini 3 Pro → GLM-5.2   6.9 months Average: 8.1 months behind (backward looking)
Håvard Ihle tweet media
Håvard Ihle@htihle

How far behind are open models? Across 17 selected benchmarks, private ones show a gap of 8-10 months today, almost 2x the gap on public ones (4-6 mo). More discussion (including limitations), code and blog in the thread.

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Eric Topol
Eric Topol@EricTopol·
We stress tested many frontier AI models for multimodal medical reasoning (including GPT-5, Claude 3.5, Gemini 2.5 Pro). They’re not ready. Faulty reasoning, use of inappropriate shortcuts, hallucinations. Published today @NatureMedicine nature.com/articles/s4159…
Eric Topol tweet media
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Mikhail Doroshenko
Mikhail Doroshenko@SandelloRed·
@DimitrisPapail They are not rank 2 though. You are taking a tiny subset of highly correlated evals. There are thousands of them, and we don't even have to go far. Just taking 5 examples from life bench:
Mikhail Doroshenko tweet media
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Dimitris Papailiopoulos
Dimitris Papailiopoulos@DimitrisPapail·
BenchPress is here! A way to predict benchmarks without running them. Basically can run 5 "principal" benchmarks and estimate the rest within <3.9%. Kinda nuts it works so well. Evals are rank 2 lol
Dimitris Papailiopoulos tweet media
Yuchen Zeng@yzeng58

💻Tired of running so many slow, expensive benchmark evals across every checkpoint? Try ✨BenchPress✨ at microsoft.github.io/benchpress/: provide a few benchmark scores, then get predictions for the remaining ~100 benchmarks, with trust probabilities and calibrated 90% prediction intervals. How does this work? In his original post (x.com/DimitrisPapail…), @DimitrisPapail first tried the idea as a fun question: collect model-by-benchmark scores into a matrix, find its low-rank structure, and use matrix completion to predict missing benchmark scores from a few observed ones. We expanded this into a full system: a fully audited 84-model x 133-benchmark score matrix, an optimized matrix-completion predictor, and a reliability layer for trust probabilities and 90% prediction intervals. Beyond predicting missing scores, we also suggest practical seed benchmark sets. The five-probe set {GPQA-D, HLE, Codeforces, MMLU-Pro, ARC-AGI-1} recovers the rest of a model's public score profile with a MedAE of 3.93 points. A lower-cost set {GPQA-D, MMLU-Pro, Aider Polyglot, MATH-500, AIME 2026} reaches 4.55 points. See more details below 🧵1/7 This work is with @DimitrisPapail at AI Frontiers, a boutique research lab inside @MSFTResearch.

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Nathan 🔎
Nathan 🔎@NathanpmYoung·
In AI, there seem some widely agreed bad outcomes: - All humans die at once - Fewer than 1000 people control 99.9% of human resources (Feel free to name more)
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Nathan 🔎
Nathan 🔎@NathanpmYoung·
Everybody really wants to pick the right AI future. How about instead we took keyhole steps to avoid the very worst outcomes and then see where we get to?
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Psyho
Psyho@FakePsyho·
This might be the stupidest "benchmark" circulating here. The "offline" test is literally just 16 multiple-choice questions of questionable quality. I assume anyone talking about AI has basic numeracy, so I genuinely don’t get how anyone can share this and keep a straight face.
Psyho tweet mediaPsyho tweet media
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Leo Gao
Leo Gao@nabla_theta·
Last year, I randomly surveyed people walking around at neurips, and found that only 63% of people (n=38) could tell me what AGI stands for I'm repeating the experiment this year. Preregister your guess for the % this year now!
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roon
roon@tszzl·
there’s a lot of juice left in the idea of the odysseus pact. as technological temptations grow, we will need to make more and more baroque compacts with machines that tie us to masts so we can live our best lives. of course, you must choose to make these compacts freely. the diseases of abundance require new types of self-control. you might imagine an agent at the kernel level of your life that you promise to limit your spending on sports gambling, or time spent scrolling reels, and you stick with it. it will require a product and cultural movement, and is the only way forward that comports with American ideals of liberty and self-direction. this is not a country like china that would accept national limits on video gaming for example
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Mikhail Doroshenko
Mikhail Doroshenko@SandelloRed·
@nearcyan Specific page from a real book (those who have it can verify if it's real)
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Mikhail Doroshenko
Mikhail Doroshenko@SandelloRed·
@nearcyan A strategy video game on the screen of the device as the sole target of the photo
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Mikhail Doroshenko
Mikhail Doroshenko@SandelloRed·
@Bayesian0_0 I would not be fully confident about this. It did solve some of the rejected HLE problems of mine that no other model ever did
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Bayesian
Bayesian@Bayesian0_0·
this is a good and exciting model, but people saying open-source overtook closed-source are overstating things imo. When tested by independent parties this will likely not be SOTA on any of: METR 50% T-H, FrontierMath 1-3&4, ECI, GPQA, Aider Polyglot, ARC-AGI 1&2, and even HLE
Kimi.ai@Kimi_Moonshot

🚀 Hello, Kimi K2 Thinking! The Open-Source Thinking Agent Model is here. 🔹 SOTA on HLE (44.9%) and BrowseComp (60.2%) 🔹 Executes up to 200 – 300 sequential tool calls without human interference 🔹 Excels in reasoning, agentic search, and coding 🔹 256K context window Built as a thinking agent, K2 Thinking marks our latest efforts in test-time scaling — scaling both thinking tokens and tool-calling turns. K2 Thinking is now live on kimi.com in chat mode, with full agentic mode coming soon. It is also accessible via API. 🔌 API is live: platform.moonshot.ai 🔗 Tech blog: moonshotai.github.io/Kimi-K2/thinki… 🔗 Weights & code: huggingface.co/moonshotai

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Louise 🔸 (France 5-15/7, Berkeley 7/22-8/12)
Open offer: I (straight, 30-yo woman) will review your dating profile and give you honest feedback In exchange you owe me a coffee if you ever come to London OR I come to your city. I may or may not choose to collect.
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