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Shalle
109 posts

Shalle
@Shalle94
Timing the market beats time in the market
Katılım Şubat 2016
109 Takip Edilen159 Takipçiler

@AnyesVIP @__d_1ggin You were in the right names though, that means you are on the right track
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@__d_1ggin I was initially in TQQQ and SOXL, but I sold way too early, because I thought he was going to attack Iran again. And I was scared that the market would give it all back.
I was in MXL but sold after 20%. Like a fool. And I was in ARM, sold after 20%. Same with STX.
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@AnyesVIP @CFlanders7 The systemic risk of a closed hormuz strait has been slower than expected. If the market never reacts to this then I'll never care about these things ever again when trading and I will only focus on price. Because I've passed on so many breakouts worrying market might revert soon
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@Shalle94 @CFlanders7 I kind of know, too, but it doesn’t make me feel any better. I was looking at all the noise outside instead of at the market. This geopolitical situation is impossible for me to confront and take in stride. I feel super defeated. Feel like I have to wait till next correction
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For anyone who has underperformed during this rally. I know, it sucks. I’ve been there. I’ve underperformed many times in rallies where it seemed like money was raining from the heavens and I ended up empty handed. The worst was 2019 where I was heavily long the entire rally and somehow lost 30%. Kept over sizing and losing and was able to dig a huge hole which I wasn’t able to dig out of until the huge rally in 2020.
This rally I’ve underperformed as well.
But guess what! It’s not over yet!
There may be many more opportunities and there will be a lot more rallies too. The market isn’t going anywhere. Reflect on what went wrong, how you can correct your process and go from there.
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@AnyesVIP @CFlanders7 Tell me about it, I'm 10% behind it. It is really painful but I know what has gone wrong for me and I will improve on that.
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@CFlanders7 Stupid S&P 500. I’m like 1% to 8% behind the S&P, depending on the account. Might as well just put money in that and save myself the time, stress and anxiety if I can’t do better. Super disappointing.
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@GothamChess here is the FEN: 1Q6/5rk1/p4pp1/1p2p3/6p1/2PPb1K1/PP6/7R w - - 15 34
Indonesia

@kulturdesken Yes, but they didn't have much cash available. I've also made other calls such as August 5 2024
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The biggest opportunities comes around repeatedly about once every 1-4 years and it looks something like the image. If you'd only trade here you could outperform pretty much all market participants.
Around this time I spammed my friends watchout group about the trade of a lifetime. How many do you think followed the idea?
Answer: 0.
And 2 of 7 left the chat group.
Ps A big thanks to EG @PradeepBonde for Market Monitor and making the concept so clear with data.

English

STAN WEINSTEIN SEES STOCK MARKET TOP SIGNS
Veteran trader Stan Weinstein warns that the stock market may have peaked. In his weekly Global Trend Alert, he cites several signals:
🔸 The S&P 500’s late-October high (6,920.34 on Oct. 29) was “deceptive,” occurring alongside poor breadth as declining stocks outnumbered advancing ones.
🔸 His S&P and Secondary surveys failed to reach “clearly bullish” levels before the October peak.
🔸 Weekly updates showed more sell than buy recommendations and more unfavorably-rated than favorably-rated sectors.
The S&P 500 is now over 4% below its all-time high and recently had its worst week since early October. With Fed rate-cut expectations shifting and AI stock valuations under scrutiny, Weinstein urges extreme caution, especially during the low-volume Thanksgiving week, when markets can be more volatile.
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@lesse_jivermore Here is @andrewrsorkin talking about RCA as a meme stock from his book about 1929 youtu.be/Yp6EggtUBYI?t=…

YouTube
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Many market and financial historians see the Radio Corporation of America, RCA, as the quintessential example of an overvalued stock that represents the broader irrational exuberance of a bubble market. RCA was one of, if not the most, highly anticipated IPO of 1924. It controlled a huge share of the flourishing radio market in the country. Nation-wide sales of radios for all companies in 1920 was less than $5M and had hit $350M in 1924. In 1921 there were 5 radio stations. By 1923 there were 556. Radio was growing incredibly fast in the 1920s. AT&T sold off its radio stations to RCA in 1926. RCA was such a dominant player in the radio industry that there was an anti-trust suit against the company in the 1920s which was dropped.
Although it was called the 'Radio' Corporation of America, it is important to note that RCA was much more than a radio stock, and it was one of the most technologically advanced publicly traded companies of its day and had operations in several hot sectors. Not only did RCA lead the radio industry by making and selling more radios than any other company, but they also had radio stations, sold vacuum tubes, were at the forefront of sound and video recording, helped pioneer television, and even created the National Broadcasting Company, NBC.
In 1927, the first movie with talking actors was released. This brought about many changes to both the sound recording and film industries, and RCA played a large role in both. RCA developed systems for synchronizing music and sound with film. Their partnership with Victor Talking Machines, the largest manufacturer of record players in the country, helped to increase their footprint in the sound recording and music space. It also gave them access to the musicians that Victor had signed and became the basis of RCA Records, their record label.
A major cutting edge technology of the time was television. Commonly referred to as "radio pictures," the wireless transmission of movies and the idea of live broadcasting of news and events with the accompaniment of synchronized sound was a revolutionary advancement in technology. Radio companies were seen as the natural beneficiaries of this emerging technology and surely played a part in the wild speculation in RCA and other radio companies' stock.
$25-$570, 2,180%




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@Jollanjoule Ja PL var nice, såg fram emot den rapporten men siffrorna var svagare än vad jag hoppades på. Fick uppenbarligen fel om den
Svenska

@Shalle94 Thank you for checking back with us. There is still no ETA for the ISK account type; however, it is being considered.
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