Shantanu Mullick

@DominikGutt Very interesting work. Perhaps, the impact may also change over time as access to chatgpt currently is a bit more restricted (I believe). I think there is a queue to get a paid subscription now, and free queries are no longer entertained.

This is just very preliminary work. We want to develop this into a more general piece about how LLMs affect the demand and supply of answers, especially in terms of quality and quantity. There is no WP uploaded yet, but stay tuned!

🚨New project alert🚨 As @AnthonyLeeZhang has pointed out, LLMs like GPT-4 or Bing AI are a serious threat to traditional Q&A platforms like StackExchange. @QuinnMrtn and I are currently estimating to what extent LLMs are affecting Q&A platforms.

@Prof_Yildirim Nice workflow. I wonder what would happen if you plug in the output of the transcription software into chatgpt... perhaps a first draft of the review?

Thanks for reading! These points will be trivial to some, but not to all. Would love to hear how you go about your reports too.

A busy month of refereeing, luckily with papers that I am really enjoying reading. Inspired by @pereztruglia’s thoughtful notes, here are some heuristics I use while refereeing.

@Bidlet47 @alexillustrator I thought in France you can choose a GP that charges only €15 for an appointment. In which case, the visit becomes free although you still have to pay upfront. People from less sound economical backgrounds can apply and be exempt from this upfront payment as well.

@erinhengel Sorry to hear you had to pay the NHS surcharge twice! I believe the yearly surcharge also increased over the last few years. It must have been a double whammy!

@ShantanuMullick I’m pretty sure you don’t *have* to apply for permanent residency after 5 years (although you certainly *should*). But whatever the case, you still have to pay the full five year NHS fees on the second visa. (I know because it happened to me!!)

It's even worst than this. Suppose a foreigner (without permanent residency) changes jobs while in the UK. Then she has to pay these NHS fees *twice* (or as many times as she changes jobs).

@erinhengel Wow, I had no idea! Its very different from the EU where the work permit is not linked to any employer.

@ShantanuMullick Also, no your new visa will have to be for the same length of time as your original visa. (In my own case, I had to get another 5 year visa even though I was months away from being able to apply for indefinite leave to remain. It was absolutely bonkers.)

@erinhengel I thought the maximum duration of a Tier-2 visa was 5 years. If you change jobs after 1 year, your new visa will be valid for another 4 years. After a total of 5 years of stay, you can apply for permanent residency.

For example, suppose you are in the UK on a 5-year Tier 2 visa. To get the visa, you had to pay 5 years in NHS fees. Say 1 year into your visa you change jobs. Then you have to obtain *another* visa (suppose again it's for 5 years) and pay *another* 5 years of NHS fees.

@raulpacheco Utrecht is the most central..

If you wanted to travel around The Netherlands (Utrecht, Tilburg, Delft), which city would be most central (easiest to travel from and to)? (I fly out of Amsterdam's Schiphol, of course).

@sokolo8a @DrGoncharenko I believe international students fees is (approx) 5 times that of domestic (i.e., Dutch/EU) student fees. So the business angle does not appear to be a consideration..

@DrGoncharenko One of the points they make is that enrollments are too high, so the burden on teachers is increasing. That is complete bs - the largest programs (500-1000 students per intake) are BA and Premaster and they are mostly (if not exclusively) Dutch. My money is on good old xenophbia.

"Science Minister Robbert Dijkgraaf is asking universities of applied sciences and research universities to stop recruiting international students." Next step would be to stop hiring international faculty? And then maybe start deporting all internationals? nltimes.nl/2022/12/22/cab…

@random_walker If you look at it after changing the font, it often tricks your brains into thinking it is something different from what you just worked on. Will definitely try back to front editing!

The best way to edit your writing is to have someone else do it. The second best way is to put it away for a few weeks before editing it, so the text isn't fresh in your mind. Back-to-front editing is always worthwhile, but especially when the first two options aren't available.

15 years ago my PhD advisor taught me One Weird Trick for editing your own writing. Edit **back to front**, paragraph by paragraph. I still use it and it still surprises me how well it works. When I get my students to do it, it often blows their minds. Try it!

@jmtroos Haha. Maybe it would be nice to have a study to see if these kind of robust sales training are better than more structured/logical sales training in terms of sales performance etc.

Secret footage of the employee break room at Anne Taylor Loft

@alixabeth @prof_mirya Having incentives for weekly goal is really cool. It seems within reach and one can always push oneself ot get there. I will try to incorporate a budget-friendly weekly incentive! :)

@deaneckles @NZJamesS @giulio_mattioli @a_free_ride Maybe a first step would be to ban private jets/flights taken by the rich, as this accounts for a large % of emissions. As these people would then travel frequently in first class, one can tax them? But I doubt if this will ever happen..

@NZJamesS @giulio_mattioli @a_free_ride Yeah, how are frequent flyer taxes supposed to work? I guess this involves some novel flows of personal data and new specialized needs for unique identifiers of passengers

The idea that one would set up a complex tax regime just to tax only "frequent flyers" (rather than just this being part of a carbon tax) just seems so absurd, and reflective of a worrying political failure.

@borrfdad @HernanBruno1975 @AgnesCallard I also liked the lying life of adults

@HernanBruno1975 @AgnesCallard My brilliant friend just absolutely floored me. Hard to overstate the passive insight into the psychology of young people

Which novels exhibit the deepest insights into human psychology?

@AmandaKMontoya @SMasonGarrison @SpillerSAS Thanks a lot!

@ShantanuMullick @SMasonGarrison @SpillerSAS I followed this video youtu.be/7FHBSLMShVc

@AmandaKMontoya @SMasonGarrison @SpillerSAS Thats cool! I am curious how you were able to upload new templates on remarkable. Do you mind sharing :)

@SMasonGarrison @SpillerSAS I recently learned how to upload templates. So now I can do my productivity planner on it as well!

@prof_mirya Thanks! :-) I gave it a shot. I will try to use it more often as its better than calculating time on projects based on my outlook calendar - I tend to stray from my agenda sometimes (well more than sometimes, if I am being honest!).

@prof_mirya I am curious how is toggl different from rescue time.. Does it permit time tracking for individual projects.

@causalinf This is an amazing way to introduce the course! And only $11

I follow this couple on TikTok and saw them on Cameo so I asked them to help me manage my students' expectations for my new prep on history of economic thought. Best $11 ever spent.

@GAHK @OferMintz @nomologic @AradhnaKrishna @JCRNEWS @AMA_JMR For quant,imho,it may be close to 20K figure mentioned if you count cost of delay & your own time. For proprietary data, it may take a year from first contact to receiving the data. Also discussions with a company may not end as planned: you don't get data.

@OferMintz @nomologic @AradhnaKrishna @JCRNEWS @AMA_JMR Not my experience, but curious about others. I would say it’s under 5K.

I am concerned about the $ to publish a CB paper now. Assuming a paper gets into the first journal one submits to, you can still be looking at 15-20 studies and 3000-4000 subjects. That’s $10-20K. If it’s rejected, the expense increases. Will our field shrink? @JCRNEWS @AMA_JMR

@btshapir @Prof_Yildirim Thanks for checking!

@ShantanuMullick @Prof_Yildirim I'm not actually sure, but I can find out.

New working paper! "Estimating the Value of Offsite Data to Advertisers on Meta," with Nils Wernerfelt, @tuchmanna & Robert Moakler We ask, "how much would it hurt advertising efficiency if Meta couldn't use 3rd party data for ad targeting?" papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cf…