Serrib𓅃

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Serrib𓅃

Serrib𓅃

@Sirrawb

ML Space Cadet, Bad at Jiu-Jitsu and other things (he/him)

Katılım Haziran 2017
982 Takip Edilen657 Takipçiler
Analytica Camillus
Analytica Camillus@AnalyticaCamil1·
No, there wasn’t an operation to capture the Uranium (actually, dudes from the unit billeted to capture the Uranium had to be flown in to blow up the aircraft that got stuck). Not only did this crew just not have enough guys on hand to breach Isfahan, they didn’t have enough aircraft to carry the equipment needed to breach it. On top of that, they burned one of the landing sites they’d probably use to support said operation.
Financelot@FinanceLancelot

The "downed pilot" was a fake cover story for a failed US military operation to capture Iran’s primary stockpile of highly enriched 60% uranium, roughly 440–970 pounds. The primary stockpile is located at Isfahan, exactly where the pilot was "lost." This explains why the US heavily bombed the area while "searching" and why the C-130s were destroyed without loss of life. The C-130s were hit on the ground while the special forces attempted to secure the material. The entire operation became a massive rescue operation to extract the soldiers.

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Serrib𓅃@Sirrawb·
@cirnosad And the IRGC could theoretically leak their whereabouts to IDF who would kill them to kill a ceasefire
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Korobochka (コロボ) 🇦🇺✝️
Of course I’ve noticed. The people Trump has been talking about are the Zarif gang. They clearly have a line open and are representing the “post war” Iran to Trump against the IRGC. They’re telling him who to assassinate, it’s like a coup with air support.
ستار@str1668120

@cirnosad يبدو ان هناك خيانه داخليه عملاقه وانت تعرف من اقصد

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Raptor Jesus
Raptor Jesus@bearsarestupid·
@Sirrawb @Pataramesh @clashreport About how people like you can't stop hanging on every word out of Trump's mouth. Wishing death on our troops. Cheering for our demise. Pathetic lmao
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Clash Report
Clash Report@clashreport·
Trump: We have some helicopters with a lot of bullet holes; you probably know that.
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Zagonel
Zagonel@Zagonel85·
Video showing possible moment Iranians attempted to interfere with U.S. CSAR deep inside Iranian territory.
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Serrib𓅃@Sirrawb·
@C0l3c @MadPaki @FoxNews True, but it does mean one of the crewmen probably did not make it, or he is just making stuff up as usual
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Colec
Colec@C0l3c·
@MadPaki @FoxNews No dumbass, the 1 or 2 number is if they didn't proceed with the rescue mission.
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Fox News
Fox News@FoxNews·
BREAKING: "I ordered the U.S. Armed Forces to do whatever was necessary to bring our brave warriors back home. A risky decision, because we could have ended up with 100 dead as opposed to 1 or 2. It's a hard decision to make, but in the United States military, we leave no American behind. We don't do it." - President Trump
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Serrib𓅃@Sirrawb·
@cym27s These drone operators need to slow down and take a bit more time in the final moments
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VolgaLad
VolgaLad@cym27s·
Hezbollah has released footage showing FPV drone strikes on an IDF Merkava tank and an Eitan APC in the town of Rchaf, southern Lebanon
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Serrib𓅃
Serrib𓅃@Sirrawb·
@cirnosad The oil supply shocks haven’t hit the West yet. Yes prices high but the actual shocks and shortages have barely begun in Asia and will begin in Europe within days. Trust the plan
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Korobochka (コロボ) 🇦🇺✝️
My greatest fear is that Iran gets too relaxed with the current motion of war. The nature of this war has just changed, but Iran doesn't seem to react. Its greatest victories so far: Destroying the Arab shield. Destroying the "Iron dome". Destroying America's EW warfare units. Destroying 17% of Ras Laffan (then... stopping mysteriously) Closure of the Hormuz Rendering CENTCOM bases inoperable Missed targets: America is still entrenched in Iraq. Israel is relatively undamaged. Most Arab infrastructure is still online, only light damage overall. Flow of oil is still possible through bypasses. Multiple vows of destruction (3 categories so far) have not been fulfilled. No bridges destroyed, one particular one can isolated Bahrain. Can Iran actually destroy a bridge? We don't know yet. Can Iran survive the next phase of this war with this static mindset? I'm afraid not. It has to get more flexible and far far more damaging. We know if can do it, it could have repeated the attack on Ras Laffan and drove the world to despair, destroying Qatar as a whole. But it stopped. Now its own gas plants have been completely destroyed, if we believe Israeli reports. There has been no response from Iran at all. This is sewercide.
Derifina@derifina22

@cirnosad Iran is betting on this being a protracted war. They don't understand that it's not guaranteed. Their strategies are too conventional and don't evolve based on the current situation.

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Raptor Jesus
Raptor Jesus@bearsarestupid·
@Pataramesh @clashreport The amount of copium on display by all the weakness of the world is delicious. Yall just hate us, admit it. But you can't survive without us, so all this bullshit whining is just a show.
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Serrib𓅃
Serrib𓅃@Sirrawb·
@squatsons Sad to say I don’t think US will stop until a ground invasion is repulsed
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ayden
ayden@squatsons·
Watching the same commentators fall back into the negotiation cycle after 4 years of Ukraine and multiple failed ME negotiations is tiresome. The only way this ends is if the U.S. makes it end. We don’t want it to end because currently we’d be looking at an Iran with more control over the global economy and a new war borne regime that is now an actual real threat to US/Israeli interests in the Middle East. Still possesses enriched uranium No regime change Ballistic missile capabilities maintained Drone capabilities maintained Domestic support for the regime, high As I’ve said before, if we leave it’s because we simply can’t continue to fight at a high pace and need a recess.
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KUTUB
KUTUB@KUTUBProduction·
@Sirrawb Now you know why im waiting I need solid story then its published.
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KUTUB
KUTUB@KUTUBProduction·
This is why Part 10 is not published yet. I wont buy Trump's fake story as we know how easily he lies. I want to be accurate and I have one shot at this. هذا سبب عدم نشري الجزء العاشر بعد. لن أصدق رواية ترامب المزيفة، فنحن نعرف كم يكذب بسهولة. أريد أن أكون دقيقاً ولدي فرصة واحدة فقط.​​​​​ الشعب الامريكي بمعركة فضح زيف العملية ومدى نجاحها الان لهذا ساصبر.
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Candace Owens@RealCandaceO

The more that is coming out about this “pilot rescue” — it’s looking like a massive disaster of a failed operation that the Pentagon is lying about that had nothing to do with rescuing a General. Independent journalists need to prod this Top Gun narrative. This may explain why Trump was enraged on Easter and demanding an end to satellite imagery.

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Today In History
Today In History@historigins·
That's why you should always light a flame before entering a cave
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Serrib𓅃@Sirrawb·
@cirnosad Refineries, petrochemicals are all important exports, its crude oil that is critical
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Korobochka (コロボ) 🇦🇺✝️
It gives me no pleasure to write this but Iran is on the edge of completely losing the initiative and a return to an intense death spiral due to its delay in promised attacks. The attack on Pars field and the latest attack on the additional refineries have crippled its ability to make good use of the Hormuz. The next hours and days to come will determine its fate. If it fails to carry out its promised retaliation, this is the end of the war and, unfortunately, Iran.
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notPNWGUERRILLA
notPNWGUERRILLA@NotPnwguerrilla·
Perfect knowledge for the next time i am carrying 12 fucking bricks in the mountains!!!
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Armchair Warlord
Armchair Warlord@ArmchairW·
In making sense of a complex event, it's often best to start with the facts and then work backwards from there. So what are we to make of this weekend in Iran? My theory is we just saw an attempt to seize Iran's stockpile of enriched uranium unravel. Down the rabbit hole.⬇️ Let's run through the timeline and the location of key events first: The evening of April 2nd, the Iranian military released a video of them shooting down a USAF aircraft. This was initially claimed as having occurred over the Persian Gulf, but apparently occurred near Isfahan. Wreckage corresponding to an F-15E of the 494th Tactical Fighter Squadron was recovered from a site south of Isfahan the morning of April 3rd, although geolocation of the very barren crash site took some time (fig. 1). The afternoon of April 3rd, a number of USAF HH-60s and an HC-130 fueler (!) were spotted operating further south and west in Iran, over Kogiluyeh and Boyer-Ahmad Province, as well as at least one A-10, an MQ-9 Reaper, and apparently an F-35. An antiaircraft battle developed and the Combat Search and Rescue (CSAR) HH-60s (fig.2) and an A-10 were damaged, with the A-10's pilot ejecting over the Persian Gulf. The HH-60s were reported as "damaged" and one was photographed trailing smoke. Reports emerged at that time that the pilot of the F-15E (which had crashed near Isfahan, although this was then-unclear!) had been rescued, while the WSO remained at large. Provincial authorities in Kohgiluyeh asked civilians to be on the lookout for an American aviator around this time and numerous photos of militia searching for him emerged. The next day passed relatively uneventfully. The evening of April 4th, however, there was a report of more helicopter activity slightly further north, in Chaharmahal and Bakhtiari Province, accompanied by a washed-out photograph of an unknown helicopter flying very low on a very dark night (fig. 3). Later that night news emerged that the F-15Es WSO had been rescued... and that C-130s had been abandoned and scuttled at a forward base in the Isfahan area during the withdrawal of a company-size SOF force that had landed in the area, over 100 operators ostensibly having been sent to rescue one aviator. Photographs that emerged as dawn broke showed two burned-out C-130s and several destroyed MH-6 Little Bird SOF assault helicopters, in a scene reminiscent of the aftermath of Operation Eagle Claw (fig. 4). A USAF C-295 tactical transport was caught on video around that time flying in Iran - presumably outbound - at extremely low altitude. So, what are we to make of this? First and foremost, the official story - that a huge direct-action SOF force landed near Isfahan with assault helicopters and heavy transport aircraft to rescue one fugitive airman - is nonsense. Not because the USAF won't go to extreme lengths to recover isolated personnel - it can, will, and did in this case - but because that's an absolutely nonsensical way to accomplish that mission. It's a totally inappropriate force package for a mission to go in, extract a single person from a remote area, and leave. Ergo this SOF task force was there on other business. So how were the pilots actually recovered? In all likelihood, exactly the way you would expect them to be recovered - by USAF PJs in long-range helicopters, under cover of darkness. The rescue force probably recovered the pilot from the Isfahan area late at night on April 2-3 and were caught in daylight as they exfiltrated, leading to the aforementioned antiaircraft battle the morning of April 3rd and a high-risk refueling over Iranian territory that was filmed by many Iranians on the ground, as well as a shot-down A-10 trying to clear a path for the helicopters to exfiltrate. The WSO was likely recovered from his hide site near Isfahan by HH-60 in a quiet and deliberate operation the night of April 4-5. One or two birds, in and out under cover of darkness - a far cry from the gung-ho stories currently being spun. So what about the SOF rodeo happening at the same time? Well, why was an F-15 flying downtown to Isfahan the evening of April 2nd to begin with? Probably because there was a huge direct-action raid planned in the Isfahan area for the night of April 4-5, likely going after enriched uranium at an underground facility in the region, and the Iranian air defenses around Isfahan weren't going to suppress themselves. The plan was likely to fly several MH-6 assault birds and a sizable force of operators via C-130 and C-295 to a forward staging area near Isfahan the evening of April 4th, hit a reported cache site or sites for enriched uranium, and try to make it out with the magic dust by daybreak on April 5th. In any event the USAF wasn't going to send transports somewhere it wouldn't send strike aircraft. So the Air Force cashed its check on claims of air superiority and in went the strike package the evening of April 2nd - and lo and behold one of the F-15Es went down because reports of the demise of the Iranian air defense network had been greatly exaggerated. Any rational planner would have scrubbed the SOF operation at this point because they'd lost control of the situation and the Iranian defenses had proven more effective than planned. We went ahead anyways and inserted the SOF task force the evening of April 4th. I strongly suspect that this force was immediately discovered by Iranian drones that would have been up and searching for this WSO, because five transport aircraft including at least two C-130s (about what would be required for a bunch of Little Birds and a company-sized element of operators with equipment) landing at a desert airstrip 50km from Isfahan (and in the same general area where the WSO was taking cover) would be pretty God-damn obvious to anything with thermals. Iranian troops immediately deployed and began converging, the task force probably took indirect fire, and the operational commander immediately aborted mission and retreated in the three remaining operational aircraft. Scuttling charges on delayed fuzes burned two C-130s and an unknown number of MH-6s that had been abandoned at the airstrip around dawn. The story that they were there to rescue the WSO was concocted at that time to cover the disastrously failed raid, as were logistically implausible claims that the task force had been rescued by three additional aircraft after the two C-130s got stuck on the LZ and were scuttled - perhaps to minimize the scale of the effort. Claims that a large battle took place appear to be similarly exaggerated - video has emerged of a single group of Iranian militia apparently killed in a drone strike, but nothing of the nonstop bombing and firefights that were rumored across Telegram all night. I remind the reader that the events of the last few days have proven quite conclusively that Iranians seem to have plenty of internet access to post photos and video when they actually have something worthwhile to film. I'd like to note that Hegseth fired General George - US Army Chief of Staff - on April 2nd, apparently because he just wasn't a good fit for the job and definitely not because he'd told him that this whole scheme was insane. It seems to me that the good General's advice should have perhaps been heeded.
Armchair Warlord tweet mediaArmchair Warlord tweet mediaArmchair Warlord tweet mediaArmchair Warlord tweet media
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Britsky
Britsky@TBrit90·
This is exactly what they did in Iran. 160th SOAR & 123rd STS training mission from a few years ago.
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Tytanic1984
Tytanic1984@tytanic1984·
@AryJeay Ha we didnt lose on person! You guys got ass blasted
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Arya Yadeghaar
Arya Yadeghaar@AryJeay·
The last photo of some of the Iranian military martyrs and those injured in the Kuh-e Siah of Dehdasht, hours before the US aircraft attacked them. According to some reports, this group targeted the C-130 aircraft(s) causing it to emergency land south of Isfahan.
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