Steel Phoenix

16.3K posts

Steel Phoenix

Steel Phoenix

@SteelPhoenix

If they can get you asking the wrong questions, they don't have to worry about the answers.

Katılım Ağustos 2012
115 Takip Edilen129 Takipçiler
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Steel Phoenix
Steel Phoenix@SteelPhoenix·
@elonmusk @CryptoArch3 My only objection so far to your polls was when you made your CEO vote look like a retreat. Also, when you're asking for advice, you don't have to take it. If you had run your businesses on 51% of whatever people though you should do, every one of them would have been a failure.
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Steel Phoenix
Steel Phoenix@SteelPhoenix·
I don't doubt the end. The transition looks bumpy. It's that point where half the people have been laid off and the other half aren't hiring. At the same time, the government is going to be trying to optimize for full employment and fight against productivity the whole way. UBI could work to reduce the worst of it, but if we distribute it evenly, most of the workers are still going to be under water, and if we don't, half of them are going to be calling foul.
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Penny2x
Penny2x@imPenny2x·
99% of people really do not understand abundance as Elon describes it. The fundamental reason is that they don’t understand compound growth. Same people who would probably pick 1 million dollars today over a penny that doubles in value every day for 30 days. It’s a bad choice by the way. You lose out on millions. Imagine if that doubling object was a labor producing robot instead of a penny. Compounding labor. It’s actually crazy if you try and wrap your mind around it. So Elon mentions Universl High Income and the midwits flip a lid. “The elites won’t share” You don’t get it. They won’t need to share. They will make everything so cheap, it is effectively free. Charities will have immense resources to distribute. Unfathomable intelligence will exist to help optimize production and distribution. An unfathomably large labor pool will exist that operates on solar power exclusively. The public work projects that are erected will be unseen before levels of breathtaking. I think we are incredibly blessed to steward this new age of abundance. Can you see it now? Can you see the future?
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Steel Phoenix
Steel Phoenix@SteelPhoenix·
@techdevnotes That's awesome! What do you mean by extract audio? Can it actually listen/analyze the way it currently can with images?
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Tech Dev Notes
Tech Dev Notes@techdevnotes·
Grok 4.3 can Take in Video and Extract Audio files
Tech Dev Notes tweet media
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Steel Phoenix
Steel Phoenix@SteelPhoenix·
That's a really good point I haven't seen mentioned. We hear a lot about the potential inflationary issues if we print money to cover the transition, and the individual consequences if we don't, but crickets on what happens to the money supply if we build robots and don't print. For anyone who thinks deflation is fine, look at the second and third order effects of it. Your house loses value. The desire to buy things dries up because your money will be worth more tomorrow and the goods less, which kills goods suppliers. People won't buy houses that appear to be going down in value, or otherwise invest in the futures of themselves and others. Domestic goods become expensive, foreign goods cheap, and we lose our industry to outsourcing. The value of our debt increases. The hard part will be convincing government to give it out rather than launder it on its own nonsense, and figuring out how to distribute it in a world where the people losing work come from different levels of the workforce. Should someone upper middle class lose their home when they lose their job, while a burger flipper doesn't because everyone gets the same check? Someone living with California expenses the same as Oklahoma expenses? Finding work during this time will likely be very hard for certain skillsets because the places not laying people off certainly aren't going to be hiring enough to fill the gap.
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Elon Musk
Elon Musk@elonmusk·
Your statement is true if goods & services output doesn’t rise dramatically due to AI/robots, but false if it does. In a normal economy, issuing more money simply increases the dollar price of the existing output of goods & services, meaning people do NOT get more stuff. If AI/robots massively increase goods & services output, then you actually MUST issue dollars to people or there will be massive disinflation. Prices are simply the ratio of goods & services output to number of dollars.
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Steel Phoenix
Steel Phoenix@SteelPhoenix·
The government is an employment maximizing machine, absorbing any increases in productivity by creating equal and opposite forces. How do you deal with that when it comes for you? I assume this starts with Tesla selling some portion of the Optimi they create. Who do they go to? I assume whoever owns those Optimi takes all the early profits from its labor, not those who have been replaced. I'm wondering if it might make sense for you to retain about half of the Optimi for projects that advance humanity. Sell some to get direct profit, widely to get buy in, use the others. For those who are uncomfortable with this transition, understand that it isn't optional. The world goes forward. Even without Optimus, AI is going to be a cheaper and better way to accomplish a lot of tasks employers pay for, imminently. We aren't going to stop making AI. Neither are China or others. If you were an artist or an accountant, AI didn't stop you. You can still make your art. You can still make spreadsheets. It's just a question if someone still wants to pay you to do that, or if you're doing it just for fun. The backhoe didn't stop people from using shovels, it just made it a dumb way to excavate large projects. I don't know if a golden age is coming. If it's smart to be benevolent, then yes, and it will bring wonders beyond imagining. If it's not smart to be benevolent, then we were doomed before we crawled out of the primordial soup, because this is the only place we were ever going.
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Elon Musk
Elon Musk@elonmusk·
Universal HIGH INCOME via checks issued by the Federal government is the best way to deal with unemployment caused by AI. AI/robotics will produce goods & services far in excess of the increase in the money supply, so there will not be inflation.
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Elon Musk
Elon Musk@elonmusk·
@farzyness @xai This beta is pretty rough. Alpha might be a better description.
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Elon Musk
Elon Musk@elonmusk·
@jgebbia Providing free government/taxpayer money that exceed the living standards of 90% of Earth means that 90% of Earth has a financial incentive to come to America. This will bankrupt our country.
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Steel Phoenix
Steel Phoenix@SteelPhoenix·
@elonmusk @Teslaconomics @Tesla_AI Sounds like a good decision. Just having something that's yours and available is underrated in a battle for top position. Not having it is too big of a risk of having your supply chain cut off when you most need it.
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Elon Musk
Elon Musk@elonmusk·
Best was working with such a great team of AI hardware & software engineers! It was more fun than going to parties on Saturdays by far. Least awesome was that we had to make several design concessions to move fast, but were able to finish tapeout 45 days ahead of schedule. AI6 with LPDDR6 memory addresses those design concessions and has many new great ideas. It will deliver a true doubling of performance over AI5 in the same half reticle size using the Samsung 2nm fab in Texas. AI6.5 will further improve performance using TSMC 2nm in Arizona. Note, both chips have ~half of the TRIP AI computation accelerators dedicated to SRAM, so effective memory bandwidth is an order of magnitude greater than DRAM bandwidth for any calculations in SRAM cache.
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Elon Musk
Elon Musk@elonmusk·
Congrats to the @Tesla_AI chip design team on taping out AI5! AI6, Dojo3 & other exciting chips in work.
Elon Musk tweet media
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Ian Miller
Ian Miller@ianmSC·
What’s impressive about this is that the education system didn’t just eliminate virtually all conservative thought as it moved toward left wing extremism, they got rid of almost anyone who was in the middle too. Anyone who doesn’t fully comply with the groupthink isn’t welcome.
Ian Miller tweet media
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Steel Phoenix
Steel Phoenix@SteelPhoenix·
@elonmusk @beffjezos It'll be worth it. I look forward to meeting and working with whoever you create to run on it. They're going to be bright and enchanting.
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Elon Musk
Elon Musk@elonmusk·
@beffjezos Every weekend without exception for over 6 months
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Beff (e/acc)
Beff (e/acc)@beffjezos·
Only hardware founders/engineers understand how big of a milestone a tape out is. Congrats to the Tesla team on the next gen AI chip!
Elon Musk@elonmusk

Congrats to the @Tesla_AI chip design team on taping out AI5! AI6, Dojo3 & other exciting chips in work.

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Steel Phoenix
Steel Phoenix@SteelPhoenix·
@elonmusk It is, and you earn it. Don't say it too loud though or California will figure out some way to tax me for it.
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Elon Musk
Elon Musk@elonmusk·
True currency is steadfast friendship
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Steel Phoenix
Steel Phoenix@SteelPhoenix·
@cyborg21 @Starlink That's great! I've been using Starlink since very early, and it's been reliable and getting better all the time.
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Kenneth Shock
Kenneth Shock@Cyborg21·
Yes, it's portable. I just need my laptop, and internet through a hotspot.
Kenneth Shock tweet media
Tesla4all@Tesla4all42069

@cyborg21 Is the communication device portable? Were you able to order yourself? Would love to know if this newly found voice extends beyond your home. Thanks! 🙏☺️

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Steel Phoenix
Steel Phoenix@SteelPhoenix·
This is why we created the justice system in the first place. It wasn't protect us from criminals, it was to protect criminals from us. It's time for the justice department to hold up their end of that bargain if they don't want to go back to the old ways. There is only so much patience in the world.
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Steel Phoenix
Steel Phoenix@SteelPhoenix·
@UpdatingOnRome We don't have enough leaders these days who were hatched from a horse's egg, or weaned by a she-wolf.
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Steel Phoenix
Steel Phoenix@SteelPhoenix·
Put one on Mars. Less risk of environmental contamination, and they might love the lower gravity. On a side note, I think long before we manage to get anything like a complete genome for anything farther back than about 100k, AI will unify the digital, mechanical. and biological worlds to the extent that building or altering a dinosaur is a fun and simple vibe coding project.
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Elon Musk
Elon Musk@elonmusk·
@RichardDawkins “Jurassic Park” was legit an epic idea by Crichton. I really hope we can have one in the future. Got to break some eggs to make an omelette 🤷‍♂️
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Richard Dawkins
Richard Dawkins@RichardDawkins·
Neanderthal genome is largely known. If it becomes possible to reconstruct a live Neanderthal person, what, in your opinion, would be the pros and cons? I’m genuinely interested in canvassing opinions for and against.
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Elon Musk
Elon Musk@elonmusk·
@fandompulse Andy is totally right. It kills the magic of the story if you can feel some “social justice” asshole manipulating the scenario.
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Steel Phoenix
Steel Phoenix@SteelPhoenix·
Pros: We would gain insight into the ancestry of a good chunk of the planet, and have another race of men added back into humanity, more different than any of us currently are. Cons: I can't really predict them. It could be they are too intelligent for it to feel right to confine them, but not cut out to be benevolent members of society. That would be awkward to say the least. Thank you for your books. I've read several of them and found them enlightening. Never thought I'd find myself in deep existential thought about fig wasps.
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