TruthinessSyrup
5.7K posts

TruthinessSyrup
@SyrupTruthiness
TruthinessSyrup -- speaking the truth, the whole truth, and nothing but the truth, sometimes with a dose of humor 😁 #VoteBlue #TruthOverLies
United States of 'Murica Katılım Temmuz 2019
521 Takip Edilen153 Takipçiler

Most people think preparing for a bounce in a bearish market is irresponsible. I think starting the process early is what separates you from the crowd that's always one step behind.
If you're short, you need to know when it might be time to cover. If you're getting very bearish, you need to understand it's usually a bad idea to short in the hole. And if you're trying to buy the bounce, you really need to check yourself. Do you actually think the market is just going to hand you an easy entry? It's not.
What usually happens before a bounce: the market shakes you out of your premature, oversized position, then leaves without you after you panic sell. That's by design. These aren't clean, comfortable entries.
If you're not a tactical trader, the simplest move is to sit on the sidelines and wait for the shorter term trend, something like the 5 day moving average
(purple line), to flatten out and start turning back up. That's your signal that the shorter term conditions are potentially shifting.
If you like to front run, you have to accept a few things. You're going to be starting a position when everyone tells you it's stupid. It's going to feel awful. Of course it's not going to be a comfortable transaction, that's the whole point. To make it manageable, you size down in elevated vol. You can always add when conditions improve.
The real pain isn't being early and wrong, that's manageable. The real pain is watching a lockout rally rip without you and feeling forced to chase. Fight that urge. If you miss it, who cares. The market is not going anywhere and It will setup again.

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@NerdRageDan You know, i got info on your main account now. Thinking of the best way to call you out infront of the audience.
Also, just so you know. When you use this account to only comment on my stuff it makes it very obvious that you have a little boner for me
See you soon.
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The $SPX low on March 20 is now 3 days old and hasn't been taken out.
That means we're in a live rally attempt, and starting tomorrow, I'm watching for a Follow-Through Day, a +1.25% gain or more on higher volume than the prior day.
Still very early and this hasn't even been a -10% correction yet. But if one shows up without the low getting taken out, that's the signal to start adding some exposure into names showing relative strength.
After a Follow-Through Day, the warning sign is if that FTD low gets breached. Doesn't kill the rally, but it means manage your risk.
I charted every correction over the last 20 years and how this signal played out each time 👇

Mike@MarketMike
My last thread on bear market tops went viral, so I made the sequel. This time I charted every $SPX correction of -10% or more over the last 20 years. Not the tops. The bottoms. Because every single one of these lows shares the same signal before the rally began. William O'Neil called it the Follow-Through Day. 10 corrections. 10 bottoms. Let me show you 🧵
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Donald Trump called mail-in voting “mail-in cheating” on Monday. That same day, news broke that he just voted by mail in a Florida special election.
His polling place is a 15-minute drive from Mar-a-Lago.
He spent the last two weekends there.
He mailed it anyway.
He is now holding the entire country hostage to pass a bill making it harder for you to vote the way he just voted.
Shameless hypocrisy.
nytimes.com/2026/03/24/us/…
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My last thread on bear market tops went viral, so I made the sequel.
This time I charted every $SPX correction of -10% or more over the last 20 years. Not the tops. The bottoms.
Because every single one of these lows shares the same signal before the rally began.
William O'Neil called it the Follow-Through Day.
10 corrections. 10 bottoms. Let me show you 🧵

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This exchange just happened on the Senate floor.
Cornyn: “I don’t understand how the SAVE Act disenfranchises voters.”
Durbin: “Happy to explain. Driver’s licenses don’t qualify under the bill. 50% of Americans don’t have passports.”
Cornyn: “Why not just amend it?”
Durbin: “When’s the last time the Senate actually amended a bill?”
Silence.
The SAVE Act requires passport-level documentation to register to vote.
50% of Americans don’t have a passport.
The people least likely to have passports: the elderly, the poor, rural Americans, young first-time voters.
The people most likely to have passports: wealthy Americans.
This is not voter protection.
This is voter selection.
And when a senator suggested fixing it — his own colleague couldn’t name the last time the Senate amended anything.
That’s the Senate in 2026.
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