TheOffensiveEdge

Excited to start my journey into football analytics 🏈📊 Former D1 offensive lineman learning data from scratch — starting with R and league-wide trends. Follow along as I break down the NFL through numbers + film insights 💻🔥 #NFLAnalytics #SportsData

@LeeSharpeNFL Quite possibly my most favorite graphic I’ve stumbled upon

2026 NFL OPPONENTS Each team will play against each team with the same row, column, color, or shape.

It’s no secret why the Bears are the 1 seed in the NFC right now. Ben Johnson has unlocked Caleb Williams, and the bears invested heavily in their OL in the offseason. Seems to me like it’s paying off so far.

@DanSchneierNFL 2 high vs 12p. Also no interior DL getting hands on guards just allowing free releases to the LBs, all tied together with terrible tackling effort

One clip to show why the Giants are DEAD last in run defense.

@PFF_Moo I promise this isn’t an Andrew Thomas Fan Page but my oh my. It has been a couple of weeks since you posted this earlier and Andrew Thomas has barely moved from his spot on the graph.

Offensive tackle win rates when left on an island (and how often that happens)

@BobbySkinner_ Just another day in the Office Bobby

Andrew Thomas v. Micah Parsons

@JoshiosTweets @schwartzsteins This is sick !!

Personnel Breakdown: Seattle vs Los Angeles From Weeks 6-10, the Rams, in 12/13 personnel have: - Been utilized 40% of snaps (1st) - Ran the ball 62.3% of the time in 12/13 personnel (4th) - Generated 0.66 EPA/play on passes in 12/13 personnel - Faced Base personnel 92% of the time in 12/13 The Rams have 4 tight ends that can run block & catch: - Davis Allen: 100% of 13 - Colby Parkinson: 82% of 13 - Terrance Ferguson: 61% of 13 - Tyler Higbee: 56% of 13 When the Rams roll out three tight ends on a play, the defense adjusts its personnel to include fewer defensive backs. They aren't doing this because of the tight ends themselves, but because of the high chance of a run. This is what makes the small number of passes they conduct in 13 so successful. In the last 4 weeks, Seattle has responded to 12/13 personnel with a Nickel formation 83% of the time. This is not what the Rams are used to seeing in response to their 13 personnel. There's a slight difference, though: Seattle's opponents are only running the ball 47% of the time in 12/13. Seattle has not seen the level of run that the Rams employ with multiple tight ends, so they had no reason to adjust their personnel. Just because other teams were not successful against the Seahawks does not mean the Rams cannot be successful. Need to see a lot of RUN (65%!!) and 3rd down passes in 13 personnel from the Rams on Sunday.

@matt_gavenda @Ihartitz Have to update the numbers from last month, but this was strictly pre snap motion based.

@matt_gavenda @Ihartitz x.com/teo_analytics/…

What NFL teams are using the most play-action and pre-snap shift/motion?

Andrew Thomas is one of the best in the game. The numbers support it, and the film shows it. Check out my first YouTube video, where I break down a couple of plays from this past weekend's @allforgod_55 matchup with the 49ers. youtu.be/bL603950uNg

@sambruchhaus "Dread it, run from it, destiny arrives all the same"

#ad the chiefs are gonna win the Super Bowl

Some food for thought... Patrick Mahomes/Chiefs: High OL PBWR + Quick Time-to-throw = High EPA (Below Trend line = Helping OL) Spencer Rattler/Saints Low OL PBWR + Quick Time-to-throw = Low EPA (Above trend line = Hurting OL)

"The OL can't block!!" Well, who’s really to blame for QB pressure? X = QB Time-to-Throw | Y = Pressure Proxy (1 – PBWR) Above the trend line + QBs facing more pressure than their O-Line suggests (Hurts OL) Below the trend line = QBs taking pressure off their line (Helps OL)

@schwartzsteins There’s something so nice about OZ hitting backside

This is pretty niche but the blocking from Meinerz (RG 77) is cool. Slips out of the zone block to keep the low shade running while also being a board for the center, then at 2nd level uses his hands and shocks the LB. Lot of time is spent position blocking at 2nd level but meinerz brings it

@seattlerams_nfl @gregolsen88 @SumerSports 13 Personnel Usage: 67 plays EPA/Play: 0.195 Only 67 plays in 13P so far. Still positive EPA. McVay always has a gameplan that puts his offense in the best situation to be successful! I’d also imagine Puka down the last couple games could be a reason not in 11p (72%) as much

@TEO_Analytics @gregolsen88 @SumerSports Thanks. They've gone heavy 13 the last two weeks, but since this is a season snapshot, the turn Sean McVay has made probably will not show itself until later in the season.

This is absolutely what’s happening Teams should stop matching personnel in neutral situations and play the down and distance instead. Everything is about generating an advantage to THROW THE BALL!! To put it simply. Rushing attempts have gone up not bc offenses want to run it more, but rather DEFENSES want you to run it more

@seattlerams_nfl @gregolsen88 @SumerSports Los Angeles Rams 11 Personnel: 0.110 EPA/play (322 plays Sorry about that 😅

@TEO_Analytics @gregolsen88 @SumerSports There are only 31 teams shown here.. You left the LAR off this chart.

@gregolsen88 EPA/play flipped on its head for the Seahawks!!

@gregolsen88 Greg isn’t lying, the numbers are clear !!! 12 Personnel: 0.408 EPA/play (120 plays) 11 Personnel: -0.210 EPA/play (147 plays) .6 more EPA/play when in 12P #12PRules

Can we all agree on one thing? Seattle is not a good rushing team. They are a heavy personnel passing team. If defenses are striving to “stop the run” they are mistaken.

Find my data set below that gives PBWR + RBWR + Offensive EPA... docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d…

Stay Tuned for my next post, where I will be seeing why teams like the Titans and Falcons are "underperformers." For example, who really is to blame for QB pressure (a total play killer), the OL or the QB?

Elite protection doesn’t always equal elite offense 👀 This chart shows how each NFL team’s average block win rate stacks up against their total EPA. Colts and Chiefs are cooking with efficiency — but some strong O-lines (Titans, Falcons) aren’t cashing in.