
TheReal Ringo
2K posts

TheReal Ringo
@TheReal_Ringo
Twitter-Beginner, 3-fach Profi-Vater, Oldschool-SEO, Dorf-CEO & Value-Investor seit 2001








Tesla is a $1.3 trillion company that sold fewer cars this year than last year. And fewer last year than the year before. That should tell you everything you need to know. 2 consecutive years of declining deliveries. Down 9% in 2025 to 1.63 million vehicles. The steepest annual drop in the company's history. And 2026 is starting even worse - US sales down 17% in January, Europe down 44% across major markets. France down 42%. Netherlands down 67%. Norway down 88%. BYD passed them as the global EV leader. In the UK, BYD outsold Tesla 2 to 1 last month. The brand is in FREEFALL. Brand Finance measured a 36% collapse in Tesla's brand value last year - down to $27.6 billion, less than half its 2023 peak. In California, their most important US market, share dropped from 11.6% to 9.9%. And the stock trades at 365 times trailing earnings. Let me say that differently: Tesla earned $3.8 billion last year. The market is valuing those earnings at $1.3 trillion. You are paying $365 for every dollar this company earns. The bull case has completely abandoned the car business. It's all robotaxis and Optimus robots now. They discontinued the Model S and Model X. They told investors on the last earnings call to stop focusing on vehicle deliveries and start thinking about "transportation as a service." So in other words: please ignore the business we actually have and value us on the business we MIGHT have someday. Trust me, every time management tells you to look over there instead of over here... LOOK OVER HERE. The car business is deteriorating. Margins are compressing. Competition from BYD, Volkswagen, and a dozen Chinese manufacturers is intensifying quarter by quarter. The $7,500 federal EV tax credit is gone, which effectively raised the price of every Tesla overnight. And instead of addressing any of that, they're doubling capex to $20 billion this year - almost entirely directed at AI and autonomous driving infrastructure. So you have a company with shrinking revenue, shrinking deliveries, a damaged brand, and intensifying competition pouring $20 billion into a technology that hasn't been proven at commercial scale. On 365 times earnings. Even if you give them the most generous robotaxi assumptions imaginable (full regulatory approval, nationwide deployment, dominant market share) you still can't justify this valuation. The present value of that optionality doesn't come close to $1.3 trillion when the core business is going backwards. I think this stock goes down 90% from here. Not because Tesla is worthless. They'll sell cars. The energy storage business has potential. But the equity is priced for a future that isn't coming on the timeline the market expects. A $37 stock. That's where the math takes you when you strip out the narrative and price what actually exists. I know that sounds extreme. But 45 years of doing this has taught me something: When you can see the seams on the fastball, you SWING. I can see the seams.


2.3 MILLION barrels of oil…GONE! Every. Single. Day. Let that sink in for a second. In 2025 alone, electric vehicles are expected to displace 2.3 million barrels of oil per day globally. It’s no wonder the fossil propaganda machine is running 24/7. This isn’t a “future prediction”, this happened in 2025, and is expected to grow. At $100 a barrel, that’s roughly $84 BILLION staying out of the fossil fuel system. And by 2030? That number could more than double. But here’s the part people don’t talk about enough… Every barrel of oil NOT burned means… • Less emissions. • Less reliance on unstable oil markets. • More money staying in people’s pockets. • More energy independence. This is why EVs matter. It’s not just about “cars”. It’s about reshaping the entire energy system. And it’s already well underway. People still say “EVs are a fad” and “EVs won’t make a difference”. Meanwhile… They’re quietly removing millions of barrels of oil demand every single day








Just in: Tesla sales in Europe increased in February 11.8% year-over-year to 17,664 vehicles. YTD sales up 0.9% to 25,753 vehicles. @tesla Market share in February increased to 1.8% from 1.6% yoy. Market share YTD flat at 1.3%.







Welcome to the future Volkswagen! • One Pedal Driving • Digital Key They also reverted to physical buttons on the steering wheel! Base cars can be optioned with a 58 kWh LFP-battery and a new, 140 kW, efficient APP 350 PM motor. Announced for the ID.3 Neo premiering mid-April. Everything coming to ID.3, ID.5 & ID.7 as well. Now, where is dog mode?






Sehr lustig: Als ich beim Launch des VW #ID3 und #ID4 kritisierte, dass die auf der ID-Plattform basierenden eKarren des VW-Konzerns nur ne schwache #Rekuperation auf dem Fahrpedal und KEIN #OnePedalDriving (OPD) hätten, schrien die DAFs auf (das sei nicht wahr; die Reku der ID-Modelle sei stark genug; der Kunde wolle kein OPD; schwache Reku sei besser für die Batterie - ja, das warfen einige tatsächlich als Argument ein 🤪) und blockten mich. Jetzt bringt VW beim Neo genau das, was gemäss DAFs schon gut genug sei oder niemand wolle 🤣 (DAFs: deutsche-Auto-Fans)
















