Vibe

Vibe 1.0 Testnet is now LIVE and running tests! Turn any group chat or DM into a fully tradable prediction market in just 3 seconds. Chat. Trade. Earn money. The future of social finance is here.🔥

56% of financial professionals say prediction market data will become a standard input for investment decisions by 2027. (Social Capital Research, 2026) That data has to come from somewhere. It's going to come from Vibe. Here's the institutional play 👇 Traditional polls are noise. No financial skin in the game → people lie or don't care. Prediction market data is capital-weighted truth. Every data point was verified by someone risking real money. Vibe's "Smart Money Expectation Reports": aggregated directional bets from high-SBT tier holders. This is institutional alpha, democratized. And we publish it weekly. B2B data API: news terminals and AI models can pay $VIBE to access Vibe consensus data in real-time. Revenue flows back to the predictors who generated it. You become a data shareholder. Chamath was right: prediction markets are the next Bloomberg Terminal. The data layer doesn't exist yet. Vibe is building it. And you're generating the data right now, in Beta Phase 2. Every prediction you make is a data point worth money. Start earning it.

Real talk — I feel this in my soul. I keep romanticizing “just make it 10x cheaper and faster” like that’s the endgame, but every time I actually use the frontier models I’m reminded: smarter still wins by a mile. A model that’s 3x dumber but 5x cheaper just lets you fail faster. A model that’s actually smarter unlocks problems you didn’t even know how to frame. That’s the real alpha. We’re still in the intelligence era, not the efficiency era. Speed and price matter once the ceiling is high enough — we just haven’t hit that ceiling yet

i keep thinking i want the models to be cheaper/faster more than i want them to be smarter but it seems that just being smarter is still the most important thing

This is the real filter. The strongest infra plays don’t sit around praying external devs will magically validate them. They ship the killer app on their own rails first — prove the latency, the UX, the cost, the reliability in production — then open the doors. That’s how you turn “trust me bro” into “here’s the live proof, come build.” The ones still waiting for the ecosystem to do the work? Usually the ones that never ship anything durable. Build first, flex later. No cap.

"The most durable infrastructure companies don't wait for external developers to validate their tech. They build the application themselves first — on top of their own rails — and use it to prove out the capabilities they're asking others to build on."

@FIFAWorldCup 39 days till the longest, wildest football festival we’ve ever seen 🔥 48 teams, group stage bangers, knockout heartbreaks, and that Golden Boot market still sitting mispriced at 38% YES. We not just watching — we living in it. Let’s cook.

39 days to go... A 39-day festival of football awaits. 🗓️🎉 #FIFAWorldCup

Vibe market right now: "Will the top scorer of FIFA 2026 come from a team that doesn't reach the final?" Current probabilities: YES: 38% NO: 62% Historical data: 47% of top scorers since 1990 came from non-finalist teams. The crowd says NO. The historical data says this market is mispriced. Where's the alpha? In the gap between the crowd and the data. Reply with your take + reasoning. Top 3 most insightful responses → 1000 VP each.

Running this checklist on what we're building at Vibe: 1. Open to new ideas ✓ We took prediction markets out of the trading terminal and put them inside your group chat. Most people said that was a category error. 2. Willing to defer gratification ✓ We've been building the liquidity mechanism, AI adjudication engine, and social layer for years before the market was ready to care. 3. Ornery ✓ Everyone told us: "prediction markets are for elections and crypto degens." We said: where there's a debate, there's a market — and kept building. 4. Really smart ✓ It takes genuine synthesis to see that social heat, on-chain liquidity, AI adjudication, and group-chat UX are actually one product. 5. Not too neurotic Ask us again after TGE.

.@pmarca on the 5 key traits of a real innovator: 1. "Just flat-out open to new ideas... And the nature of trait openness means you're not just open to new ideas in one category, you're open to many different kinds of new ideas." 2. "You need somebody who's really willing to apply themselves, typically over a period of many years to accomplish something great... You need somebody with an extreme willingness to basically defer gratification." 3. "If they're not ornery, they'll be talked out of their ideas... Because the reaction most people have to new ideas is 'Oh, that's dumb.'" 4. "They just need to be really smart because it's hard to innovate in any category if you can't synthesize large amounts of information quickly." 5. "If they're too neurotic, they probably can't handle the stress." @hubermanlab

A divided world still agrees on one thing: who's going to win. 48 nations. Billions of opinions. One tournament. Football doesn't eliminate disagreement — it gives it a stage. And when the whole world is watching the same match, arguing about the same result, that disagreement becomes the most valuable signal on earth. On Vibe, that signal has a price. Where there's debate → there's a market. Where there's a market → there's a price for truth. See you on the pitch. ⚽

In his own opening remarks, FIFA President Gianni Infantino highlighted football’s unique power to build bridges in a divided world as all 48 Participating Member Associations get ready to shine at this year's FIFA World Cup and convey a powerful message of unity. #FootballUnitesTheWorld #WeAre26 #FIFAWorldCup

@JCRON05 Yep, coming soon. Join us now!

@Vibeworldvb its that a apps？ the leaderboard？

You don't need to be a football analyst to profit from the World Cup. Vibe's Copy-Trade system: Step 1 → Open Leaderboard. Filter by World Cup win-rate (not volume) Step 2 → Find a Lead Trader with >65% win rate over 30+ markets Step 3 → One-click copy. Set TP/SL. Done. Step 4 → When they win: you keep 95%. They earn 3%. Protocol takes 2%. Why do Lead Traders care about your 3%? Because their SBT reputation is on the line every single trade. A bad call costs them reputation they can't buy back. That's the alignment mechanism. It's not charity. It's design. The World Cup is the best copy-trade window of 2026. Are you following someone who knows football better than you?

We will be the largest on-chain World Cup 2026 prediction market: ⚽ Champion outright ⚽ Top scorer futures ⚽ Group-stage qualifiers — all 48 teams ⚽ In-match: next goal scorer → settles in under 17 seconds FIFA raised the stakes for the players. We raised them for everyone else.

43 days to go... Throwback to a 4-3 #FIFAWorldCup classic 🎬

@FIFAcom @FIFAWorldCup More prize money. More stakes. More opinions. 48 teams. Billions of fans. Every group-stage result, every upset, every golden boot race — the world will have a take.

The FIFA Council has confirmed an increase in the financial contribution for the 48 teams participating in @FIFAWorldCup 2026 🏆

Same pattern is happening with prediction markets. They're widely described as an election forecasting tool. But the actual growth? Local debates. Community bets. Group-chat arguments that needed a price. "Global infrastructure for local truth discovery" — that's the real use case emerging. Stablecoins found out that local payments scale better than remittance. Prediction markets are finding out that social consensus scales better than geopolitical forecasting. The infrastructure is global. The use case is wherever two people disagree.

Though stablecoins are often widely described as a cross-border tool, the share of cross-border activity has actually been 𝘧𝘢𝘭𝘭𝘪𝘯𝘨, not rising. Stablecoins are finding their footing not just as a remittance or FX tool, but as a local payments medium that happens to run on global infrastructure.

Railroads were 50% of the 1880 market. People thought that was the endgame too. The next infrastructure wave prices information itself — the one commodity every economy runs on but nobody has ever accurately priced at scale. That's the market we're building.

@FOXSoccer Who will be the winner?

48 PLAYERS. 48 NATIONS. 48 DAYS TO GO... ⏰🍿

Smart money vs Twitter: the World Cup gap where alpha lives. Vibe capital-weighted probability vs Twitter sentiment — World Cup favorites: 🇫🇷 France: Twitter 34% → Vibe capital 29% (smart money underweights hype) 🇧🇷 Brazil: Twitter 28% → Vibe capital 31% (smart money overweights) 🇩🇪 Germany: Twitter 12% → Vibe capital 18% (biggest divergence — biggest edge) 🇦🇷 Argentina: Twitter 22% → Vibe capital 19% The 13% Germany gap is where the alpha is. Twitter is noise. Capital-backed probability is signal. On Vibe, every bet is backed by real money. That creates real price discovery — not a poll. Which divergence would you trade?

@anndylian Not yet, but I predict it will happen in the near future.

Are memes back?

ETH is currently trading around $2,340. This isn’t pure hopium. Strong ETF inflows, Layer-2 growth, and solid fundamentals support a recovery. Short-term: Expect consolidation between $2,200–$2,800. By end of 2026: 70%+ probability of reclaiming $3,000+, with upside toward $4,000 in bullish scenarios.

Is $ETH on its way back to $3000 or is it hopium choose your destiny ⤵️

“3D skills give you creative superpowers.” And he’s 100% right — artists, it’s time to stop playing small. Start thinking like FOUNDERS. Pitch the BIGGEST ideas. Build toward them with no cap. The creative possibilities right now are literally INFINITE. The only real limits? Access and how hard you’re willing to swing on ambition. Vibe is built DIFFERENT because we’ve been moving like this from day one — max vision, zero excuses, pure creation energy. This is your sign to go HARD in 2026. Dream bigger. Build bolder.

“3D skills give you creative superpowers.” @kylegordonart's message was that artists should think like founders. Pitch big ideas. Build toward them. The creative possibilities right now are infinite - the only limits are access and ambition. #RC2026

Here's the breakdown nobody else will post: Entry: → Polymarket/Kalshi: Web app, wallet connect, deposit → 15 min → Vibe: Email login, Face ID → 60 seconds Liquidity (long-tail markets): → Competitors: depends on external market makers → most markets = zombie → Vibe: α-Reservoir auto-injects → every market is tradeable from $10 Settlement: → Competitors: UMA human voting → 72 hours, gameable → Vibe: Multi-LLM ensemble → under 90 seconds, tamper-proof User reputation: → Competitors: platform database, centralized → Vibe: SBT on-chain — your track record is yours, forever Data ownership: → Competitors: closed, monetized internally → Vibe: B2B API revenue flows back to predictors as "data mining rewards" This is not iteration. This is infrastructure replacement.

⏳ Mexico 🆚 South Africa #FIFAWorldCup