Weather Sphere

@Sekai_WX Euro wants the heat 🥴

Google DeepMind ensembles suggest that AL91 could become a solid hurricane if it stays south of the coast later this week. If this happens, the storm will have access to 29-30 C SST's and favorable kinematic conditions aloft.

Tropical Depression #Two Advisory 1 (10 AM CDT, Sun Jul 19): Tropical Depression Forms Off the West Coast of Florida. Tropical Storm Watch Issued for the Florida Panhandle. hurricanes.gov

bro WHAT are we doing

that would be something...

@JeremyCruzWX the pennsylvania special

So close yet so far. I really did everything I could today. Every single storm died on me including this one :( I tried so hard

very typical enhanced risk day in the Northeast today

@WeatherProf NNIC wants the smoke lol

18z Models for #Invest91L Most keep the system borderline TD / TS and drift it slowly NW then perhaps west. Stay tuned #Bertha could be born in the next couple of days. Wind speeds indicate peak model winds at time of peak.

Harrisburg storm dome holding strong, sure do love light showers

NHC now has Invest #91L at a 40% chance of tropical development.

@BigMug77 10%+ chance of 65kt+ winds, it's in small text underneath the legend

@WeatherSphere22 What is the black

population bias simulator

@SCweather_wx meanwhile, the NAM:

18z HRRR continues to be aggressive with tropical development from our area of interest in the Eastern Gulf. This is one of those yearly things where you go from hardly no chance to a tropical storm 2 days later. Not saying that's going to happen, but it would be dumb to speak in absolutes & say it won't.

sure thing, NAM, whatever you say

‼️ In house Hi Res Model escalates this weekend. GRAF Indicates #Bertha by early week as the storm drifts west away from Florida into the #Gulf. This model is very good, but I emphasize this is an incredibly tough forecast, and it may be wrong. I find it tends to spin things up too fast, and we are not yet in the GRAF wheelhouse of inside 48 hours. I only post this because it’s 3 days from now and as we go into the weekend I don’t want folks sleeping on this, and I want to be transparent with ya’ll. It’s nothing to be concerned about, just something to be aware off. Right now NHC development chance is at 30%. Otherwise on/ off downpours through the weekend.

oh

Harrisburg slabber on Saturday

jeez man

alright who let roofus into the coke

absolute misery

@The_ef5_man @MaxVelocityWX @MatthewCappucci

@MaxVelocityWX @MatthewCappucci i bet your cock tastes better, may i test my hypothesis?

“Play-doh tastes good.” — @MaxVelocityWX at dinner.