Weather Sphere

bored, so here's what I think chasing would be like in some states as someone who has never chased

CFS and CanSIPS are starting to align better for lower precip anomalies across much of the Atlantic during peak hurricane season. Hopefully means a less active season.

this cold front is just printing training mini-supercells

hail_spike.png

unlucky

would not wanna be under that one

74dbz hail core in PA in March cool

ye old el nino

Slight risk would've been just fine

@sambrandt99 Already a pretty nice hail core developing with it.

As 1st cluster of supercells moves off east towards the edge of the instability axis, I’m setting my sights on the cluster entering Clearfield county. The OFB left behind by the 1st round could even give this 2nd round some extra streamwise vort (but still don’t expect tornadoes)

didn't last long lol

Nice hail core developing with the SVR warned storm northeast of State College. Millheim, Mifflinburg, and Lewisburg are in the path should it hold together. #pawx

@jnphotographies x.com/WeatherSphere2… yup, one of those cases where too much clearing kills the severe threat

@WeatherSphere22 It's because of too much dry air

holy bust

ICL I'm surprised that we have an enhanced risk with 30% hail and wind probs considering current conditions and models.

@jtooch07 Wondering if this is one of those cases where too much clearing could kill any severe chances for this evening.

Seeing a lot of clearing over the majority of Pennsylvania. This should aid in destabilization and instability build up. We’ll see how the timing of our front evolves this afternoon and evening, and if it’ll be able to firmly tap into a (pending) destabilizing environment. #PAwx

As some have mentioned already, this is one of those cases where too much clearing is probably a bad thing for any severe potential this evening. Wouldn't expect much in the way of severe storms tonight, mainly just rain.

@teotwp3 @BenNollWeather sir this is a wendy's

@BenNollWeather Finally, the nazi shithole most responsible for the failure of life on Earth will burn. 🔥🥳🔥

It's been the warmest start to March on record across the United States, in terms of high temperatures, with an average of 60 degrees. That's *7.6 degrees* above-average for March, month-to-date! March 2026 is tracking to become one of the most anomalously warm months on record for the country. Here's a list of statewide temperatures compared to average: California: +9.5˚F Arizona: +9.1˚F Nevada: +9.0˚F Kentucky: +8.9˚F West Virginia: +8.6˚F Tennessee: +8.6˚F Arkansas: +8.5˚F Ohio: +8.3˚F New Mexico: +7.7˚F Oklahoma: +7.6˚F Texas: +7.5˚F Indiana: +7.5˚F Colorado: +7.4˚F Wyoming: +7.2˚F Mississippi: +7.2˚F Utah: +7.2˚F North Carolina: +7.0˚F Missouri: +6.8˚F Virginia: +6.8˚F Pennsylvania: +6.7˚F Illinois: +6.4˚F Nebraska: +6.0˚F Oregon: +5.9˚F Alabama: +5.9˚F Idaho: +5.9˚F Kansas: +5.9˚F South Carolina: +5.8˚F Louisiana: +5.7˚F Georgia: +5.5˚F South Dakota: +5.5˚F Montana: +5.5˚F District of Columbia: +5.3˚F New York: +5.0˚F Iowa: +4.9˚F Vermont: +4.9˚F Maine: +4.8˚F Delaware: +4.6˚F Maryland: +4.6˚F New Hampshire: +4.6˚F Florida: +4.4˚F New Jersey: +3.8˚F Michigan: +3.7˚F Wisconsin: +3.7˚F Connecticut: +3.3˚F Massachusetts: +3.3˚F Washington: +3.2˚F North Dakota: +2.8˚F Minnesota: +2.3˚F Rhode Island: +1.9˚F

golf balls or bust

As mentioned a few days ago, a hemispheric regime change will bring an active pattern back to the Central US by early April with storm chasing opportunities. A variety of guidance suggests a large E US ridge with warmth & highly anomalous moisture being advected into the Plains.